February Medium/Long Range Thread

[87storms]

If I were gonna ban someone over one, it’d be that one. 

This is a 4 seasons hobby for me. I ain’t no fugazi lol

[frd]

BAMM upcoming analogs based on the forecasted pattern

The upcoming pattern lines up rather nicely with years like 93,14 and 2021. The BIG wildcard could be the -NAO that might rival years like 2010 etc. There really isn't a great match overall for the upcoming -EPO/-PNA/-NAO/-AO mid Feb pattern. These look good for now.

Where did it snow in these years? Some heavy hitters in there.

 

 

The all model NAO forecast is remarkable. There will without a doubt be some big eastern US snow risks.

 

 

[IronTy]

ALEET!!!!   

 

JB has just invoked the Sistine Chapel pattern recognition!   Big snows incoming.  

[NorthArlington101]

Another model cycle, another run where the GFS isn’t caving off a wintry Wednesday… 

[TSSN+]

3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Another model cycle, another run where the GFS isn’t caving off a wintry Wednesday… 

Nam shows it too 

[87storms]

Ok I just played basketball…been a few days bc I’m nursing an elbow thing. I was starting to turn weather into a competitive sport…had to catch myself.

Let’s reel in a -nao and mjo southern stream phase. I’m all in now.

[Weather Will]

WB 12Z GFS and Can. for midweek. If EURO shows this at 12Z will start a thread for midweek storm.

[WhiteoutMD]

.

[blizzardmeiser]

37 minutes ago, IronTy said:

ALEET!!!!   

 

JB has just invoked the Sistine Chapel pattern recognition!   Big snows incoming.  

JB brings that out every year. So you know he must mean business with this upcoming pattern!

[Wonderdog]

12 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 12Z GFS and Can. for midweek. If EURO shows this at 12Z will start a thread for midweek storm.

Weather Will, you are Post # 666 in this thread, just sayin.

 

[Solution Man]

Incoming @ hour 225 on GFS 

[bncho]

Jaws...

[Solution Man]

@stormtrackerwhere u at

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, Solution Man said:

@stormtrackerwhere u at

Just woke up. Next panels are drool worthy. 

[stormtracker]

Strong CAD. Copious amounts of moisture (heaviest shunted to the south. But nobody would kick this run out of bed)  Well maybe Mitch/psu would?

[87storms]

Feb 12 is looking spicy.

[bncho]

Looks like something may try to develop right after.

[Solution Man]

Folks

[SnowenOutThere]

1 minute ago, bncho said:

Looks like something may try to develop right after.

Lots of energy out west with a 1046 high in southeast Canada 

[WVclimo]

GFS just printed out the heaviest snowfall ever for the state of Arkansas.

[stormtracker]

Some thing else is trying to make a run at us. But we appear to be slowly losing thermals 

[bncho]

now this storm wants to ride up the coast LOL

[Solution Man]

Round 2 @ 276…and it continues to snow

[WEATHER53]

3 hours ago, 87storms said:

Meh…I like snow, but I also like being 3 days closer to spring lol.

That’s a good discussion for spring banter 

[bncho]

Thermals are on life support 

[stormtracker]

CAD is there but weakening. vday storm on this run is pretty potent. Thermals are just marginal or collapsing. And then poof. Gone when the good stuff hits

[bncho]

Now we’re raining.

[SnowenOutThere]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

CAD is there but weakening. vday storm on this run is pretty potent. Thermals are just marginal or collapsing. And then poof. Gone when the good stuff hits

Can't be too upset when the final snowfall totals look like this though, well except maybe if you're Ji

[Maestrobjwa]

4 minutes ago, bncho said:

now this storm wants to ride up the coast LOL

When the thermals are warming...troll run in that regard, lol

[SnowenOutThere]

Either way I think the GFS has at least some signal of a -AO lmao