adelphi_sky Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 hour ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z ICON, nice start to 12Z. Another beach snow chase? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 11 minutes ago, mattie g said: That’s rich coming from you. Right??? Growth!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 When is the next hit of model crack? UKMET and when? 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 HM has spoken Quote Anthony Masiello @antmasiello.bsky.social · 1h My entire household is pretty sick, but watching the models simulate a classic Heather Archambault NAO phase change blizzard next week has been very nice. I'm impressed with the available potential energy for this cyclone. 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, Baltimorewx said: Seems legit but a little weary of super huge numbers. Pattern has been progressive, not sure it’s a slow enough mover for 18+. But seems like we all could score a 12-18” incher, the no worries about temps definitely helps That’s really my only worry, are we able to back up the flow enough to allow a relatively clean phase and bomb type situation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 At first glance, it's just having some issues with convection and latent heat/diabatic processes near the Gulf Stream that cause a delay in coastal development. Wouldn't be heading to the panic room over it. 7 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dendritious Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 11 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said: If this pans out, it might almost be enough to overcome the Dulles-Ashburn-Data-Center-Corridor snowhole. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: When is the next hit of model crack? UKMET and when? Should be out now. I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Ukie is running. Time to wash the stench of the CMC out of my mouth. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 One of the most common top 5 CIPS analogs I'm seeing last few days is late Jan 2010. CIPS is run off the gfs so not exactly a broad data set getting fed. Once we get to d3 it's a great tool for setting high/low bars based on history. I do think the Jan 2010 analog is a really good one. That was an awesome cold storm even if a surprise 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Ukie is running. Time to wash the stench of the CMC out of my mouth. It looks really good on the free maps. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 . 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 .TUCK BABY TUCK 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, Heisy said: It looks really good on the free maps . That looks like a win to me? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, Heisy said: . Niceee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, Bob Chill said: One of the most common top 5 CIPS analogs I'm seeing last few days is late Jan 2010. CIPS is run off the gfs so not exactly a broad data set getting fed. Once we get to d3 it's a great tool for setting high/low bars based on history. I do think the Jan 2010 analog is a really good one. That was an awesome cold storm even if a surprise Which storm? The first one was awesome out here. The second one was a major bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, Heisy said: . If what i think happens between frame 1 and frame 2 actually happens, it should be good! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 That looks like a win to me?I’d be shocked if it wasn’t, looks like bench mark from that position at 120. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, Heisy said: . Coastal hugger baby. Lets go. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Man, fuck the CMC, we now have the (hopefully) Euro, GFS, ICON, and UKMET on our side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 Where are the WB pretty map people for the UK? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 Just now, bncho said: Man, fuck the CMC, we now have the (hopefully) Euro, GFS, ICON, and UKMET on our side. Such awful language. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Where are the WB pretty map people for the UK?They come out much later, pivotal running now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, stormtracker said: Where are the WB pretty map people for the UK? Its still showing 00Z for me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 UKMET maps above look sexy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 So we have.... euro..gfs..ukmet..icon.. and AI Is very close....vs... the drunk uncle ( cmc) lol I like them odds 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: Which storm? The first one was awesome out here. The second one was a major bust. Jan 29/30 is the exact analog date showing. I need to dig into the rest. I don't remember much memorable stuff on the list. Just avg storms or the wet not white storms. D3 is the best range for CIPS ime. Hopefully bigger dogs start showing once we get to mon AM 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 34 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: We can start getting NAM'd tomorrow. How glorious. Nam will show 4ft for everyone. lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 If what i think happens between frame 1 and frame 2 actually happens, it should be good!One could extrapolate that it’s likely a hit. Holding off for the weenies who pay for prettier maps to jump to conclusions though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 7 minutes ago, Heisy said: . For the UKIE to show 981 mb low with this resolution is a really good sign, these maps usually depict the MLP way too high. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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