WxUSAF Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Yeah without snark, a 7-8” mean AND median for MBY with it basically all after D7 is bananas. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2 Author Share Posted February 2 7 minutes ago, Heisy said: That strong of a snow mean this far out gives me 09-10 vibes. Those events were picked up well into the LR for that time . Well, I'm ready to find out. I'm a believer. Hopefully we can pbp on like Wed 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 46 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: hooooly... the median is over 6". Might have some fun individual members if you want to post those maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 6 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Might have some fun individual members if you want to post those maps 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 8 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: Wowwww Indeed 22 members show 9" or more for IAD, 12 showing 12" or more. Amazing. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 5 minutes ago, DarkSharkWX said: P30 for me and I'm good for 5 years. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 59 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: the 24hr median at 10 days is almost 2"... unbelievable confidence in something. The Jan 6th storm didn't appear on the 24hr median til ~wk out. I'm going to be happy with my February 12-13 BECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: That's a chilly President's Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: along with tons of precip 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 DC has a decent chance to double their snowfall this season just in the time period of Feb 12-16. 1 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 If this comes to fruition, I cannot wait to go dig up the posts from 6-8 months ago punting this winter in favor for next year lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Half of those handful of eps members that skunk us have more snow to our south lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2 Author Share Posted February 2 42 minutes ago, DarkSharkWX said: That's nuts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 AI has the 12th with a good hit but not a lot more other than light snows at the start before changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Well, I'm ready to find out. I'm a believer. Hopefully we can pbp on like Wed I’m getting the this is too good to be true vibes lol. We have been burnt so many times but I am hopeful. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 3 minutes ago, Ji said: I’m getting the this is too good to be true vibes lol. We have been burnt so many times but I am hopeful. Thru 2/15, if I can get at least one 6-10" event imby plus a few more lighter events, even if just an inch or 2 before or after a changeover, I'll be happy. But ensembles do suggest we'll do better than that. I think there will be more beyond 2/15 for sure unless modeling does a total aboutface. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Weeklies mean snowfall through D46 is 15-20”. YMMV on verification. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 16 minutes ago, stormtracker said: That's nuts We need the @Bob Chill shock-face, looking at some of these plots! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 What an astonishing signal for the February 11-14 timeframe on the EPS: 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 California is getting an atmospheric river and we're not torching. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 59 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: If this comes to fruition, I cannot wait to go dig up the posts from 6-8 months ago punting this winter in favor for next year lol You heard it here first that this winter was gonna be epic. I think I can win the snowfall forecast comp if this is as good as advertised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 48 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Half of those handful of eps members that skunk us have more snow to our south lol So...do we look at the more snow south solutions the same way in February as we did in January? I'm also not entirely clear on what you all mean when you say "shorter wavelengths". Does that mean waves that make the weather, so to speak are literally shorter in length as winter goes on? Shorter and more dynamic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: So...do we look at the more snow south solutions the same way in February as we did in January? I'm also not entirely clear on what you all mean when you say "shorter wavelengths". Does that mean waves that make the weather, so to speak are literally shorter in length as winter goes on? Shorter and more dynamic? Shorter wavelengths is, paradoxically in this case, referring to the longwave pattern. In mid-winter, there might be as few as 3-4 wavelengths around the globe at our latitude. As spring approaches, that number increases and hence the wavelength is shorter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Feb 16-March 20 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2 Author Share Posted February 2 55 minutes ago, Ji said: I’m getting the this is too good to be true vibes lol. We have been burnt so many times but I am hopeful. I felt that way before the early January thing. Kept waiting for the bottom to fall out. Models showed that SOB on like December 29th and turned out to be right. I'm still scared waiting for a rug pull, but every day I'm becoming more convinced. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: P30 for me and I'm good for 5 years. I'm liking P36 myself, lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 3 hours ago, North Balti Zen said: Gross I blame you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 2 minutes ago, Interstate said: I blame you. tough but fair Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Just now, North Balti Zen said: tough but fair Until we get a good snow here in central Baltimore County…. The curse is on your shoulders. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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