Solution Man Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 8 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Not even taking that bait, lol Wise way “grasshopper” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 10 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: What the frickle is the GFS doing for next weekend Ice I guess? What the frack is a frickle? But seriously what is the GFS showing next weekend, I haven't check 12Z yet? At one point it was showing some kind of snow/ice scenario, then had more of a cutter... Seemed to be back and forth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Just now, Solution Man said: Wise way “grasshopper” It's the psu storm. I'm already invested and posted it on Facebook lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Just now, dailylurker said: It's the psu storm. I'm already invested and posted it on Facebook lol That 06Z storm was insane. But something like that has shown up in that general time frame a few times now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 11 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said: What the frack is a frickle? But seriously what is the GFS showing next weekend, I haven't check 12Z yet? At one point it was showing some kind of snow/ice scenario, then had more of a cutter... Seemed to be back and forth. Hahahaha Well, since I try not swear in general, I wanted to frack for a frickle so that the frickle could replace the f-bomb You'd better not be advocating for banning frickling sir--because I will defend it vociferously! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Ok I cracked the code. I’m gonna need you all to tell anyone you share weather advice that the last week of February is going to be beautiful. 70 degrees. Tell them you would bet your life that there will be no big snowstorms after Feb 20. They should schedule an outside BBQ in shorts that week! 1 3 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 9 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Ok I cracked the code. I’m gonna need you all to tell anyone you share weather advice that the last week of February is going to be beautiful. 70 degrees. Tell them you would bet your life that there will be no big snowstorms after Feb 20. They should schedule an outside BBQ in shorts that week! I'm working on the afternoon update for my newsletter right now. Thanks for the heads-up!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benjamn3 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 14 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Ok I cracked the code. I’m gonna need you all to tell anyone you share weather advice that the last week of February is going to be beautiful. 70 degrees. Tell them you would bet your life that there will be no big snowstorms after Feb 20. They should schedule an outside BBQ in shorts that week! I’ll tell my wife. One of her favorite things on the planet is telling me I’m wrong and the other is warm weather. I’ll make this sacrifice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Yo @psuhoffman I know it is the long range GFS, but is this a legitimate possibility of the upcoming pattern. Just asking because we have seen something like this the past couple years... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 2 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Yo @psuhoffman I know it is the long range GFS, but is this a legitimate possibility of the upcoming pattern. Just asking because we have seen something like this the past couple years... I have seen that too in previous years. A negative NAO block linking with the SER/WAR . Hope that is wrong. Ugly . Crazy GFS from just 6 hours ago. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 2 hours ago, Wonderdog said: PSU, this long range forecast is all well and good but how are you with short range forecasts? I know you're an Eagles fan as am I. Will there be confetti and riots on Broad street Sunday night? No idea. Eagles have the better roster by far but they have the best QB/Coach. My gut says either the eagles dominate and win by 2+ scores (or a game were KC scores late to make it look close but it really isn’t) or KC wins a close game again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 5 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Yo @psuhoffman I know it is the long range GFS, but is this a legitimate possibility of the upcoming pattern. Just asking because we have seen something like this the past couple years... What a trainwreck, but thankfully it is the op 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 6 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Yo @psuhoffman I know it is the long range GFS, but is this a legitimate possibility of the upcoming pattern. Just asking because we have seen something like this the past couple years... I doubt it. But anything’s “possible” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Even the GFS has the mjo strongly into 8 by then. I doubt a western trough eastern ridge with that forcing. I’m not wasting time digging into why one op run did that at range. Unless ensembles move they way I’m not worried. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8 Author Share Posted February 8 Buncha rainstorms on the Euro too. Imagine if that holds, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Buncha rainstorms on the Euro too. Imagine if that holds, lol Imagine or expectation? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8 Author Share Posted February 8 Just now, mitchnick said: Imagine or expectation? Lol Well, we are who we are. So yeah... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Buncha rainstorms on the Euro too. Imagine if that holds, lol I'd imagine the whisperer will be screaming 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 6 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Buncha rainstorms on the Euro too. Imagine if that holds, lol If it does hold then its time for that conversation that @psuhoffman mentioned. On to the EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Overcoming the February Niña climo in medium range forecasts is a bigger biatch than the models/ensembles seem to think, or so it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Gefs do like the 20/21st time period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 7 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Overcoming the February Niña climo in medium range forecasts is a bigger biatch than the models/ensembles seem to think, or so it seems. Yup. Was thinking this today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 The ECM says atmospheric memory will rule the roost for Tue/Wed In the 60's looking at hand drawn weather map on the evening news, one friend would sometimes say. "If you see that L in Arkansas, another snowstorm is on the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 personally, I find it very hard to believe that there isn't a large storm when a four sigma west-based -NAO breaks down 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Storm on the Eps for the 20/21st heading east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Just now, mitchnick said: Storm on the Eps for the 20/21st heading east. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 13 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: personally, I find it very hard to believe that there isn't a large storm when a four sigma west-based -NAO breaks down That's called a -AO. NAO is a North Atlantic sea-level pressure measurement. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 41 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Overcoming the February Niña climo in medium range forecasts is a bigger biatch than the models/ensembles seem to think, or so it seems. What do you mean, you think the models are warm biased because of Nina? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 1 minute ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: What do you mean, you think the models are warm biased because of Nina? No. They don't figure it in and base state too hard to overcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Eps looks to favor the north dor the 20/21, though this is not an exact method I'll admit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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