psuhoffman Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 1 hour ago, Maestrobjwa said: Do you think this is better than the blocking that we had (too late, lol) in March 2018? I ask because...seeing as only one HECS occurred in a Nina, I'm wondering whether the pattern we have setting up next week would be subject to the same stuff that messed things up in 2018. How similar/different would thos be compared to 2018? Why do you keep talking about March 2018 as a fail? It gave us one of our biggest snowstorms since 2016! generally 4-8” across the population corridor with 8+ north of 70! And had it been a couple weeks earlier that storm would have been 12+ across the whole area. That block didn’t develop until the very end of Feb. The storm hit 20 days later after a few misses. This block is developing around Feb 15 so if the same progression repeated that storm would be March 5 and a 10-20” snow across our area! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Do you think this is better than the blocking that we had (too late, lol) in March 2018? I ask because...seeing as only one HECS occurred in a Nina, I'm wondering whether the pattern we have setting up next week would be subject to the same stuff that messed things up in 2018. How similar/different would thos be compared to 2018? But why is your bar a HECS? Those are super rare. If we get a 6-12” snowstorm across the area that’s a win. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, psuhoffman said: But why is your bar a HECS? Those are super rare. If we get a 6-12” snowstorm across the area that’s a win. Agreed I'd take a 6 -12 inch storm any day !! They are kinda rare in central md!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, psuhoffman said: Why do you keep talking about March 2018 as a fail? It gave us one of our biggest snowstorms since 2016! generally 4-8” across the population corridor with 8+ north of 70! And had it been a couple weeks earlier that storm would have been 12+ across the whole area. That block didn’t develop until the very end of Feb. The storm hit 20 days later after a few misses. This block is developing around Feb 15 so if the same progression repeated that storm would be March 5 and a 10-20” snow across our area! Largely because that one storm where the GL low ruined it is what sticks out in my mind the most. And wasn't that the same month we had thar windstorm while the storm clobbered NE? I know we got some nickle and dimes...and that Spring storm was rather entertaining--so you're right that wasn't a complete fail. But the big one we missed is I guess just annoyed me that much, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 End of the icon, for those as bored as me. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 7 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Largely because that one storm where the GL low ruined it is what sticks out in my mind the most. And wasn't that the same month we had thar windstorm while the storm clobbered NE? I know we got some nickle and dimes...and that Spring storm was rather entertaining--so you're right that wasn't a complete fail. But the big one we missed is I guess just annoyed me that much, lol You’re thinking of March 2017 that was ruined by a lakes low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 6 minutes ago, Heisy said: End of the icon, for those as bored as me . The low is 4.3 miles north of 50/50 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: The low is 4.3 miles north of 50/50 Toss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 29 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: But why is your bar a HECS? Those are super rare. If we get a 6-12” snowstorm across the area that’s a win. It's not, actually. But it's certainly higher than the 3-5" fringe events we have been getting in our respective yards! And 6-12" sounds pretty nice right about now. But like you I do want a big dog since it's been so long, and because of the warning level snow drought in my area (and even yours in some cases). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Gfs up to no good. Let’s see where it goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 3 minutes ago, Ji said: Gfs up to no good. Let’s see where it goes It's definitely started making (good) trouble in the neighborhood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 4 minutes ago, Ji said: Gfs up to no good. Let’s see where it goes The big ones lock in early… we say for the 3rd time this year gearing up for what we’ll find out is a 3-5” snowstorm 10 days later 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Bomb incoming on the GFS . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Cue the Jaws music… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: The big ones lock in early… we say for the 3rd time this year gearing up for what we’ll find out is a 3-5” snowstorm 10 days later Not the same setup. This is starting to look like either all boom or nothing, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 this ring a bell? i’m not gonna say it out loud 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 The rain/snow line as depicted doesn’t work for me here. Toss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Gfs up to no good. Let’s see where it goesLook at cmc does that h5 progression remind you of something? You better know!. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: The rain/snow line as depicted doesn’t work for me here. Toss That's a psu logbook run. Definitely toss! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 this ring a bell? i’m not gonna say it out loudMarch 2001. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, Heisy said: March 2001 . I'm gonna guess that was good for y'all up there, lol I don't think it was anything of note down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Gfs takes it too far west. I95 is slow to rain but 10 days out. It won't look like that in days to come lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Cmc has different look. More south and east. Snow to 95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 10 days to go. Gonna be a wild ride lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Stop worrying about rain snow lines at this range. Pattern is supportive of a winter storm that’s all that matters at this range. Just for fun. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Look at cmc does that h5 progression remind you of something? You better know!.March 2001 lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, Ji said: March 2001 lol? I have no idea if he was joking or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Block gets so far displaced S on the cmc it pushes a piece of the tpv ULL into the conus lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 3 minutes ago, Ji said: March 2001 lol? I googled March 2001 and saw a cool Facebook post from a guy named Jay’s Wintry Mix. Really taught me a lot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 3 minutes ago, Heisy said: Stop worrying about rain snow lines at this range. Pattern is supportive of a winter storm that’s all that matters at this range. Just for fun . True. And bro can ya just tell us what ya meant by March 2001? Lol I see that wasn't a ton in Philly if that's where you are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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