stormtracker Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Doom or Delight? Rest of January hot garbage. First week of Feb ain't looking too great either. But there's hope! Mid Feb until ? Rockin? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 WB 12Z GEPS....see you in the second week of February.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Y'know, this upcoming pattern may suck, and hoping for March snow is almost always a let down, but hey, maybe we can get a mid-February surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 On 1/27/2025 at 9:33 PM, Weather Will said: WB 12Z GEPS....see you in the second week of February.... Expand Maybe sooner at some locations according to the 18z Icon. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Is there a 'meh' icon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 On 1/28/2025 at 12:14 AM, J.Mike said: Is there a 'meh' icon? Expand 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Not that sure if either one would reach down here, but do I spy a couple of clippers on tonight's runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Well, we can use the rain. Other than the snow that fell Jan has been another dry month. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 EPS has the best h5 look heading into mid Feb. Trough in the central US with more of a WAR and less SER. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 On 1/28/2025 at 10:15 AM, CAPE said: EPS has the best h5 look heading into mid Feb. Trough in the central US with more of a WAR and less SER. Expand Massive EPO ridge even linking with the west coast ridge. Probably smoothing out some pac blocking 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Ai threatening for 2/6 bigtime. Dropped my phone and need a new one so can't post more. 0z was snow to mix but 6z looks like a lot of snow. More north. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 On 1/28/2025 at 2:10 PM, mitchnick said: Ai threatening for 2/6 bigtime. Dropped my phone and need a new one so can't post more. 0z was snow to mix but 6z looks like a lot of snow. More north. Expand Another @HeisyHECS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 On 1/28/2025 at 2:10 PM, mitchnick said: Ai threatening for 2/6 bigtime. Dropped my phone and need a new one so can't post more. 0z was snow to mix but 6z looks like a lot of snow. More north. Expand it's close, but 850 low too far north. A good central PA hit. But still plenty of time. That week is supposed to be a warm week with MC convection firing, so I don't think there is much support for a wintry event that period. It'll come down to timing of cold air (if any) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 The CMC says enjoy the wide spread 70's late next week. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 On 1/28/2025 at 2:30 PM, Terpeast said: it's close, but 850 low too far north. A good central PA hit. But still plenty of time. That week is supposed to be a warm week with MC convection firing, so I don't think there is much support for a wintry event that period. It'll come down to timing of cold air (if any) Expand Yeah at that point it would be a thread the needle deal to get frozen into most of our region. 6z GFS has something in that timeframe as well but frozen is to our north. The following wave around the 10th looks interesting, but way the hell out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 On 1/28/2025 at 1:06 PM, Terpeast said: Massive EPO ridge even linking with the west coast ridge. Probably smoothing out some pac blocking Expand Going to take a while for maritime forcing to become more favorable for the East. Meanwhile, still awaiting for continued signs regarding a drop in the AO. If and when the cold air takes over in the East, it may coincide with a very active weather pattern. Some late Feb and early March analogs are very active precip-wise. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 On 1/28/2025 at 2:47 PM, frd said: Going to take a while for maritime forcing to become more favorable for the East. Meanwhile, still awaiting for continued signs regarding a drop in the AO. If and when the cold air takes over in the East, it may coincide with a very active weather pattern. Some late Feb and early March analogs are very active precip-wide Expand Yeah I'm looking at Feb 12-15 when we get into 7, which is a transitory phase that kicks off favorable storm tracks and -EPO should supply cold air to our side. How quickly we get there is the million dollar question. GEFS says slower, EPS says faster. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 On 1/28/2025 at 2:30 PM, Terpeast said: it's close, but 850 low too far north. A good central PA hit. But still plenty of time. That week is supposed to be a warm week with MC convection firing, so I don't think there is much support for a wintry event that period. It'll come down to timing of cold air (if any) Expand 850s start and stay nice thru most of storm. Lot of precip. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/aifs_medium-z500-t850?base_time=202501280600&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202502060600 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 On 1/28/2025 at 2:55 PM, mitchnick said: 850s start and stay nice thru most of storm. Lot of precip. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/aifs_medium-z500-t850?base_time=202501280600&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202502060600 Expand Looks like a Miller B Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 On 1/28/2025 at 2:59 PM, CAPE said: Looks like a Miller B Expand Yes and lots of precip from crummy maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 On 1/28/2025 at 3:01 PM, mitchnick said: Yes and lots of precip from crummy maps. Expand Yeah it looks juicy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 On 1/28/2025 at 3:03 PM, CAPE said: Yeah it looks juicy. Expand Looks like some snow to mix to ice to rain type deal for areas west of I-95. Would happily take it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 On 1/28/2025 at 3:05 PM, SnowenOutThere said: Looks like some snow to mix to ice to rain type deal for areas west of I-95. Would happily take it Expand Something like that. Verbatim probably mostly/all snow for N MD. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Meanwhile the Euro/EPS have a mild juicy rainstorm cranking in the middle of the country on the 7th with a low tracking towards the GLs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 On 1/28/2025 at 2:55 PM, mitchnick said: 850s start and stay nice thru most of storm. Lot of precip. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/aifs_medium-z500-t850?base_time=202501280600&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202502060600 Expand GFS 12z with a similar system. Slightly warmer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 On 1/28/2025 at 2:10 PM, mitchnick said: Ai threatening for 2/6 bigtime. Dropped my phone and need a new one so can't post more. 0z was snow to mix but 6z looks like a lot of snow. More north. Expand That sucks...the phone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 On 1/28/2025 at 5:21 PM, psuhoffman said: That sucks...the phone. Expand Just got back from getting the new phone. Another Samsung because I've always had one and refuse to try to learn an IPhone. That said, I abhore the learning curve for a new phone and getting rid of all the garbage on them. UGHHHHHHHH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 On 1/28/2025 at 5:36 PM, mitchnick said: Just got back from getting the new phone. Another Samsung because I've always had one and refuse to try to learn an IPhone. That said, I abhore the learning curve for a new phone and getting rid of all the garbage on them. UGHHHHHHHH Expand Oh yeah, none of my bookmarks or saved passwords transferred. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 On 1/28/2025 at 5:38 PM, mitchnick said: Oh yeah, none of my bookmarks or saved passwords transferred. Expand Don't you have a grandson who can help you lol 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 On 1/28/2025 at 5:41 PM, aldie 22 said: Don't you have a grandson who can help you lol Expand No, he's only 2. But you could get along with him fine I bet. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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