bncho Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 5:14 PM, stormtracker said: OK UK, I get you're excitement but tone it down just a smidge. that mix line is too close. Luckily, it's the only one showing that....for now Expand Would you rather have the CMC or the UK solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 5:14 PM, WVsnowlover said: 50" totals in upstate NY lol Expand That includes today’s snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 If no objections, I'm going to delete those Ukie maps in about 10 minutes to free up my attachment space. Fair warning if you want to save them for posterity. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 5:11 PM, nj2va said: I want a tucked coastal bomb, gorgeous Expand I don't. thermals , hopefully the R/S does not come into play. Still feel this will be a cold smoke storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 5:16 PM, frd said: I don't. thermals , hopefully the R/S does not come into play. Still feel this will be a cold smoke storm. Expand Everyone mixes with the big ones. Always. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Round Hill WX Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 The classic Florida to New England Miller A. It’s been awhile. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 The almighty Euro is out to 24 on its 12z run. May the Force be with us 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 4:45 PM, Heisy said: . Expand To me that looks like 40-50 mph peak gusts here from that gradient 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 We need to get blessed with stormtracker's server right now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 5:18 PM, clskinsfan said: Everyone mixes with the big ones. Always. Expand Not true, Feb 2010 and Jan 2016 did not…and I am talking dc ish area 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 5:15 PM, Random Chaos said: That includes today’s snow. Expand You're right. They look to get into some decent lake effect snow early in the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 5:01 PM, WVsnowlover said: Was hoping to see a big jump in the snow mean on the GEFS to support the OP, but it was relatively unchanged. Meh, it will eventually . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 5:19 PM, yoda said: The almighty Euro is out to 24 on its 12z run. May the Force be with us Expand Way past that Yoder 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdskidoo Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 5:14 PM, WVsnowlover said: 50" totals in upstate NY lol Expand lake enhanced I'm sure. I don't know what they will do with it if they get that much we were there just this past week snowmobiling and the piles are huge now. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 5:15 PM, bncho said: Would you rather have the CMC or the UK solution Expand Iit's too tucked 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 5:11 PM, nj2va said: I want a tucked coastal bomb, gorgeous Expand It’s too tucked, dude. I-95 mixes bad 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 4:37 PM, stormtracker said: Ok...PSU, the thread is yours to start, but let the voting continue. Looks like tomorrow after 12z option is killing it tho. Expand I’ll start it whenever you all give the word On 2/15/2025 at 4:51 PM, Bob Chill said: Jan 29/30 is the exact analog date showing. I need to dig into the rest. I don't remember much memorable stuff on the list. Just avg storms or the wet not white storms. D3 is the best range for CIPS ime. Hopefully bigger dogs start showing once we get to mon AM Expand One period that’s popped up in the analogs a few times was March 13 2017. And it’s one of the best h5 matches to how the TPV behaves here. People don’t remember that fondly because it ended up a sleet bomb for most but this time we have a colder antecedent airmass and 2 weeks earlier so that might work. It was an amped as F system that Tucked right against the Delmarva similar to the ukmet track we just saw. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 5:25 PM, H2O said: It’s too tucked, dude. I-95 mixes bad Expand He has elevation. And for the record, not every MECS here has mixed. I recall several that stayed all snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 5:25 PM, H2O said: It’s too tucked, dude. I-95 mixes bad Expand rooting for western MD maybe 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 5:25 PM, psuhoffman said: I’ll start it whenever you all give the word One period that’s popped up in the analogs a few times was March 13 2017. And it’s one of the best h5 matches to how the TPV behaves here. People don’t remember that fondly because it ended up a sleet bomb for most but this time we have a colder antecedent airmass and 2 weeks earlier so that might work. It was an amped as F system that Tucked right against the Delmarva similar to the ukmet track we just saw. Expand Please not that, we had extensive tree damage here, and I am looking forward to my foot of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 5:27 PM, frd said: He has elevation. And for the record, not every MECS here has mixed. I recall several that stayed all snow. Expand If you dont mix there I dont get a MECS. It is what it is. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 5:27 PM, frd said: He has elevation. And for the record, not every MECS here has mixed. I recall several that stayed all snow. Expand I remember mixing worries with Jan 2016...lol (guilty). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 5:25 PM, H2O said: It’s too tucked, dude. I-95 mixes bad Expand Totally IMBY sport but I’ll be in Deep Creek with family visiting so a tucked bomb is better for western areas. Sorry (not sorry, but sort of) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 Noticing that the heights out front aren't quite as high as 6z... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Euro looks a bit more amplified early on? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Southern vort stronger vs 6z, woof woof . 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 5:29 PM, stormtracker said: Noticing that the heights out front aren't quite as high as 6z... Expand Uh oh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 holy shit the Euro is amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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