Bob Chill Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Outside of the few main ateries around here, they really don't plow lol. The cold 4" storm was mostly left to clear itself. Lots of trucks so people just drive through whatever and go. Once a track is packed, cars quickly follow lol. I could do without a 12" storm because it's so disruptive and I'm behind schedule with our project already due to a cold winter. But.... I'm so curious how bad it might be that I'm doom rooting lol. We had a lot of trees come down on the roads this year with the 2 ice events. Unless they hit power lines, local residents are pretty much responsible for getting them out of the way. I always have a chainsaw in the bed of my truck and have stopped multiple times to clean up public roads. So many people do it that roads are rarely blocked for more than a blink. I really enjoy living in an area where nearly everyone is resourceful and has tools to take care of problems on the spot. Having limited public services almost seems beneficial to qualify of life. Everyone does their part quickly without a second thought. Starkly different than my Rockville years lol 20 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 The…(??) MOGREPS-G not fully on board yet 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, paulythegun said: The…(??) MOGREPS-G not fully on board yet Where did this model come from? Lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, paulythegun said: The…(??) MOGREPS-G not fully on board yet That’s the UK ens, they looked great yesterday truthfully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, LeesburgWx said: Where did this model come from? Lol Ukie ensembles i believe. Hardly look at the ukie anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 minutes ago, paulythegun said: The…(??) MOGREPS-G not fully on board yet 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Where did this model come from? LolFrom the depth of Hell 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 5 minutes ago, paulythegun said: The…(??) MOGREPS-G not fully on board yet Post more please 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 16 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said: Where is the AI? I'm an old-timer using TTidbits. The GFS and Icon push the SLP OTS. But I just thought it outran the northern energy. How can they tell it's chasing convection rather than just outstripping? Trop tiddies has the euro ai under the global models, with limited outputs. But only at 00z and 12z. The 6 and 18 runs are on paid sites Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 While we wait for 12z GEOS-5, to come in, here’s 0z GEOS-5 for comparison (out to sea) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 hours ago, WxUSAF said: 6z gfs was a major step toward a euro-like solution. Much closer to a phase than any earlier runs. But was it a move towards the ICON? That’s the big question of the morning! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 We better start getting some agreement at 12z. Still nervous AF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 hour ago, TSSN+ said: Important question here. I’m supposed to fly out of dca Friday at 345. If this storm is over by 4pm Thursday will I be good? @stormtracker, will he be good? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 We can start using long range Nam now 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 23 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Outside of the few main ateries around here, they really don't plow lol. The cold 4" storm was mostly left to clear itself. Lots of trucks so people just drive through whatever and go. Once a track is packed, cars quickly follow lol. I could do without a 12" storm because it's so disruptive and I'm behind schedule with our project already due to a cold winter. But.... I'm so curious how bad it might be that I'm doom rooting lol. We had a lot of trees come down on the roads this year with the 2 ice events. Unless they hit power lines, local residents are pretty much responsible for getting them out of the way. I always have a chainsaw in the bed of my truck and have stopped multiple times to clean up public roads. So many people do it that roads are rarely blocked for more than a blink. I really enjoy living in an area where nearly everyone is resourceful and has tools to take care of problems on the spot. Having limited public services almost seems beneficial to qualify of life. Everyone does their part quickly without a second thought. Starkly different than my Rockville years lol I live in a similar rural area. Between a few tractors with blades and my atv with a blade on the front, we get the neighbor’s driveways plowed and our street plowed waaay before VDOT ever gets a chance. It is fun and kind of awesome! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, Ji said: We can start using long range Nam now We can't even use the NAM 24 hours out and you wanna look at it for this storm? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 6 minutes ago, WesternFringe said: @stormtracker, will he be good? Lol He's not serious, but if he was, I'd give him a pass. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 I just want to know what the HRRR says. I’m not onboard until it’s onboard. Did so well with this week’s event! 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 15 minutes ago, Paleocene said: Trop tiddies has the euro ai under the global models, with limited outputs. But only at 00z and 12z. The 6 and 18 runs are on paid sites Oh wow I notice it now. I just never even bothered to look. So what's the difference between this model and the operational Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: We can't even use the NAM 24 hours out and you wanna look at it for this storm? I stand by the NAM. It has it's time and place! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 Just now, Wetbulbs88 said: I stand by the NAM. It has it's time and place! 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, nj2va said: I just want to know what the HRRR says. I’m not onboard until it’s onboard. Hrrr is a great model when the storm is literally starting. Outside 6 hours it's clueless. I like NAM for short range (thunderstorms). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: We'll pass the 100 hour mark with the 0z runs tonight. Storm starts forming in 60-ish hours. We're getting pretty close. There's going to be a storm nearby. Miss risk seems mostly associated with something that hits Norfolk area then slides OTS. Have we made it past the dreaded Pacific Dropsonde data injection point yet? I dont know if you guys remember but the last storm was a 10-15 inch deal before @stormtracker jinxed it with the storm thread and Dropsonde data. At any rate, she looks healthy to me: 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Must you remind us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, stormtracker said: I spoke to him on the phone once when I was in college and considering meteorology. I'd reached out to the station requesting a conversation. He probably thought I was a special individual. I was a little starstruck and kind of blew my shot. Not sure what I wanted to get out of it anyway. Maybe more snow? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 3 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Must you remind us? Yes. Every time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miss Pixee Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 9 hours ago, Chris78 said: F#cking Folks Looks like two behemoths squaring up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 Ok, since Ji put a gun to my head and made me look at the NAM, totally against my will btw... I compared the H5 maps of it and the 6z Euro...and I gotta say...the NAM looks even better? 3 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 I really hope this one works because the 0z Eps are saying March will feel like spring. Talk about everything being opposite of what we want. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, stormtracker said: Ok, since Ji put a gun to my head and made me look at the NAM, totally against my will btw... I compared the H5 maps of it and the 6z Euro...and I gotta say...the NAM looks even better? The NAM def looks more toward a Euro camp than it does the GFS. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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