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February Medium/Long Range Thread


stormtracker
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Just now, clskinsfan said:

This is great. We need to set up some kind of calling out the weenie posters 24 hours later on this site. Euro is caving BIG TIME. 

Will it fold eventually? Maybe. But that run was an improvement. The maps you posted included snow from today. As you can see 0z clearly better than 18z 

 

 

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Might need to see 12z tomorrow just to make sure that's happening. I will say that 0z looked better than 18z to my amateur eyes.

I mean it did cut his snow by like 40%. But if we’re solely basing our comparison on the resulting clown maps… it’s my opinion that it’s not a massive difference when you zoom out and look at the whole region. Maximum area in VA is nearly the same. Total snowfall in Baltimore is the same. The EPS is better and QPF bumped.

That being said.. I’d love to see things move further in our direction by tomorrow’s 12z and 0z runs.. Hoping we things trend back toward a more consolidated vort and a full phase
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5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

@Terpeast

Euro might have been slightly over amped in the end though, which is not good considering we need it to win 100%, but from 120 it was way way closer than everything else

Maybe instead of looking at how it did at 120hrs, see what the storm moving so far North means with regards to the future.. we have a real shot at thunderstorms tomorrow. The warm sector of this storm is awesome!  They say swings happen and "nothing is impossible" but the somewhat slight flex of -pna here today is for a flatter, and possibly slightly north, following storm..

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No it really wasnt. It was possibly a hold. POSSIBLY. 

Disagree there. The mean is clearly NW of 18z. DC and Baltimore see a few more inches of snow and the purples make it further north in Jersey. Pretty clear there. The vort is also more consolidated leading in if I’m seeing that correctly.
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Just now, clskinsfan said:

Fuck off bro. You are not even in our subforum. Go hang with your Philly bros. 

A bit too much of the 18 year olds tonight. I don’t know why you’re getting so worked up. Let’s watch the models over the next few days. 

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Just now, jayyy said:


Disagree there. The mean is clearly NW of 18z. DC and Baltimore see more a few more inches of snow and the purples make it further north in Jersey. Pretty clear there. The vort is also more consolidated leading in if I’m seeing that correctly.

He’s clearly just being stupid. Even a pro met was like what are talking about? 

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wrt euro v all others...actually it ended up being 2mb and maybe 20 miles off on is SLP placement from 120 v what it shows now at 24 hours and has the precip almost exactly where it is.  It pretty much nailed the storm from 120 while literally everything else, including the AI, was over 100 miles off. 

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1 minute ago, clskinsfan said:

Again. You get to stay here for some reason. Talking about your climo when it means nothing to rest of the subforum. Go away Philly boy. 

Cause I’m a better poster than you are? Cause clearly you are blind? Idk. I ain’t even close to Philly either. I can walk to Maryland from my place so take a nap. 

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wrt euro v all others...actually it ended up being 2mb and maybe 20 miles off on is SLP placement from 120 v what it shows now at 24 hours and has the precip almost exactly where it is.  It pretty much nailed the storm from 120 while literally everything else, including the AI, was over 100 miles off. 

Euro is 84 hours out man even closer with storm genesis. It’s possible it folds but now it’s in Nam range lol
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