Ralph Wiggum Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Just now, Scarlet Pimpernel said: Is this a different wave that now is just showing up? There seem to be quite a few riding that boundary in the next couple of weeks. Might be the analfront thing the euro was showing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 1 minute ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said: Is this a different wave that now is just showing up? There seem to be quite a few riding that boundary in the next couple of weeks. Wave after Wednesday shifted north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2 Author Share Posted February 2 4 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Waiting for systems to be inside 120 lol I mean..we're discussing weather models on a weather board. I mean, I would hope nobody thinks this is a lock? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Just now, CAPE said: GFS is just so unsteady compared to the Euro. Entertainment value anyway. That’s all we have today anyway. First Sunday in 21 weeks without football . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2 Author Share Posted February 2 Ok, the 12th thing is approaching...lets see if CAD holds and saves us...because if not.... It's vastly different than the 12z evolution...slug of heavy moisture surging to our west and heading NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Might be the analfront thing the euro was showing. Analfront’s are my absolute favorites, especially when you get 6” out of it. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Just now, CAPE said: GFS is just so unsteady compared to the Euro. Entertainment value anyway. Key take-away, at least for me, is that there will be several waves running along that boundary leading into the "good" mid-February into mid-March period that @psuhoffman and others alluded to. Hopefully we can score on one or so of those, but it likely won't be really resolved way in advance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Might be the analfront thing the euro was showing. "This town needs an enema!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2 Author Share Posted February 2 Yeah, we're cooked for the 12 on THIS run. We all know it's not worthy worrying about....or at least I hope folks do. The fact that the signal is still showing up is good enough for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 The 12th looks great- for PA northward 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 3 minutes ago, CAPE said: GFS is just so unsteady compared to the Euro. Entertainment value anyway. It’s consistent for Wednesday but you are sure that won’t happen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: It’s consistent for Wednesday but you are sure that won’t happen Given the lack of support from other guidance, that's pretty worrying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2 Author Share Posted February 2 6 minutes ago, CAPE said: GFS is just so unsteady compared to the Euro. Entertainment value anyway. The Wed thing is perplexing. I mean, other models show something frozen, but for like 5 minutes last I checked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 12 minutes ago, nj2va said: DC is the new PSU land That is the most west-east output I think I have seen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: It’s consistent for Wednesday but you are sure that won’t happen And the rgem went to the gfs so yeah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 It's funny how you can logically know it's fantasy range still...but yet seeing a run with one wave missing you south (again) and then the next being warm and north can still annoying the heck out of you because of recent history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 13 minutes ago, nj2va said: DC is the new PSU land Checks out as far as im concerned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 HAHAHAHAHA! @Ji What did you do?! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 9 minutes ago, ravensrule said: That’s all we have today anyway. First Sunday in 21 weeks without football . GFS says we have football next Sunday. It's been rock-solid on that one. But the Euro doesn't care, they do soccer (and the Canucks do shuffleboard!)!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 We are still going to need a little luck for a direct hit, at least the pattern puts us in the stadium.... much better than last year when the SER ruled, and everyone said put a fork in Mid Atlantic winters forever more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Just now, Weather Will said: We are still going to need a little luck for a direct hit, at least the pattern puts us in the stadium.... much better than last year when the SER ruled, and everyone said put a fork in Mid Atlantic winters forever more The SER wasn't last year--I think you're thinking about the year before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 22 minutes ago, nj2va said: DC is the new PSU land LOLOLOLOL @Interstate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 11 minutes ago, stormtracker said: The Wed thing is perplexing. I mean, other models show something frozen, but for like 5 minutes last I checked. Rgem is ok I think… although I just glanced and didn’t really look too hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 23 minutes ago, stormtracker said: <taps mic>. Is this thing working? Where the hell are you all? Waiting for you to someday report a run that actually smokes the snow desert from 83 east to Havre de Grace...been a LONG time. 6 years, but swell run for...the usual suspects. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 4 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: The SER wasn't last year--I think you're thinking about the year before. The SER definitely made multiple appearances last year. It and Pack Puke basically took turns crushing our dreams Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 4 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: The SER wasn't last year--I think you're thinking about the year before. Was it not last year that the SER kept hooking up with the -NAO? Or maybe it was just the -PDO at -5 standard deviation.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 1 minute ago, North Balti Zen said: Waiting for you to someday report a run that actually smokes the snow desert from 83 east to Havre de Grace...been a LONG time. 6 years, but swell run for...the usual suspects. This is gettin' old, man. I'd revise that to Baltimore north and east to Havre de Grace! Now, I'd like to believe Feb wavelengths are gonna be better for us (even more for you) than Jan, but that could just be logic, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: Was it not last year that the SER kept hooking up with the -NAO? Or maybe it was just the -PDO at -5 standard deviation.... I think it was the -PDO. Last year was a legit Niño so I don't recall a SER. But if someone has the plot @psuhoffman?)...Now the year BEFORE? Yes we had a full lat ridge most of that winter, smh Last year the -NAO wasn't even stable. Went deeeeep negative then shot way up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 20 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Was it not last year that the SER kept hooking up with the -NAO? Or maybe it was just the -PDO at -5 standard deviation.... No. Last year guidance kept teasing with a classic Nino look- lots of action in the STJ with negative h5 heights across the south/southeast, and strong NA block developing- then the rug pull. Advertised pattern totally went to crap. eta- that was Feb. We did have a nice Nino-ish period in late Dec into Jan, with modest snowfall. SER wasn't an issue though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 13 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: I think it was the -PDO. Last year was a legit Niño so I don't recall a SER. But if someone has the plot @psuhoffman?)...Now the year BEFORE? Yes we had a full lat ridge most of that winter, smh Last year the -NAO wasn't even stable. Went deeeeep negative then shot way up. Here ya go. SER wasn't an issue. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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