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February Medium/Long Range Thread


stormtracker
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Just now, stormtracker said:

That's the thing I like to see..the cold after.  Snowfall in the 20s is just the cream of the crop.

lets take a CMC GFS blend and call it a winter. I mean by that point...average temps will be near 50 lol

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2 minutes ago, EHoffman said:

Nah because of what could have been.  We don't get HECS often and to miss one by a hair would be disgusting.  Also I'd be crawling back next winter.

That is normal in a nina, we get SECY/MECS and northeast of us gets HECS.  If that happens have to just focus on what we get and not cry about Boston

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Just now, stormtracker said:

Shit, was gonna go to bed early.  Probably gonna hang for the stupid Euro.   But judging by recent runs, it prob won't start till 4am

this is where the Dr no stuff began right? GFS big yes..Canada big yes..euro big no

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7 minutes ago, Amped said:

If you averaged the January 1966 and the February 1978 storms, you'd get the latest Gfs run.

Does this storm really have that potential or is it a model fantasy? What do the mets think of as an analog if any?

20 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

That is normal in a nina, we get SECY/MECS and northeast of us gets HECS.  If that happens have to just focus on what we get and not cry about Boston

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Just now, Jersey Andrew said:

Does this storm really have that potential or is it a model fantasy? What do the mets think of as an analog if any?

Pretty sure it's going to match with a few KU storms on the cips analog page. Pattern looks almost textbook. Not to say we can't get screwed.

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I'm not chopped liver over here.  Especially with the big ones you can see early on.   I wish SV had the pretty snow maps tho.  But hey, I ain't paying for it 

18% Chance we get a folks tonight
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