mitchnick Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, 87storms said: This run might make some new friends With or without fins? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 2 minutes ago, Shad said: looks a touch better at 102 ha..he's at 102. Nelson voice: Haha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: im only at 118 - we've already got some snow on the table at least Some decent stuff coming up, just not sure it's gonna fully turn the corner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 117 now lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 Man, fuck the GFS 3 4 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 Why can't it just fucking do right. Still slides it S and E off 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Some decent stuff coming up, just not sure it's gonna fully turn the corner would be surprised if it does looking at 126 but not calling it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Tpv splits at 120hrs then reorganized as one again at 123hrs wtf 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 That being said, still gets accumulating snow up to us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, stormtracker said: Why can't it just fucking do right. Still slides it S and E off ok i'll call it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: ok i'll call it post the pretty maps...we do get snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: That being said, still gets accumulating snow up to us 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Here's the problem. Look at the tpv. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, stormtracker said: Why can't it just fucking do right. Still slides it S and E off 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Stupid GFS is a stubborn little bastard. I mean, I'll take 3-6", but still. fuck 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Actually more spacing between the trop PV and the southern shortwave on 18z vs 12z. So the storm is entirely southern forced. That actually makes it a bit stronger than 12z (no interference from the northern stream), but WAY far from a phase like the Euro/GGEM/Ukie. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, mitchnick said: Here's the problem. Look at the tpv. For those of us who don't know...which is the "tpv"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Doesn’t phase like the euro, but seemed like an improvement early on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 I think the GFS just needs a little more time. Let's give it till tomorrow 12z 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: An Improvement from 12 z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 So we either get 3” or 24”. Lock it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, Terpeast said: I think the GFS just needs a little more time. Let's give it till Wednesday at 12z FYP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, Terpeast said: I think the GFS just needs a little more time. Let's give it till tomorrow 12z The GFS is stupid, no matter how much time you give it. What happened to the 15" Richmond was promised at gametime? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: For those of us who don't know...which is the "tpv"? The blue, oblong feature. All other models have it circular and intact instead of a stretched out gumby. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, bncho said: The GFS is stupid, no matter how much time you give it. What happened to the 15" Richmond was promised at gametime? Well if you're going by that verification, its jack was off by about 50 miles too far south. Look at the map, and draw your own conclusion. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alfoman Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 It's pretty close but that strange elongated TPV with a more north orientation than the Euro is what causes this result. Honestly a good reminder how delicate the 500mb evolution can be for the resulting surface translation. Hope its wrong lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 How the GFS is handling the PV is just weird. 0z was tight ball over MI. This run is some stretched out elongated thing from MI to ND Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Watch the tpv slow so much it ends up phasing with the kicker sw. That would be some shit. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 It is holding back more energy in the SW than the rest of the models. Which is weird. Because that is usually a Euro thing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Small improvement, onto the next run 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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