Imgoinhungry Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 A goose is going to fart midflight over Kansas later tonight and it will cause the gfs to show a radically different outcome in its next run. . 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: zoomed for posterity… I’m going to bed. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, Jrlg1181 said: Nothing is much worse than waking up in hades late one night , then waking up 2 weeks later in VCU 100 miles away knowing that you had lost something that cannot be replaced... I’m sorry for your loss. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 We are so back lol 3 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 The fact that the euro HELD when everything else seems to perceive something that screws up the phase does give me some hope. It sees *something* to keep things together. And if there's one model I'd trust to have the breadth of data to pick up that *something* at only 4 days, it would be the Euro. But we shall see... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3 minutes ago, rjvanals said: It's crazy we're ~100 hours out with such a wide range of outcomes Nobody ever learns. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 OK. I am going to get weenied. But the Euro took another step towards the rest of guidance. WE NEED THE WAA. or its over. 2 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Euro has a later start time compared to gfs. Is that what we need for a phase and snowier outcome?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jon_snow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Euro might lose all credibility in a few days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Cliffhanger, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 19 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: ok but no one has been able to answer me this...models are showing a big snow to our SE, why can't I find a single example of a big snow for SE VA with a H5 low crossing OH and PA? Every miss to our south like that has an H5 crossing VA or NC not to our north. What am I missing? What your missing is that the trough is flatter on models than the Richmond snowstorm composite.. less neg tilted. That's the big difference. It's still likely a snowstorm but not a historical analog. You are thinking it means north, and it may, but really a flatter solution is the bigger thing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, jon_snow said: Euro might lose all credibility in a few days I highly doubt it shows this in a couple days, unless the other models move towards it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 If there is one model that won’t Cave its the euro. It probably will but it’s stubborn as hell on most occasions Hi guys 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Euro says hold my beer Scraff! You know what’s up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Euro is halfway between it's 12z and 18z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 If there's one model that I can trust to score a coup its the Euro. Not saying it's gonna happen, but you never know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, Scraff said: Euro says hold my beer Scraff! You know what’s up! Four fridges. Let’s goooo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: But the Euro took another step towards the rest of guidance. Has it? 500mb looked better than 18z actually. Kicker slowed down, more consolidated vort 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 It CLEARLY stepped to the rest of guidance. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 7 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Ignore. I have to watch the Euro. FUCK!!!!! You should have kept your other post about positive tilt in the gulf.. don't let 1 model run deter you. Especially when the Hemispheric 500mb pattern is not ideal... now we can get an amplified storm under a block, that part is good .. -AO extending down into the Hudson bay, but pieces 2 and 3 (Atlantic and Pacific troughs) are off.. that gives more margin for error and variance in models until the day off.. more of a "threading the needle" situation. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Euro and Nam vs world 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, clskinsfan said: It CLEARLY stepped to the rest of guidance. A pro met says otherwise, I’ll trust them. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, Ji said: Euro and Nam vs world EE in effect. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 It CLEARLY stepped to the rest of guidance. lol it’s better than 18z. It’s a hecs for everyone but you me aldie and terpeast in Va 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just got home from work what did I miss? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: It CLEARLY stepped to the rest of guidance. lol - put down your drink. It looked better than the 18z run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, EHoffman said: Just got home from work what did I miss? grab a drink, friend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 EE in effect. Lfg(freakin) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: You should have kept your other post about positive tilt in the gulf.. don't let 1 model run deter you. Especially when the Hemispheric 500mb pattern is not ideal... now we can get an amplified storm under a block, that part is good .. -AO extending down into the Hudson bay, but pieces 2 and 3 (Atlantic and Pacific troughs) are off.. that gives more margin for error and variance in models until the day off.. more of a "threading the needle" situation. oh FFS I am actually agreeing with Chuck for once. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, Ji said: Euro and Nam vs world Didn’t DT once say, you don’t bet against the 2 E’s? (The other E was ETA, which is now NAM, for those that don’t know) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now