MDScienceTeacher Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 7:14 PM, stormtracker said: Anybody have important plans Thursday? Expand Yeah I have a flight leaving for Puerto Rico… been planned for months now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 18z ICON at 120 (end of run) H5 NA map 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 9:12 PM, whiteout said: This will end up being a one model cycle pump fake……write it down. Too much timing that has to go right to make this a forum wide KU. Kicker that pumps the ridge, northern and southern steam phasing, charged up low coming out of the northern stream, etc. Fun while it lasted though. . Expand I hope u never get a job as a motivational speaker cause ud suck at it lol 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 9:23 PM, psuhoffman said: That's a firm declaration, coming from you Expand I have worked on firming my declarations up, now i can do it regularly without an issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 9:23 PM, mitchnick said: Icon probably slower this run, but that's a guess. Expand I know little, but the surface depiction looks Euro-esque to me. That can't be bad, right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 9:24 PM, yoda said: 18z ICON at 120 (end of run) H5 NA map Expand To my untrained eye. That doesn't look bad at all 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 ICON seems considerably better? 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 9:24 PM, MDScienceTeacher said: Yeah I have a flight leaving for Puerto Rico… been planned for months now Expand I hope you're joking, because you know what comes next, right? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 I’d want the southern stream to slow down just a little on the ICON for the ideal solution. But otherwise it looks pretty good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Wednesday/Thursday has a lot of potential. We can't know at this time whether this will be a trace-1 inch or 10 -20 inches. Speculation will provide no answers. Many factors will create the ultimate solution. We should have a better handle by perhaps Monday. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 9:25 PM, ravensrule said: I have worked on firming my declarations up, now i can do it regularly without an issue. Expand This is a safe space. You don't have to lie to us. I know that's hard for you, though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 9:28 PM, stormy said: Wednesday/Thursday has a lot of potential. We can't know at this time whether this will be a trace-1 inch or 10 -20 inches. Speculation will provide no answers. Many factors will create the ultimate solution. We should have a better handle by perhaps Monday. Expand Thank you. Personally I think we'll have a better handle by Thursday, Friday at the latest. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 9:28 PM, LVblizzard said: I’d want the southern stream to slow down just a little on the ICON for the ideal solution. But otherwise it looks pretty good. Expand Hey fancy meeting you here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Icon looks good to me personally, it’s slower than 12z and more in line with other models with speed. That ULL was dropping in ala euro there. Isobars nice curve. Good start imo . 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 9:28 PM, stormy said: Wednesday/Thursday has a lot of potential. We can't know at this time whether this will be a trace-1 inch or 10 -20 inches. Speculation will provide no answers. Many factors will create the ultimate solution. We should have a better handle by perhaps Monday. Expand Thanks so much. We were all quite lost without you chiming in. 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 9:37 PM, mappy said: Thanks so much. We were all quite lost without you chiming in. Expand I mean, in fairness that pretty much does sum up where we are at over the last 15 pages. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 9:11 PM, stormtracker said: Well yall good luck tonight at 0z. Bf and I have a spectacular dinner at 9 and some Valentine’s alone time, so I will not be on tonight. Expand You have the wrong priorities man!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 9:44 PM, Interstate said: You have the wrong priorities man!!! Expand Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 Nothing of note yet on the GFS...but it's super early. Things look similar outside of some very small noise level changes. But we aren't to the panels where we can start to see the H5 changes that needs to happen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 Up top is slightly further NE with the ULL...could just be timing tho. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 Like I said, there are very subtle differences, but could have an affect that propagates down the line? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 at 93, nothing jumping out so far. Imma just shut up now and wait for the good panels. I can only say. "aint shit happening" but so many different ways 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 There are some more than noise level changes out west with h5...let's see what she's gonna do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 I have nothing to say. Just saying hi yall 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 looks a touch better at 102 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feen Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 10:02 PM, stormtracker said: I have nothing to say. Just saying hi yall Expand hi looks about the same so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 i'm up to 123...angle of attack does look a tad better...still unsure if it'll make the turn quick enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 This run might make some new friends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 On 2/14/2025 at 10:04 PM, stormtracker said: anyway, i'm up to 123...angle of attack does look a tad better...still unsure if it'll make the turn quick enough Expand im only at 118 - we've already got some snow on the table at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kleimax Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Is this the type of setup where we could potentially see the timing of the onset slow down a little bit? I have a flight coming from Florida back here Thursday morning. A Wednesday night start would not be good for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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