ravensrule Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, TSSN+ said: Yikes ya that’s one city I don’t really want to visit for any reason. Love Pittsburgh though. I go there all the time for Ravens games and have been there for O’s games. Never had an issue, very nice people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Ok back to our regularly scheduled programming of model bullshit. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, ravensrule said: I go there all the time for Ravens games and have been there for O’s games. Never had an issue, very nice people. Pittsburgh? Ya nice city and cool fans. Love me some Primanti bros. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 EPS was a pretty notable improvement. stronger ULL and less confluence 13 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx12 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Can Yoda (or someone else) please explain which model has half its members calling for 6 or more? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 EPS was a pretty notable improvement. stronger ULL and less confluenceYessir. Tough suite tonight overall but glad to see the euro improve under the hood vs 18z. It’s in its wheelhouse right now and as PSU pointed out, it schooled most other guidance wrt today’s storm at this range. Doesn’t mean this can’t still fail, but at least the bleeding stopped. By tomorrow night the storm will be over the CONUS, so hopefully things become clearer (and snowier) by tomorrow’s 00z runs 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, arlwx12 said: Can Yoda (or someone else) please explain which model has half its members calling for 6 or more? Oz Euro ensembles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 21 minutes ago, jayyy said: Fellas… I know we dick around in here way more than we probably should, but let’s keep the squabbling to a minimum. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 32 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Maybe instead of looking at how it did at 120hrs, see what the storm moving so far North means with regards to the future.. we have a real shot at thunderstorms tomorrow. The warm sector of this storm is awesome! They say swings happen and "nothing is impossible" but the somewhat slight flex of -pna here today is for a flatter, and possibly slightly north, following storm.. I agree with your point about a flatter wave possibly, but my main point is I looked through trying to find any examples of a significant snow to miss us to the southeast like that from a closed H5 low tracking through OH and southern PA like all guidance has...and couldn't. Every snow to miss us southeast like that had a much further south H5 track and a more suppressive flow over the top. So...either this trends way weaker and misses south, or it probably has to come north if its anywhere close to as amplified a wave as guidance has now, because the upper flow is not right for a big southern VA snowstorm. Its either a weak washed out wave that slides south, or if its amplified enough to be a big snow it will end up further north. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I agree with your point about a flatter wave possibly, but my main point is I looked through trying to find any examples of a significant snow to miss us to the southeast like that from a closed H5 low tracking through OH and southern PA like all guidance has...and couldn't. Every snow to miss us southeast like that had a much further south H5 track and a more suppressive flow over the top. So...either this trends way weaker and misses south, or it probably has to come north if its anywhere close to as amplified a wave as guidance has now, because the upper flow is not right for a big southern VA snowstorm. Its either a weak washed out wave that slides south, or if its amplified enough to be a big snow it will end up further north. Yeah it's amazing that models can miss things like that at that range, but I've seen it a number of the times in the last few years. N. Hemisphere larger 500mb pattern likely wins again, I was saying to see a deep coastal low riding up from the Gulf we probably need a NE Pacific trough, which is a actually a weak high pressure right now, and goes with what you guys are saying about how hard it is to a MECS in La Nina.. the pattern is actually a +NOI, or +NPH (North Pacific High), which is in part a circulation of La Nina. https://ibb.co/DfGZyQjg https://ibb.co/gLrqM6cz I wouldn't be surprised if Richmond may have p-type issues honestly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 AI a little better. Just needs to come west 75-100 miles. The graphics on the Euro site are not good enough to post, but when it comes out on TT or other commercial site, you'll see what I'm saying. It's probably close upstairs. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3 minutes ago, mitchnick said: AI a little better. Just needs to come west 75-100 miles. The graphics on the Euro site are not good enough to post, but when it comes out on TT or other commercial site, you'll see what I'm saying. It's probably close upstairs. Are you up for the day already?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3 minutes ago, ravensrule said: Are you up for the day already?. I've napped several times tonight. I need to fall back to sleep though. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 8 minutes ago, mitchnick said: I've napped several times tonight. I need to fall back to sleep though. Lol Lol, i was wondering what you were doing up so late. Don’t worry the 6Z GFS will be good. You can sleep in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 03z SREF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 I couldn't even read two pages. This is the worst I've seen this place. 1 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 Was spending some quality time with the bf. Did I miss anything? 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Demeter Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Was spending some quality time with the bf. Did I miss anything? Euro held and a board meltdown. So status quo here. 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Was spending some quality time with the bf. Did I miss anything? That was a huge mistake, you could have been drinking with @clskinsfan instead. You have to stop making poor choices in life. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 We still looking good tho right? I’m sure the UKmet and GFS hit us good. Can’t wait for this epic HECS coming. I’ll just check the models before I hit the hay. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 Shit 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, stormtracker said: We still looking good tho right? I’m sure the UKmet and GFS hit us good. Can’t wait for this epic HECS coming. I’ll just check the models before I hit the hay. Hit us like Mike Tyson used to hit before he bit off Evander Holyfield’s ear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Man, that Euro looks like everyone is getting hit. Would be a record breaker for Richmond. Last storm really sucked for Richmond. Got stuck with damn freezing rain knocking out power and very little snow. NAM nailed that one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miss Pixee Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3 hours ago, ravensrule said: It’s only snow. It’s nothing compared to real life, health and family. So we get skunked, it’s annoying but nothing in the grand scheme of life. People are posting too much. I'm a snow lover too but can't get that emotional about it. It's just cold pressed water that lays around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, Miss Pixee said: People are posting too much. I'm a snow lover too but can't get that emotional about it. It's just cold pressed water that lays around. But the sledding and snowball fights are still fun even at 32. I've never tried sledding in 20 inches of snow though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx12 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 16 minutes ago, overcautionisbad said: But the sledding and snowball fights are still fun even at 32. I've never tried sledding in 20 inches of snow though. During Snowmageddon 2010, my Hill of Doom got a workout. Some of the sliders had to be stopped before going off the plateau and go down the next steep and try to crash into I-395. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 WB 12K NAM at range 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Wow, the euro and NAM bs the world and the biggest meltdowns in these forums I have seen in years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 WB 6Z ICON, bipolar swings continue.... Image 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 WB 6Z ICON compared to 0Z. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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