February Medium/Long Range Thread

[CAPE]

44 minutes ago, HighStakes said:

I guess the Saturday system is getting ignored and lost in the shuffle.

It has sneaky potential. Should be included in the other thread probably, so this one can focus on next week.

[cbmclean]

23 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Looking ahead on the overall pattern including the EPO, the GEFS has actually been doing better in the last 2 weeks and should be the favored model until verification scores flip.

Wait, what?  Wasn't the GEFS confidently showing a +600000 dm SER until less than a week ago?  Chuck may have posted about it once or twice.

ETA: And also missing the -EPO pattern?

[psuhoffman]

GEFS went nuclear 

4 day mean

[psuhoffman]

10 day mean 

[H2O]

47 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

I'm fucking with you.   We're gonna mix.  We have to for all of us to cash in.  It is what it is.   City Living Penalty.  

It looks like rain in Georgetown based on that run

[frd]

1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

GEFS went nuclear 

4 day mean

  Rather large area of significant snowfall.  

Is that large an area typical this far out? 

[psuhoffman]

Just now, frd said:

  Rather large area of significant snowfall.  

Is that large an area typical this far out? 

It’s not typical at any range 

[SnowenOutThere]

2 minutes ago, CAPE said:

It has sneaky potential. Should be included in the other thread probably, so this one can focus on next week.

Or a whole new thread, I’m all for tracking a nice snow/wintery mix for the weekend to help in the waiting for the 12th to lock in 

[NorthArlington101]

Just now, SnowenOutThere said:

Or a whole new thread, I’m all for tracking a nice snow/wintery mix for the weekend to help in the waiting for the 12th to lock in 

I support threads for flurries so I'm interested - just depends on if the mods want a 3rd winter storm-related thread at once.

who would've guessed we'd say that a week ago?

[LeesburgWx]

Hot damn, it might be time to pull out Ron Paul soon if this continues to hold through this week. 

[NorthArlington101]

[ensemble member of choice] and call it a winter

[Stradivarious]

44 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

I have plans for the symphony at Shenandoah University on Sat the 15th. Including Tchaikovsky's Violin Concerto in D major, Op. 35. I hope I am heading there on cross country ski's. I posted this because I know you are into the symphony as well. 

Who is playing the Solo?  I’m kind of into symphony too… member Florida Symphony Orchestra, Winnipeg symphony, Alabama Symphony (1st violin, and Associated Concertmaster) have played in Richmond (Va) symphony, Virginia Symphony, Tuscaloosa Symphony (assistant concertmaster) Roanoke Symphony, West Virginia Symphony, Wheeling symphony, Washington Bach Consort, National symphony, National Art Gallery Orchestra… and more..

[aldie 22]

Next week needs to hurry up

[nj2va]

Is this the thread to talk about what may happen after this pattern change when the about to be pattern change does another about to be pattern change and a SER takes over and we hit 75 on Feb 19?

[SnowenOutThere]

2 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

Next week needs to hurry up

Going to start sleeping 16+ hours a day to skip time 

[winter_warlock]

12 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

10 day mean 

To see an ensemble mean that big and consistent is just Insane!!

[nj2va]

Another fun map.  18z gfs 24 hr snowfall.  Basically averaging 1”/hour.

Giddy.

[Solution Man]

1 minute ago, nj2va said:

Another fun map.  18z gfs 24 hr snowfall.  Basically averaging 1”/hour.

Giddy.

Babies

[Ralph Wiggum]

1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said:

FOLKS

 

[winter_warlock]

Fwiw JMA has storm in nearly the same  spot on the 12th!!

[Ralph Wiggum]

1 hour ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Goodness gracious. Whoa boy...gonna be a long week of tracking no matter what happens!

 

[Solution Man]

5 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

 

[BristowWx]

6 minutes ago, Solution Man said:

Babies

Im no expert but that’s a lot of snow.  Basically when all the shades of pink are used we are in no mans land.  It’s Thunderdome.  

[LeesburgWx]

12 minutes ago, nj2va said:

Another fun map.  18z gfs 24 hr snowfall.  Basically averaging 1”/hour.

Giddy.

What happened to our 40” outputs though?

[LeesburgWx]

5 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

 

There he is!!

[DarkSharkWX]

wtf?

[Ralph Wiggum]

31 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

 

 

[Solution Man]

4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

 

Feeling it 

[Ralph Wiggum]

Well, that was a fun happy hour.

[ravensrule]

1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Well, that was a fun happy hour.

I wish it was 11:00 pm already. At least i have the Caps game to keep me entertained for now.