mitchnick Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 12:21 PM, Ji said: I have it but I’m not going to post them. I haven’t seen them nor want too. 12z will be out soon enough. Enjoy your 17 for a few hours Expand And this is why the doctor said to take your meds before reading the board. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 12:03 PM, Ji said: Is that less thsn 00z? Expand 6z Eps is better than 0z Eps. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 12:19 PM, LeesburgWx said: Anyone have the 06z Euro Ens individual member plots? Expand 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 11:34 AM, mitchnick said: 17 or 18 inches I can shovel I think. 2' that the 0z had might have been a bit much for this old man. Expand You got a truck? Come borrow my snowblower 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 12:26 PM, nj2va said: Expand Another deal like last week where only a few out of fifty members show no snow at this range. Last week, it snowed. It's gonna snow. Still too early to set the bar/expectations re: totals. Will start doing that tomorrow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Important question here. I’m supposed to fly out of dca Friday at 345. If this storm is over by 4pm Thursday will I be good? 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 12:27 PM, psuhoffman said: You got a truck? Come borrow my snowblower Expand Oh no, that's cheating. I've said to my wife for years if I had to choose how to die, it would be from a heart attack shoveling snow. 3 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 12:03 PM, Ji said: I think most agree that anything under 10 20 now would be heartbreaking Expand Fixed it for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 12:31 PM, TSSN+ said: Important question here. I’m supposed to fly out of dca Friday at 345. If this storm is over by 4pm Thursday will I be good? Storm may not end till 1am but you should be good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 12:29 PM, Paleocene said: Another deal like last week where only a few out of fifty members show no snow at this range. Last week, it snowed. It's gonna snow. Still too early to set the bar/expectations re: totals. Will start doing that tomorrow Expand I’m setting the bar higher than last week already. Last week we knew it was barely cold enough and we’d be talking about 6ish hours of snowfall that would melt the next day. Very different setup here. I’m thinking double digits or bust here to be honest. If it doesn’t happen oh well it’s almost spring anyway but I’m going all in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 12:29 PM, Paleocene said: Another deal like last week where only a few out of fifty members show no snow at this range. Last week, it snowed. It's gonna snow. Still too early to set the bar/expectations re: totals. Will start doing that tomorrow I counted 10-12 thst have the dreaded se Va jack 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 12:39 PM, Ji said: I counted 10-12 thst have the dreaded se Va jack Expand Yeah, still too many there for us to get comfortable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 12:42 PM, LeesburgWx said: Yeah, still too many there for us to get comfortable Expand 5 days out is way too long to ever get comfortable really. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 12:48 PM, mitchnick said: 5 days put is way too long to ever get comfortable really.It’s not 5 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Temperatures on Wednesday will be about 10 to 15 degrees below average only reaching near or slightly below or slightly above freezing, setting the stage for some accumulating snowfall widespread across our region. why not just say near freezing. Lol 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 12:49 PM, Ji said: It’s not 5 days. Expand We'll pass the 100 hour mark with the 0z runs tonight. Storm starts forming in 60-ish hours. We're getting pretty close. There's going to be a storm nearby. Miss risk seems mostly associated with something that hits Norfolk area then slides OTS. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 12:49 PM, Ji said: It’s not 5 days. Expand I was figuring from last night's runs until Wednesday evening flakes, but we're obviously going to be 4 today. But 4 days out isn't a whole lot more reassuring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 12:21 PM, Ji said: I have it but I’m not going to post them. I haven’t seen them nor want too. 12z will be out soon enough. Enjoy your 17 for a few hours Expand I'll bet ur a riot at parties 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 12:52 PM, WxUSAF said: We'll pass the 100 hour mark with the 0z runs tonight. Storm starts forming in 60-ish hours. We're getting pretty close. There's going to be a storm nearby. Miss risk seems mostly associated with something that hits Norfolk area then slides OTS. Expand This feels like that internet meme making fun of weathermen where it says chance of snow anywhere from 0-70" i think our envelope right now is 4-15" and anything in between is on the table Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 6z AI is getting there. 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Stolen from New England thread. Look at those ultra tucked lows. Anyone have the frame before this? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 12:58 PM, mitchnick said: 6z AI is getting there. Expand Aren’t the purples like .2 to 3.8 inches of QPF on the key though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 12:58 PM, mitchnick said: 6z AI is getting there. Expand Definitely much better! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 12:58 PM, aldie 22 said: This feels like that internet meme making fun of weathermen where it says chance of snow anywhere from 0-70" i think our envelope right now is 4-15" and anything in between is on the table Expand I’m 100% sure (ok, 99%) that they will be an east coast storm this week. 80-90% sure it’s going to snow a lot somewhere between RDU/ORF and BOS. 75% sure of shovelable snow in LWX WFO area. 99% chance of Ji being disappointed 5 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 1:02 PM, Interstate said: Aren’t the purples like .2 to 3.8 inches of QPF on the key though? Expand 1st purple is .4" - 1.00" and the 2nd one is 1"-2" liquid qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 1:01 PM, LeesburgWx said: Stolen from New England thread. Look at those ultra tucked lows. Anyone have the frame before this? Expand Closeup 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 11:30 AM, Heisy said: .A great run for all of us and it seems pretty realistic honestly. Obviously we may end up with less than 17” but I do think it’s most likely an nyc long island and SNE jackpot scenario. The euro progression is a classic for that area. Still, 17” is nothing to sneeze at from here to philly. Love the distribution! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 1:07 PM, mitchnick said: Closeup Expand Nice, many are tucked and west of the mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 12:33 PM, mitchnick said: Oh no, that's cheating. I've said to my wife for years if I had to choose how to die, it would be from a heart attack shoveling snow. Expand I have a quarter mile driveway if you include the part shared with 5 neighbors. One of them has a tractor and will plow it but if they aren’t home or I need to get out before they get to it no way I’m shoveling that ish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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