osfan24 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 CMC is like a warmer, less consolidated GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 GEM has front thump snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 2 minutes ago, osfan24 said: CMC is like a warmer, less consolidated GFS. GGEM has a weak clipper sort of thing in Ontario right as the storm arrives and helps warm things up. Take that away and it’s better for us. But yes, also more strung out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 2 minutes ago, bncho said: GEM has front thump snow. In my opinion GEM is one of the most inaccurate models especially for 100+ hours out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 If euro AI and original Euro show same thing as Gfs showed this forum will explode 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Not going to worry about Canadian thermals. The storm is there. And we are starting to see some consistency on which wave will be consolidated. That is all I care about at this point. It is on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alfoman Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 My excitement is muted because the GFS is on it's own with the moisture feed and boundary location. Need Euro/CMC support before the F word can safely be used for runs like that 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hstorm Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 CMS has about 14 separate rounds of precip (and 14 different precip types) between 2/12-2/14. (Only minor exaggeration.) 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 GFS has another shot next Friday as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 20 minutes ago, Scraff said: Boom goes the GooFus! Time to buy a 3rd beer fridge!! You can just save money by putting the beers directly in the foot plus of snow you are about to get. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 all the follow up waves have trended south/colder on the GFS. I wonder if the models are now seeing the block better 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherkyle Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Here’s just the storm amounts. Model still showing snow from today lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Get that to slow down a little bit and we may break out the George Patton speech for 18Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherkyle Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 9 minutes ago, Alfoman said: My excitement is muted because the GFS is on it's own with the moisture feed and boundary location. Need Euro/CMC support before the F word can safely be used for runs like that I think it should be muted just based on the fact that it’s Thursday and the storm doesn’t start until Tuesday morning. I’m at least not buying into the huge amounts. It’s just digital porn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 6 minutes ago, Ji said: all the follow up waves have trended south/colder on the GFS. I wonder if the models are now seeing the block better I wouldn't give up on any of those waves 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 13 minutes ago, Alfoman said: My excitement is muted because the GFS is on it's own with the moisture feed and boundary location. Need Euro/CMC support before the F word can safely be used for runs like that Euro not too far off, 6Z run got us 6 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 2 minutes ago, weatherkyle said: I think it should be muted just based on the fact that it’s Thursday and the storm doesn’t start until Tuesday morning. I’m at least not buying into the huge amounts. It’s just digital porn You must be new here, please let us enjoy this for the next 30mins 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Just now, Solution Man said: You must be new here, please let us enjoy this for the next 30mins He is very new been here about 12 days lol 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherkyle Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Just now, Solution Man said: You must be new here, please let us enjoy this for the next 30mins Haha. Yeah. I don’t know what the euro will show. I just know when a model spits out a top 10 snowstorm for me, it’s probably wrong. We’d average a lot more if sexy model runs actually came to fruition. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 1 minute ago, weatherkyle said: Haha. Yeah. I don’t know what the euro will show. I just know when a model spits out a top 10 snowstorm for me, it’s probably wrong. We’d average a lot more if sexy model runs actually came to fruition. It would also be a lot less fun if we didn’t go nuts over run like this. But yeah we know what the true odds are. I will say though that I think the chance for accumulating snow in dc metro is decent. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 5 minutes ago, weatherkyle said: Haha. Yeah. I don’t know what the euro will show. I just know when a model spits out a top 10 snowstorm for me, it’s probably wrong. We’d average a lot more if sexy model runs actually came to fruition. wonder what you were thinking in 2016... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 22 minutes ago, Alfoman said: My excitement is muted because the GFS is on it's own with the moisture feed and boundary location. Need Euro/CMC support before the F word can safely be used for runs like that Which F word? The one that makes weenies excited or the one that makes them jump off cliffs? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Casual observation. The AI has a more consolidated look the past several runs. Maybe the globals are now catching on.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 7 minutes ago, weatherkyle said: Haha. Yeah. I don’t know what the euro will show. I just know when a model spits out a top 10 snowstorm for me, it’s probably wrong. We’d average a lot more if sexy model runs actually came to fruition. Like JB says..... " enjoy the weather... its the only weather u got!! " lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alfoman Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 4 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said: Which F word? The one that makes weenies excited or the one that makes them jump off cliffs? I guess you could say there's an F word for every situation in this forum 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Just now, Alfoman said: I guess you could say there's an F word for every situation in this forum Some nice... some not so nice lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 6 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said: Which F word? The one that makes weenies excited or the one that makes them jump off cliffs? FOLKS vs fuck... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Ukie is roughly GGEM-like. 4-7” or so before a flip to sleet and then dryslot for metro areas. Starts pre-dawn Tuesday. More energy behind but thermals are north. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 GEFS looks good, similar to 6Z. UK looks decent, 3-5 of snow then over to sleet. Confidence that we get something is increasing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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