February Medium/Long Range Thread

[Interstate]

3 hours ago, North Balti Zen said:

Gross 

I blame you. 

[North Balti Zen]

2 minutes ago, Interstate said:

I blame you. 

tough but fair

[Interstate]

Just now, North Balti Zen said:

tough but fair

Until we get a good snow here in central Baltimore County…. The curse is on your shoulders. 

[NorthArlington101]

6 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Another model cycle, another run where the GFS isn’t caving off a wintry Wednesday… 

bump

[ravensrule]

2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

bump

Bring me a crippling ice storm. It’s been so long. 

[WxUSAF]

2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

bump

It’s colder actually. Probably some snow north of DC before ice.

[NorthArlington101]

4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

bump

2 minutes ago, ravensrule said:

Bring me a crippling ice storm. It’s been so long. 

think it’ll get washed out Thursday anyway 

[Weather Will]

WB 18Z GFS

[Duca892]

That is a mess for Wednesday for many LV north 

[stormtracker]

GFS just won't budge on the snow/ice storm

[CAPE]

4 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 18Z GFS

I'm 100% confident an inch+ of snow isn't going to fall here. GFS is off its rocker lol. Most interesting aspect with this event is the potential for another half inch of rain after a few mangled flakes and 10 mins of sleet. Denting the drought.

[stormtracker]

6 minutes ago, Duca892 said:

That is a mess for Wednesday for many LV north 

Yeah, all sweet and clear down here.  We should be able to handle 1.8 inches of sleet and a tenth to quarter inch of ice easy.

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, CAPE said:

I'm 100% confident an inch+ of snow isn't going to fall here. GFS is off its rocker lol. Most interesting aspect with this event is the potential for another half inch of rain after a few mangled flakes and 10 mins of sleet. Denting the drought.

honestly, I'd be surprised if anyone down here sees snow.

[stormtracker]

GFS reloads for the 9th...approach precip with 0 850 slips to our south

[stormtracker]

It's a decent size event...nothing outrages.  wasn't there before....our just south I should say

[CAPE]

Just now, stormtracker said:

honestly, I'd be surprised if anyone down here sees snow.

The GFS will ultimately cave, or its going to bust. Northern MD has a shot at some front end frozen and maybe some minor ZR before flipping to rain.

[stormtracker]

Surface freezing line sinks south joing the 850 temps.  Snow at panel 183.  Nothing on 12z for us at the time frame

[stormtracker]

Oh man..still going at 186.  All snow.    This is gonna be significant from DC line south to Richmond I'd say

Had to edit after seeing snowfall map.  Kinda surprised it's paltry relatively speaking for PSU land.  Maybe I'm wrong and we wait for the SV pretty maps.  I have been smoking after all

[stormtracker]

Anyway, HUGE change from 12z.   Went from no event to pretty decent for DC south.   we just need a 50-100 mile tick north to get the whole sub in on it

[nj2va]

DC is the new PSU land

[stormtracker]

<taps mic>. Is this thing working?   Where the hell are you all?

[ravensrule]

Just now, nj2va said:

DC is the new PSU land

That gradient is quite tight. 

[TSSN+]

Just now, stormtracker said:

<taps mic>. Is this thing working?   Where the hell are you all?

Waiting for systems to be inside 120 lol 

[ravensrule]

Just now, stormtracker said:

<taps mic>. Is this thing working?   Where the hell are you all?

Apparently the mic is too small to work. Maybe upgrade it’s wattage. 

[Solution Man]

Just now, nj2va said:

DC is the new PSU land

Wow, so different from 12z

[Maestrobjwa]

Just now, stormtracker said:

<taps mic>. Is this thing working?   Where the hell are you all?

In the fringe zone this run 

[ravensrule]

Just now, Maestrobjwa said:

In the fringe zone this run 

Story of your life. It may be time to leave Baltimore. 

[CAPE]

We all waiting on the 12th..

[WVclimo]

I like how that weak SLP in the Carolina’s just sits there for 24 hours lol

[Solution Man]

Something coming together @204, seems like it will be similar to 12z