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February Medium/Long Range Thread


stormtracker
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  On 2/14/2025 at 12:25 PM, Heisy said:


Oddly I thought EPS moved the other way a bit, hard to tell. I’d like to see euro Ai keep ticking W


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Yeah, I hadn't looked at the Eps. 144hrs precip field is definitely east of 0z, but the slp is south of 0z which suggests a bit slower. Otoh, the tpv is east of 0z by a good bit. The question is whether with the tpv further east, would the precip field have been pulled west some.

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  On 2/14/2025 at 12:56 PM, aldie 22 said:
Some of you aren't going to make it if this thing waffles over the next 5 days....because that never happens 

The 6ZEPS already has the rug pull in place
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  On 2/14/2025 at 1:12 PM, Ji said:

On a positive note, I will say that the operational euro has destroyed the AI this season

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AI really has been the evil twin of the Euro. But I haven't seen it show a bomb that hits us like the 2/24 storm on this run fwiw. At this range, I  would still favor the operationals and their ensembles. 

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  On 2/14/2025 at 1:16 PM, mitchnick said:

AI really has been the evil twin of the Euro. But I haven't seen it show a bomb that hits us like the 2/24 storm on this run fwiw. At this range, I  would still favor the operationals and their ensembles. 

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It just seems like another piece of guidance, I think with our snow events this year the euro has definitely done better than the AI especially the closer in we get.  I haven’t seen a pattern of the op trending towards it or anything like that.  If anything I think it’s the reverse. 

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