Eskimo Joe Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 On 2/6/2025 at 5:04 PM, WxUSAF said: Ukie is roughly GGEM-like. 4-7” or so before a flip to sleet and then dryslot for metro areas. Starts pre-dawn Tuesday. More energy behind but thermals are north. Expand Events have trended drier nearly every time this winter. The Ukie, at this range, would seem more reasonable. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 On 2/6/2025 at 5:04 PM, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: GEFS looks good, similar to 6Z. UK looks decent, 3-5 of snow then over to sleet. Confidence that we get something is increasing. Expand Gefs is good for some breathing room. It removed a lot of the bad misses to the north. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 On 2/6/2025 at 4:45 PM, weatherkyle said: I think it should be muted just based on the fact that it’s Thursday and the storm doesn’t start until Tuesday morning. I’m at least not buying into the huge amounts. It’s just digital porn Expand You shut your mouth when you're talking to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 On 2/6/2025 at 4:45 PM, weatherkyle said: I think it should be muted just based on the fact that it’s Thursday and the storm doesn’t start until Tuesday morning. I’m at least not buying into the huge amounts. It’s just digital porn Expand You’re new here. You’ll figure it out that the bulk of the weenies here are all in 10 days out lol 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Arctic blocking going insane on the GEFS 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 WB 12Z GEFS...4 day mean. Snowy period ahead inside 9 days. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 On 2/6/2025 at 5:18 PM, brooklynwx99 said: Arctic blocking going insane on the GEFS Expand 2 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 I’m gonna make a quasi-Ji statement. Up in my area we’ve had several 4-6” storms the last few years, including a couple last winter and a 4&7 Incher this year. The 7” a few weeks ago was awesome given the rates. I’m gonna big dog hunt this one at least for 6-10” which I think is very reachable. Getting 5” over 18 hours wouldn’t give as much excitement as 8 or 10 would. just give me the 12z gfs or the last Ai run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 On 2/6/2025 at 5:20 PM, DDweatherman said: I’m gonna make a quasi-Ji statement. Up in my area we’ve had several 4-6” storms the last few years, including a couple last winter and a 4&7 Incher this year. The 7” a few weeks ago was awesome given the rates. I’m gonna big dog hunt this one at least for 6-10” which I think is very reachable. Getting 5” over 18 hours wouldn’t give as much excitement as 8 or 10 would. just give me the 12z gfs or the last Ai run Expand Picky picky. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 On 2/6/2025 at 5:07 PM, Eskimo Joe said: Events have trended drier nearly every time this winter. The Ukie, at this range, would seem more reasonable. Expand last night trended pretty wet 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 On 2/6/2025 at 5:25 PM, aldie 22 said: last night trended pretty wet Expand Saturday is looking wetter too 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 On 2/6/2025 at 5:18 PM, brooklynwx99 said: Arctic blocking going insane on the GEFS Expand Pretty up top, but I want to see that SER beat down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 On 2/6/2025 at 5:18 PM, brooklynwx99 said: Arctic blocking going insane on the GEFS Expand Much better than yesterday. Further south. Game on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Euro stuck at 63. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 It appears next week is when deep winter returns 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 CMC ens look good. 24 hour mean is 3-4” for the area, looks a lot like the gefs. Definitely more modest than the output from a few days ago but I’m just glad to not see it go north. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6 Author Share Posted February 6 Nothing going on yet on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catoctin wx Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 On 2/6/2025 at 5:25 PM, aldie 22 said: last night trended pretty wet Expand TMI 1 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6 Author Share Posted February 6 Approaching at 123...not as cold as the GFS so far 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6 Author Share Posted February 6 Somebody can check the therms, but 850 zero line well south...surface is along the fall line tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 On 2/6/2025 at 5:40 PM, catoctin wx said: TMI Expand I have taught you well, call me professor please. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6 Author Share Posted February 6 Moderate precip...but thermals are shaky...850 still south of us, but north of RIC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 On 2/6/2025 at 5:41 PM, stormtracker said: Somebody can check the therms, but 850 zero line well south...surface is along the fall line tho Expand the 850 is the main thing. The surface will be fine once it starts precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6 Author Share Posted February 6 Precip is plentiful...just the fucking thermals...850 close to DC...32 right on top. We lose them both by 135... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Kuchera is 4-6”. Pretty similar to 6z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6 Author Share Posted February 6 looks like a 4-7 deal 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 On 2/6/2025 at 5:44 PM, stormtracker said: looks like a 4-7 deal Expand Next 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6 Author Share Posted February 6 I think our realistic max is 10"...and that might be tough 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 On 2/6/2025 at 5:45 PM, winter_warlock said: 4 to 6 isn't plentiful lol Expand Like @stormtracker said, it gets kind of warm. Precip isn’t bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 On 2/6/2025 at 5:45 PM, winter_warlock said: That brought everyone back down to earth lol Expand Not me! I'm pumped lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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