Bob Chill Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 If the cmc is the worst outcome I'm still hearing tents getting pitched. 6 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 4:21 PM, stormtracker said: Expand I'm just not there yet lol. Been in this game too long. Let me see the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 4:24 PM, Bob Chill said: If the cmc is the worst outcome I'm still hearing tents getting pitched. Expand If a partial phase and a turn up the coast is the fail scenario, them I'm definitely onboard. Would love to be able to take a complete whiff on the phase off the table as a fail option. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Well now we know what happened to the Canadian. Jim Cantore is coming. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post stormtracker Posted February 15 Author Popular Post Share Posted February 15 Ok, I got two camps about the thread. Do I open Ji's storm thread NOW or wait until 12z tomorrow? Hit the "100" reaction for now and Trophy cup reaction for tomorrow and I'll move accordingly. voting closes after the Euro runs. 1 51 1 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 4:24 PM, WVsnowlover said: There's going to be a lot of breath holding until the 12z Euro rolls out after that run Expand Let’s be honest here, even if the Canadian showed a monster, everyone still would be living or dying on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Negnao Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 So we swapped out the Canadian for the Gfs on our side but the Canadian has better verification scores. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 4:23 PM, North Balti Zen said: Even the Canadian is still an area wide warning snowfall, fucking put on your big person pants people. Jesus. Expand Would only be an advisory-level event for many in the forum, as depicted. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 4:24 PM, Bob Chill said: If the cmc is the worst outcome I'm still hearing tents getting pitched. Expand I think what we're seeing is a bit of a later capture than we'd like, but still time to get that upper level energy a bit further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 4:23 PM, North Balti Zen said: Even the Canadian is still an area wide warning snowfall, fucking put on your big person pants people. Jesus. Expand That’s rich coming from you. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 4:25 PM, snowmagnet said: Well now we know what happened to the Canadian. Jim Cantore is coming. Expand Cantore can sniff out thundersnow a week in advance. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 4:25 PM, WxUSAF said: If a partial phase and a turn up the coast is the fail scenario, them I'm definitely onboard. Would love to be able to take a complete whiff on the phase off the table as a fail option. Expand Verbatim the narrow stripe is "scary" but given the upper level setup and the history of our area, it's still a widespread storm and the cmc just burped a little. I can't think of any setups like this (with a turn instead of exit) that didn't cover the area pretty evenly except for the impossible to predict jack stripe. Basically take the cmc jack and smooth it out westward 75 miles and it looks more typical (imo only) 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 4:25 PM, WxUSAF said: If a partial phase and a turn up the coast is the fail scenario, them I'm definitely onboard. Would love to be able to take a complete whiff on the phase off the table as a fail option. 6” being the floor at 12z certainly isn’t bad. The past couple of years we all would have literally cried for a 6” storm. Now half the forum is disappointed that every single model doesn’t show 12-24” 4.5 days out lol. Weenies be weenieing 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Hopefully this was just a blip and it's not catching onto something early. The previous three runs had been fantastic. I lost 16" of digital snow on that run. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 If you guys think despite verification scores the shit ass GGEM is better than the GFS, you’re smokin some good shit. If the Canadian was the only model not showing a storm, we’d care way less than the gfs not showing it… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 4:24 PM, Bob Chill said: If the cmc is the worst outcome I'm still hearing tents getting pitched. Expand Nah I’m like the groundhog. After last night, saw my shadow. 6 more weeks of hibernation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 4:18 PM, csnavywx said: 100%. Doing my shopping today before people lose their collective minds. Remember the gas, rock salt, matches and cash. Expand Going to stock up on the hearty ingredients for stews and pot roasts as well. Weather that will keep you parked calls for good, hearty nourishment. Time for pancakes and pot roasts! 4 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 4:31 PM, Baltimorewx said: Nah I’m like the groundhog. After last night, saw my shadow. 6 more weeks of hibernation Expand What you thinking about this threat Chris? Is it a real big dog potential? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 4:25 PM, stormtracker said: Ok, I got two camps about the thread. Do I open Ji's storm thread NOW or wait until 12z tomorrow? Hit the "100" reaction for now and Trophy cup reaction for tomorrow and I'll move accordingly. voting closes after the Euro runs. Expand I say delete JI’s thread and have PSU start the storm thread! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Seems like chances keep increasing for this to develop similar to the PD 03 setup, but temps may be less of an issue? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 4:32 PM, GATECH said: I say delete JI’s thread and have PSU start the storm thread! Expand +1000 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 4:25 PM, stormtracker said: Ok, I got two camps about the thread. Do I open Ji's storm thread NOW or wait until 12z tomorrow? Hit the "100" reaction for now and Trophy cup reaction for tomorrow and I'll move accordingly. voting closes after the Euro runs. Expand Let PSU start a new thread for his storm. Ji brings bad juju. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 What happens if we switch and get GFS/ICON on our side but then Euro/CMC against us... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 4:33 PM, LeesburgWx said: What happens if we switch and get GFS/ICON on our side but then Euro/CMC against us... Expand Anarchy 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Agreed. PSU starts it. This is his baby. Even got the date correct from weeks out 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 4:32 PM, weathercoins said: Seems like chances keep increasing for this to develop similar to the PD 03 setup, but temps may be less of an issue? One thing is for sure… temps won’t be an issue. The major question is do we get a full or partial phase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Hoping ukmet us onboard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 Ok...PSU, the thread is yours to start, but let the voting continue. Looks like tomorrow after 12z option is killing it tho. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 4:32 PM, DDweatherman said: What you thinking about this threat Chris? Is it a real big dog potential? Expand Seems legit but a little weary of super huge numbers. Pattern has been progressive, not sure it’s a slow enough mover for 18+. But seems like we all could score a 12-18” incher, the no worries about temps definitely helps 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts