mitchnick Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 No way it holds, but it was a pleasant evening. G'nite. Lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 00z output Forum wide:GFS: 6-10”GEM: 12-20+”UK: 12-16”Euro: 12-20+”Wow. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 I like how the precipitation field is vast and reaches far north and west from the center of the low. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 No way it holds, but it was a pleasant evening. G'nite. LolThe good ones tend to get sniffed out early. But agreed, lots of time for this to trend either more amped or more progressive. Huge improvement tonight though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 I'll probably be up by then...but only goes to 144, so not sure we'll glean much unless the H5 is clear as dayI know you think I’m a moron but the storm develops in 84/96 hours. Euro wheelhouse or nah? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, jayyy said: 00z output Forum wide: GFS: 6-10” GEM: 12-20+” UK: 12-16” Euro: 12-20+” Wow. This setup isn't messing around. We haven't had all major models showing a storm like this in the medium range in a long time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 No way it holds, but it was a pleasant evening. G'nite. LolGo to sleep before AI ruins everything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 1 minute ago, Ji said: I know you think I’m a moron but the storm develops in 84/96 hours. Euro wheelhouse or nah? It's not that, but you're looking at it in the wrong way. A slight change in the H5 map could definitely happen at 96 hours that could throw the whole thing off. You know sometimes models find phantom s/w they never had, etc etc. I need under 150 to becoming vested and under 120 to be fully vested 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 I know you think I’m a moron but the storm develops in 84/96 hours. Euro wheelhouse or nah?You’re actually not wrong. That’s why I think PSU’s 120-150 hour window to reel things is spot on. Yes, the storm is 120-150 out, but what makes or breaks storms is the initial evolution up top. 96 hours out is late Tuesday.. which is a crucial time for this storms evolution. Don’t think it’s a coincidence that every major model moved our way at the same time. Especially at 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 20 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Dr No is Dr Yes tonight Ji Ji has left the chat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 @Terpeast isn’t allowed to stay up for the euro ever again 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 It's not that, but you're looking at it in the wrong way. A slight change in the H5 map could definitely happen at 96 hours that could throw the whole thing off. You know sometimes models find phantom s/w they never had, etc etc. I need under 150 to becoming vested and under 120 to be fully vestedI guess what I’m saying is what happens between 96-120 will make or break our storm. The euro is often stubbornly good in this range so to me…this is encouraging 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 20 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 0Z EURO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Where are you @Maestrobjwa and @osfan24 ?! Sleeping like peasants??? Wake up and smell the digital snow!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 bit of a trend, no? EPS is looking great, btw 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 [mention=2515]Terpeast[/mention] isn’t allowed to stay up for the euro ever again I told him to stay up. He has 10 months to sleep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Incredible… and as Heisy said, there’s actually room for improvement at H5 on the Euro despite this outcome. Everyone would be happy, but man… can’t help but chuckle at the southern MD jack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 19 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 0Z EURO Happy Valentine's Day folks! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Happy Valentine's Day folks! FOLKS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 22 minutes ago, Heisy said: What’s insane to me is that this euro run was this good and h5 def had room for improvement . March 2001 vibes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 3 minutes ago, jayyy said: Where are you @Maestrobjwa and @osfan24 ?! Sleeping like peasants??? Wake up and smell the digital snow!! I commented like 20 mins ago, lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: March 2001 vibes Don't hex this HECS Ralphie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 11 minutes ago, RedSky said: Don't hex this HECS Ralphie H5 is eerily similar. That was a massive storm....eta: the southern energy just escaped. We didn't have the same sort of blocking as next week to force out tpv or a lobe of it South either as projected. Similarities but also differences on the positive side as of this hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 23 minutes ago, HighStakes said: I like how the precipitation field is vast and reaches far north and west from the center of the low. That’s exactly why I wanted an amplified pattern 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 EPS is sick. actually better than 12z 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 EPS is sick. actually better than 12zIndeed. Just waiting for the inevitable that 50-50 is too far north and it’s actually a +NAO comment 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 EPS is sick. actually better than 12zI would hope soSent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 I commented like 20 mins ago, lolHaha, I’m messing with ya. I just know you’re big storm hunting! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Wow, just got caught up and am stunned we have every major model on board in some capacity. We say it all the time, but the (say it with me now) “big ones are always sniffed out early.” That Euro run is legit and CMC / ULMeT looks great. GFS is close too. What a night! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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