Maestrobjwa Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: It’s possible but more iffy imo because the PV is still centered to our west as it drops and rotates under the block leading up to that event which opens the door to it amplifying too much and pulling north too far west. That doesn’t mean it won’t happen but I’m less sure of that. Any waves between Feb 19-23 it would be really hard for them to cut to our NW given the flow, assuming reality is anything close to what all the guidance (and history of blocking progression) suggests. That’s our first really high probability window imo. Before that we have shots but they are all flowed to some degree. Yes they are indeed flowed and we no how our flowed storms go...they have a risk if falling apart under 43 hours on Day 4. Know way to tell with those 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 11 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Yes they are indeed flowed and we no how our flowed storms go...they have a risk if falling apart under 43 hours on Day 4. Know way to tell with those That 43 hours just keeps coming up lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 2 minutes ago, winter_warlock said: That 43 hours just keeps coming up lol Lol There has been unusual ribbing of typos the last week or so... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Lol There has been unusual ribbing of typos the last week or so... Yup. It happens. Hell I make typos every day lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Just now, winter_warlock said: Yup. It happens. Hell I make typos every day lol Same--this ADD brain of mine likes to send first and ask questions later! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Same--this ADD brain of mine likes to send first and ask questions later! My ADD brain does the same thing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 4 hours ago, poolz1 said: Alrighty then... Fringed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 2 hours ago, WxUSAF said: AI buries us apparently? Where you at @mitchnick? On a different note, keep in mind this deamplification trend may be starting for the Thursday and weekend storms next week already… idk if i should post the map here... might as well lol 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Op gfs setting up the block day 4-5 and builds the western ridge at day 9, things might start to get interesting after that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 3 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Op gfs setting up the block day 4-5 and builds the western ridge at day 9, things might start to get interesting after that. I think after the wave around the 16th passes we have a solid week where any decent wave is a major threat. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I think after the wave around the 16th passes we have a solid week where any decent wave is a major threat. Yessir!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 1 hour ago, DarkSharkWX said: idk if i should post the map here... might as well lol Yessss plzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Well after seeing the models.. I can day with confidence that even if we dont cash in on the tuesday storm.we have alot of chances next 2 weeks!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 One of the worst gfs runs Ive ever seen 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 One of the worst gfs runs Ive ever seen Dont worry too much. Gfs cant get 2 days out correct let alone next 10. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Charts still look good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 LR EPS is trying to build a 50/50 low after Day 11 and +PNA too.. long range is looking better and better. Kudos to those who said it before.. what were you looking at, the extended weekly EPS? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 LR EPS is trying to build a 50/50 low after Day 11 and +PNA too.. long range is looking better and better. Kudos to those who said it before.. what were you looking at, the extended weekly EPS? The eps snow chart up to 15 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Just now, Ji said: The eps snow chart up to 15 days Seems like you found your tool. I was saying the 500mb pattern didn't look good when it was far out, but everything came together to match the snow output. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 It's an active pattern in the medium range.. so much for all that drought stuff everyone was going with after the dry Summer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 WB 6Z GFS fantasy range: could be the best two weeks of tracking in years... 1 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 WB 6Z GFS DC bullseye. Never seen this before. What a run!!! 3 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Fantasy range, but yeah, some fun looks showing up after PD in @psuhoffmans window 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 If a quarter of that happens we declare psu the snow whisperer. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Just now, dailylurker said: If a quarter of that happens we declare psu the snow whisperer. Too late he's already declared himself that 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 27 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z GFS DC bullseye. Never seen this before. What a run!!! dude... there are like 4" per hour snowfall rates... FOR SIX HOURS 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 SOLD 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 2 hours ago, Ji said: Charts still look good Meh that's like 47 one inch snows...pass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 +PNA, which is starting to show up in the long range, favors lower pressure on the coast.. like that 968mb frame on the LR GFS. Hopefully it holds.. it's going against the 7-year seasonal trend For learning, -EPO is always an ice possibility pattern.. non-neg EPO is rain/snow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 37 minutes ago, bncho said: SOLD 966mb off DELMARVA lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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