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February Medium/Long Range Thread


stormtracker
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Yup was just thinking that. We’re only ~5 days out from this developing. 

Which is what worries me. Time is running out. To me the storm starts when it develops so it’s always sooner than we think. The next 24-36 hours is do or die I think
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Just now, Ji said:


Which is what worries me. Time is running out. To me the storm starts when it develops so it’s always sooner than we think. The next 24-36 hours is do or die I think

Imho, unless we can get the tpv to speed up or the storm to slow allowing the tpv to get close enough to yank it back west, we'll have a real hard time getting to double digits west of the Bay.

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4 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Imho, unless we can get the tpv to speed up or the storm to slow allowing the tpv to get close enough to yank it back west, we'll have a real hard time getting to double digits west of the Bay.

How we looking after the 20th? Will we have more chances? 

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8 minutes ago, Ji said:


Which is what worries me. Time is running out. To me the storm starts when it develops so it’s always sooner than we think. The next 24-36 hours is do or die I think

 

5 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Imho, unless we can get the tpv to speed up or the storm to slow allowing the tpv to get close enough to yank it back west, we'll have a real hard time getting to double digits west of the Bay.

Northern stream typically has more uncertainty/variability at short to medium lead times. That could be good or bad in this context.

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4 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

I thought it was fantastic lol. Lowlands Lowlands Lowlands Lowlands Lowlands.......

We still have a ton of time for the nw to be included. 

Yeah I see nothing wrong with those maps. It's rare we win on coastals. Usually it's like the beaches and the Eastern shore that win in the lowland coastal situations. I bet this one comes NW

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12 minutes ago, HighStakes said:

GFS and Euro continue to be way different on the timing. GFS has snow starting Wednesday morning and EURO is almost 24 hours later.

I believe in this situation we are supposed to assume there will be two storms and add the highest snow totals from each model.

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