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February Medium/Long Range Thread


stormtracker
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  On 2/19/2025 at 10:57 PM, IronTy said:

I'm so over winter.  Looks like I'm not gonna get my HECS so my path to victory in the snow contest is done.   Given that, bring on spring.  

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Spring begins March 1st. Whether or not it feels like Spring is another story. Probably not the way things are looking at this juncture.

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  On 2/19/2025 at 11:07 PM, CAPE said:

Spring begins March 1st. Whether or not it feels like Spring is another story. Probably not the way things are looking at this juncture.

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I don't doubt.  We do cold and windy Marches really good down here.  Unfortunately cold in March usually means 40s and sun...looks great through my windows until I step outside.   

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  On 2/19/2025 at 11:13 PM, IronTy said:

I don't doubt.  We do cold and windy Marches really good down here.  Unfortunately cold in March usually means 40s and sun...looks great through my windows until I step outside.   

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Cold springs are the worst. If we get snow in the next couple of weeks OK but otherwise Looking forward to warmer weather and longer daylight. 

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  On 2/19/2025 at 10:26 PM, notvirga! said:

I’m not ready for winter to be over. This winter has been an awful tease; really thought I’d finally see a 6” plus snow storm in northern Baltimore Co or least get close to climo. Neither had happened 

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Nor am I.

March can deviate from the seasonal trend and more than once it has brought the biggest storm of the season. But it has to be a big one to be worth it for me.

Give me 8”+, or give me spring.

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  On 2/19/2025 at 11:07 PM, CAPE said:

Spring begins March 1st. Whether or not it feels like Spring is another story. Probably not the way things are looking at this juncture.

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When I transplanted to the Mid Atlantic from the south, what struck me weather-wise was that Falls here were much warmer than I expected and Springs much colder.

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  On 2/20/2025 at 12:06 AM, Heisy said:

The wave around the 28th is likely a rain event here unless we see a more meridional flow ahead of it which would also take the TPV farther SE like we saw on last nights GFS. I’m not out on the first 2 weeks of March though.


.

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18z AI looks pretty different from 12z but doesn't get anybody around here any snow. 

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  On 2/20/2025 at 1:01 AM, psuhoffman said:
The most predictable thing ever is the annual complaining and moaning as soon as we get to late February. 

You have to be a moron to want winter to end and late February or early March. We are warm nine months out there.
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