deer Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, LP08 said: Ukie with less amplification and phasing compared to 12z. Won’t be CMC bad but… Are you sure about that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: alright, I’ve snapped out of it. Reframed my expectations to a 3” storm. Let’s see if the UKIE and EURO say I need to lower those You may want to revise down to 0 lol 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 25 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Just made a bet with my sister that if the Ukmet caves and shows a storm under 10 inches she has to buy me a stuffed plushie and vise versa so I’m switching teams now. Well this makes it sting a little less... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 It dropped totals in the Midwest by like 6-7” so it’s not just us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Okay fine I’ll lower my expectations to 1” How about snow in the air? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, SnowenOutThere said: Well this makes it sting a little less... What are you going to do with that poor stuffed plushie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 UK is a SKLOF 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: Honestly. This is a legendary model collapse. This shit will be studied for decades. Unreal. Like March 2001? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Okay fine I’ll lower my expectations to 1” The only expectation we should have is to see better consensus and consistency Monday morning. Comparing vs past few runs show models still jumping around a lot. They just happened to jump in the same direction this cycle. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, deer said: Are you sure about that CMC has 0…Ukie an inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 I mean this is just embarrassing 0z 12z 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 I said it wouldn't be a bomb and would be flatter... reason is there are big differences in the Pacific off the west coast. We have a weak High pressure there, vs east-based-posPNA that a lot of analogs had. That Gulf of Alaska trough digs waves downstream, and you can get a Miller A type system.. that's not the pattern we have for this wave. Little chance it goes back to a bomb/blizzard, unless the Pacific pattern changes. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 That's gonna prob put a wrap on this year. "2024-25: 'When things go south'" 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 now that we might be moving on from this storm - did the rest of the window collapse? I thought this was just chance #1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 This is simply an embarrassing ass hobby. I sit my ass here for hours on end watching a computer simulation fuck with me. Its ridiculous. 2 6 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: now that we might be moving on from this storm - did the rest of the window collapse? I thought this was just chance #1? Spring time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: now that we might be moving on from this storm - did the rest of the window collapse? I thought this was just chance #1? We got this for the 26th... - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: now that we might be moving on from this storm - did the rest of the window collapse? I thought this was just chance #1? Not looking great but always hopeful. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 This is simply an embarrassing ass hobby. I sit my ass here for hours on end watching a computer simulation fuck with me. Its ridiculous. How are the models so atrocious?I swear we loss 100 inches of digital snow every winter. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Full UKIE run. Funny how it looks like the GEFS for some reason. We are fucked. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: This is simply an embarrassing ass hobby. I sit my ass here for hours on end watching a computer simulation fuck with me. Its ridiculous. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Wednesday Night Snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 19. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Time to change to smokin cirrus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, Chris78 said: Spring time Post pics in your Speedo. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Imagine the local mets in Norfolk right now. They just shit an eggplant. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 PSU must be busy killing chipmunks. I certainly don't blame him. This stings bad. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, AlexD1990 said: PSU must be busy killing chipmunks. I certainly don't blame him. This stings bad. PETA is on the way to Manchester. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 42 minutes ago, mappy said: Man, fuck this storm. see yinz tomm 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shaulov4 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: This is simply an embarrassing ass hobby. I sit my ass here for hours on end watching a computer simulation fuck with me. Its ridiculous. I haven't logged in here for over a year but that certainly made laugh out loud thank you 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 55 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Well, that went in complete reverse. TPV interaction went from partial to…”what interaction?” on the CMC. GFS trending backwards even more so for the S/S wave and interaction with the TPV is pretty awful. Now THAT is concerning. I’m not giving up hope, but man oh man, that is a step in the wrong direction to start the 00z suite. We’ll see what the UK and EC bring to the table because if they hold serve, then it’ll be a medium range model war. Damn UKIE joins the GFS and CMC abandoning ship Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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