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February Medium/Long Range Thread


stormtracker
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  On 2/13/2025 at 5:54 PM, WxUSAF said:
Yup was just thinking that. We’re only ~5 days out from this developing. 

Which is what worries me. Time is running out. To me the storm starts when it develops so it’s always sooner than we think. The next 24-36 hours is do or die I think
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  On 2/13/2025 at 5:56 PM, Ji said:


Which is what worries me. Time is running out. To me the storm starts when it develops so it’s always sooner than we think. The next 24-36 hours is do or die I think

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Imho, unless we can get the tpv to speed up or the storm to slow allowing the tpv to get close enough to yank it back west, we'll have a real hard time getting to double digits west of the Bay.

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  On 2/13/2025 at 5:56 PM, Ji said:


Which is what worries me. Time is running out. To me the storm starts when it develops so it’s always sooner than we think. The next 24-36 hours is do or die I think

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  On 2/13/2025 at 5:59 PM, mitchnick said:

Imho, unless we can get the tpv to speed up or the storm to slow allowing the tpv to get close enough to yank it back west, we'll have a real hard time getting to double digits west of the Bay.

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Northern stream typically has more uncertainty/variability at short to medium lead times. That could be good or bad in this context.

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  On 2/13/2025 at 6:00 PM, dailylurker said:

I thought it was fantastic lol. Lowlands Lowlands Lowlands Lowlands Lowlands.......

We still have a ton of time for the nw to be included. 

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Yeah I see nothing wrong with those maps. It's rare we win on coastals. Usually it's like the beaches and the Eastern shore that win in the lowland coastal situations. I bet this one comes NW

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