Maestrobjwa Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 1:27 AM, psuhoffman said: It’s possible but more iffy imo because the PV is still centered to our west as it drops and rotates under the block leading up to that event which opens the door to it amplifying too much and pulling north too far west. That doesn’t mean it won’t happen but I’m less sure of that. Any waves between Feb 19-23 it would be really hard for them to cut to our NW given the flow, assuming reality is anything close to what all the guidance (and history of blocking progression) suggests. That’s our first really high probability window imo. Before that we have shots but they are all flowed to some degree. Expand Yes they are indeed flowed and we no how our flowed storms go...they have a risk if falling apart under 43 hours on Day 4. Know way to tell with those 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 2:56 AM, Maestrobjwa said: Yes they are indeed flowed and we no how our flowed storms go...they have a risk if falling apart under 43 hours on Day 4. Know way to tell with those Expand That 43 hours just keeps coming up lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 3:08 AM, winter_warlock said: That 43 hours just keeps coming up lol Expand Lol There has been unusual ribbing of typos the last week or so... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 3:11 AM, Maestrobjwa said: Lol There has been unusual ribbing of typos the last week or so... Expand Yup. It happens. Hell I make typos every day lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 3:12 AM, winter_warlock said: Yup. It happens. Hell I make typos every day lol Expand Same--this ADD brain of mine likes to send first and ask questions later! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 3:13 AM, Maestrobjwa said: Same--this ADD brain of mine likes to send first and ask questions later! Expand My ADD brain does the same thing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/7/2025 at 11:15 PM, poolz1 said: Alrighty then... Expand Fringed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 1:16 AM, WxUSAF said: AI buries us apparently? Where you at @mitchnick? On a different note, keep in mind this deamplification trend may be starting for the Thursday and weekend storms next week already… Expand idk if i should post the map here... might as well lol 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Op gfs setting up the block day 4-5 and builds the western ridge at day 9, things might start to get interesting after that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 4:36 AM, Terpeast said: Op gfs setting up the block day 4-5 and builds the western ridge at day 9, things might start to get interesting after that. Expand I think after the wave around the 16th passes we have a solid week where any decent wave is a major threat. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 4:40 AM, psuhoffman said: I think after the wave around the 16th passes we have a solid week where any decent wave is a major threat. Expand Yessir!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 3:35 AM, DarkSharkWX said: idk if i should post the map here... might as well lol Expand Yessss plzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Well after seeing the models.. I can day with confidence that even if we dont cash in on the tuesday storm.we have alot of chances next 2 weeks!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 One of the worst gfs runs Ive ever seen 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 5:16 AM, Ji said: One of the worst gfs runs Ive ever seen Dont worry too much. Gfs cant get 2 days out correct let alone next 10. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Charts still look good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 LR EPS is trying to build a 50/50 low after Day 11 and +PNA too.. long range is looking better and better. Kudos to those who said it before.. what were you looking at, the extended weekly EPS? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 10:15 AM, Stormchaserchuck1 said: LR EPS is trying to build a 50/50 low after Day 11 and +PNA too.. long range is looking better and better. Kudos to those who said it before.. what were you looking at, the extended weekly EPS? The eps snow chart up to 15 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 10:17 AM, Ji said: The eps snow chart up to 15 days Expand Seems like you found your tool. I was saying the 500mb pattern didn't look good when it was far out, but everything came together to match the snow output. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 It's an active pattern in the medium range.. so much for all that drought stuff everyone was going with after the dry Summer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 WB 6Z GFS fantasy range: could be the best two weeks of tracking in years... 1 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 WB 6Z GFS DC bullseye. Never seen this before. What a run!!! 3 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Fantasy range, but yeah, some fun looks showing up after PD in @psuhoffmans window 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 If a quarter of that happens we declare psu the snow whisperer. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 11:35 AM, dailylurker said: If a quarter of that happens we declare psu the snow whisperer. Expand Too late he's already declared himself that 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 11:20 AM, Weather Will said: WB 6Z GFS DC bullseye. Never seen this before. What a run!!! Expand dude... there are like 4" per hour snowfall rates... FOR SIX HOURS 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 SOLD 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 9:42 AM, Ji said: Charts still look good Expand Meh that's like 47 one inch snows...pass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 +PNA, which is starting to show up in the long range, favors lower pressure on the coast.. like that 968mb frame on the LR GFS. Hopefully it holds.. it's going against the 7-year seasonal trend For learning, -EPO is always an ice possibility pattern.. non-neg EPO is rain/snow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 11:52 AM, bncho said: SOLD Expand 966mb off DELMARVA lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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