EHoffman Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, psuhoffman said: This ones happening This means more than any model run can, thank you. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, psuhoffman said: This ones happening There’s still time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 I mean 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 2 minutes ago, mappy said: Not reading 10+ pages. Has PSU told us how it can fail yet? You might want to go back a page or two and read lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 I have never snowboarded over 24” I have been above 18” in 1966, 1979, 1983 , 1996, 2010, 2016 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 40 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Zoomed in version. Literally everyone wins, minus the 1% of the folks in the very bottom right. Man, if Southern MD gets 30 inches and I only get 22, I'm gonna be apoplectic with rage. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 14 minutes ago, StormyClearweather said: I just poked a hole in my office ceiling tiles. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, TSSN+ said: I mean 60-70% chance of 6” five days out is crazy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 Eh, I'm like the other poster in this thread...this kinda thing does make the heart beat faster, but who really can be vested in this yet. We had these numbers last time for the storm that just passed a week out. Although @psuhoffman does have a point...this is a different evolution, different animal. But still, the last storm put the fear in me, so I'm not ready to jump all over this one, no matter how much I want to. Also, I hate we had these runs today, because some of you will become absolutely unhinged and unmanageable when things start see-sawing with the models. 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 37 minutes ago, StormyClearweather said: Can we talk about how fun it would be waking up to this? In that scenario, if you slept that night, you have to turn in your board card. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 7 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: @mitchnick don't let us down with the AI update It comes out at 2:00 pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 4 minutes ago, dailylurker said: You might want to go back a page or two and read lol Nah, Andy/Randy group text told me what I needed to know. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Looks like temps are mid 20’s during and low 20’s afterward ?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benjammin Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 ^Hopefully that would mean good ratios if the other factors are in line for snow growth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 gosh it'd be nice to have a storm where we don't have to agonize over the thermometer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 8 minutes ago, mappy said: There’s still time you should be ji more often 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 16 minutes ago, whiteout said: Gimme that 978 at ACY . The gradient may kick off wild winds again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 6 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Eh, I'm like the other poster in this thread...this kinda thing does make the heart beat faster, but who really can be vested in this yet. We had these numbers last time for the storm that just passed a week out. Although @psuhoffman does have a point...this is a different evolution, different animal. But still, the last storm put the fear in me, so I'm not ready to jump all over this one, no matter how much I want to. Also, I hate we had these runs today, because some of you will become absolutely unhinged and unmanageable when things start see-sawing with the models. the special ones dont just show up 3 days out...lol...i am glad we are having these runs today. the storm genesis is only 67 hours away LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 I might have to get WB because of this shit. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 That’s an amazing signal on the EPS this far out. Anyone have panels? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 7 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Eh, I'm like the other poster in this thread...this kinda thing does make the heart beat faster, but who really can be vested in this yet. We had these numbers last time for the storm that just passed a week out. Although @psuhoffman does have a point...this is a different evolution, different animal. But still, the last storm put the fear in me, so I'm not ready to jump all over this one, no matter how much I want to. Also, I hate we had these runs today, because some of you will become absolutely unhinged and unmanageable when things start see-sawing with the models. Was this your "don't make me stop this car" speech? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, Ji said: the special ones dont just show up 3 days out...lol...i am glad we are having these runs today. the storm genesis is only 67 hours away LOL At what time today will @mitchnick post that the AI is over Bermuda? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 1 minute ago, Ji said: the special ones dont just show up 3 days out...lol...i am glad we are having these runs today. the storm genesis is only 67 hours away LOL 96-24 =...about 67. Math checks out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Its a Breeze Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 8 minutes ago, TowsonWeather said: Man, if Southern MD gets 30 inches and I only get 22, I'm gonna be apoplectic with rage. Southern MD is the new Northern MD ...not really even joking... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, psuhoffman said: Was this your "don't make me stop this car" speech? I WILL TURN THIS STORM AROUND 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 Just now, Ji said: the special ones dont just show up 3 days out...lol...i am glad we are having these runs today. the storm genesis is only 67 hours away LOL I'm trying to tell you son, so you won't be heartbroken. Check your expectations this far out. You live in the MA, you know how this goes. I'm already scared of the future runs because you know there are going to be some stinkers in the mix and it may bounce back. I'm just trying to temper expectations...I'm a vet, I know how this shit could go down. If this was Sunday, I'd be fired the fuck up 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 If 18z gfs folds you're not going to be able to stop this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Was this your "don't make me stop this car" speech? Correct. Many people here won't make it. The mental breakdowns and hysteria could be epic. People are thirsty man...we haven't had something potentially this good since 2016. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 1 minute ago, Ji said: the special ones dont just show up 3 days out...lol...i am glad we are having these runs today. the storm genesis is only 67 hours away LOL I'm actually with you on this... this isn't the 90s anymore...the BIG ones dont just pop up and the whole "that's just where we want it" crap has never worked for us in the last 10 years. Around 150 hours out the models actually have done a pretty good job of getting fairly close to the right idea. That doesn't mean the details are perfect and you get the random hiccup runs and outliers you have to toss...but from 150 on in if you take the consensus of all the guidance its been pretty good at showing about what would happen with major systems. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 Just now, Jandurin said: If 18z gfs folds you're not going to be able to stop this You mean the GFS? It's going to shit the bed. If this is going to happen, the GFS always catches on late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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