stormtracker Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 Well fuck...it got even better 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 4 1 1 6 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: It's actually FOLKS worthy if the SV maps are right Is it just me or have the waves we've been tracking this year just looked weird? (I am NOT complaining about that result, btw! Just curious) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Psu, wipe that smile off your face. Lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 looks like around 15 in DC and Baltimore touching 18, lol. Again, SV maps yall, don't take my word on amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: There ya go. I was right for like 2 out of 100 times with the SV maps. Told ya..15 in DC...was off on the Bmore part tho 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 Sleet line barely makes it past DC and only approaches and crosses when the storm is winding down it appears to me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: There ya go. I was right for like 2 out of 100 times with the SV maps. Told ya..15 in DC...was off on the Bmore part tho Might be including a little bit of snow this Saturday in those maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Still snowing imby at 195hrs, 3 hours after this map fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, stormtracker said: Sleet line barely makes it past DC and only approaches and crosses when the storm is winding down it appears to me Gotta smell the sleet and whatnot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hstorm Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Even more through 195 (subtract a few tenths in most places for snow that GFS says we get over the weekend); 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: There ya go. I was right for like 2 out of 100 times with the SV maps. Told ya..15 in DC...was off on the Bmore part tho You rabid anti-Bmorite getting all high and mighty because of your snow performance this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 So this time, I UNDER called it. Last night I OVER called it. Let's just call in even and set my score back to normal. Like Mitch said, it's a weird evolution. I was saying we'd see some runs like this, but I didn't think it'd be this soon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: Might be including a little bit of snow this Saturday in those maps? Nope. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, stormtracker said: Nope. Maybe I just pulled them too soon… being told it snowed more past those hours. You prob nailed it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, hstorm said: Even more through 195 (subtract a few tenths in most places for snow that GFS says we get over the weekend); Close up 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 Just now, mitchnick said: Close up Yup, there it is. SV finally got it right with one! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 6 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 8 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Weird evolution It's a weird setup. Kinda similar to some of the Feb/Mar stuff of 2014 and 2015. Volatile tpv windshield wiper stuff. This run was better with trajectory and ridging but only because the tpv was better positioned AND the timing of the sweep underneath. Subtle shifts in either direction change the outcome drastically. Climo and experience says it won't be strung out like that. It will either be one sig wave or 2 separated ones. I can't count the # of drawn out mid/lr threats that ended up compact in reality. Maybe this time will buck that. Baroclinc zone and UL energy is kinda powderkeggy. I'm very interested. First setup all year that may let a bunch of us win. Even in the SE and NE subs. It used to happen I swear lol 14 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hstorm Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: Maybe I just pulled them too soon… being told it snowed more past those hours. You prob nailed it GFS has 0.2 in DC (and north) on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, hstorm said: GFS has 0.2 in DC (and north) on Saturday. Totals didn't include that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 That's certainly FOLKS worthy. Feb 2015 is looking like a decent analog at least for THIS run. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 11 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: This is the track I need for victory in the snow contest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Gem is south, but big https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=prateptype-imp&rh=2025021212&fh=204&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Canadian South of GFS, looks to start Thurs PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Lock that ish UP 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 7 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Close up Looks fantastic.. iod love to see euro come on board 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: Gem is south, but big https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=prateptype-imp&rh=2025021212&fh=204&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1 Comes closer next panel and brushes the forum, better se Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Gem is south, but big https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=prateptype-imp&rh=2025021212&fh=204&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1 Got time for a north trend. Storm is there. Thats all we can ask a week out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 14 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Weird evolution The WAA and associated surface wave runs out ahead of the upper support then a second wave develops with the mid and upper levels. It’s not the most common but I’ve seen it. A March 99 storm I remember having a similar progression. Feb 2014 kinda did that also to some extent. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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