stormtracker Posted Monday at 08:41 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:41 PM Doom or Delight? Rest of January hot garbage. First week of Feb ain't looking too great either. But there's hope! Mid Feb until ? Rockin? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Monday at 09:33 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:33 PM WB 12Z GEPS....see you in the second week of February.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted Monday at 09:34 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:34 PM Y'know, this upcoming pattern may suck, and hoping for March snow is almost always a let down, but hey, maybe we can get a mid-February surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Monday at 09:42 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:42 PM 8 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z GEPS....see you in the second week of February.... Maybe sooner at some locations according to the 18z Icon. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted Tuesday at 12:14 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:14 AM Is there a 'meh' icon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted Tuesday at 12:19 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:19 AM 2 minutes ago, J.Mike said: Is there a 'meh' icon? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted Tuesday at 04:27 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:27 AM Not that sure if either one would reach down here, but do I spy a couple of clippers on tonight's runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Tuesday at 10:01 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:01 AM Well, we can use the rain. Other than the snow that fell Jan has been another dry month. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Tuesday at 10:15 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:15 AM EPS has the best h5 look heading into mid Feb. Trough in the central US with more of a WAR and less SER. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Tuesday at 01:06 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:06 PM 2 hours ago, CAPE said: EPS has the best h5 look heading into mid Feb. Trough in the central US with more of a WAR and less SER. Massive EPO ridge even linking with the west coast ridge. Probably smoothing out some pac blocking 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Tuesday at 02:10 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:10 PM Ai threatening for 2/6 bigtime. Dropped my phone and need a new one so can't post more. 0z was snow to mix but 6z looks like a lot of snow. More north. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted Tuesday at 02:29 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:29 PM 18 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Ai threatening for 2/6 bigtime. Dropped my phone and need a new one so can't post more. 0z was snow to mix but 6z looks like a lot of snow. More north. Another @HeisyHECS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Tuesday at 02:30 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:30 PM 20 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Ai threatening for 2/6 bigtime. Dropped my phone and need a new one so can't post more. 0z was snow to mix but 6z looks like a lot of snow. More north. it's close, but 850 low too far north. A good central PA hit. But still plenty of time. That week is supposed to be a warm week with MC convection firing, so I don't think there is much support for a wintry event that period. It'll come down to timing of cold air (if any) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted Tuesday at 02:41 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:41 PM The CMC says enjoy the wide spread 70's late next week. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Tuesday at 02:44 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:44 PM 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: it's close, but 850 low too far north. A good central PA hit. But still plenty of time. That week is supposed to be a warm week with MC convection firing, so I don't think there is much support for a wintry event that period. It'll come down to timing of cold air (if any) Yeah at that point it would be a thread the needle deal to get frozen into most of our region. 6z GFS has something in that timeframe as well but frozen is to our north. The following wave around the 10th looks interesting, but way the hell out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted Tuesday at 02:47 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:47 PM 1 hour ago, Terpeast said: Massive EPO ridge even linking with the west coast ridge. Probably smoothing out some pac blocking Going to take a while for maritime forcing to become more favorable for the East. Meanwhile, still awaiting for continued signs regarding a drop in the AO. If and when the cold air takes over in the East, it may coincide with a very active weather pattern. Some late Feb and early March analogs are very active precip-wise. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Tuesday at 02:54 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:54 PM 6 minutes ago, frd said: Going to take a while for maritime forcing to become more favorable for the East. Meanwhile, still awaiting for continued signs regarding a drop in the AO. If and when the cold air takes over in the East, it may coincide with a very active weather pattern. Some late Feb and early March analogs are very active precip-wide Yeah I'm looking at Feb 12-15 when we get into 7, which is a transitory phase that kicks off favorable storm tracks and -EPO should supply cold air to our side. How quickly we get there is the million dollar question. GEFS says slower, EPS says faster. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Tuesday at 02:55 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:55 PM 23 minutes ago, Terpeast said: it's close, but 850 low too far north. A good central PA hit. But still plenty of time. That week is supposed to be a warm week with MC convection firing, so I don't think there is much support for a wintry event that period. It'll come down to timing of cold air (if any) 850s start and stay nice thru most of storm. Lot of precip. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/aifs_medium-z500-t850?base_time=202501280600&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202502060600 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Tuesday at 02:59 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:59 PM 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: 850s start and stay nice thru most of storm. Lot of precip. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/aifs_medium-z500-t850?base_time=202501280600&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202502060600 Looks like a Miller B Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Tuesday at 03:01 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:01 PM Just now, CAPE said: Looks like a Miller B Yes and lots of precip from crummy maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Tuesday at 03:03 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:03 PM Just now, mitchnick said: Yes and lots of precip from crummy maps. Yeah it looks juicy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted Tuesday at 03:05 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:05 PM 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Yeah it looks juicy. Looks like some snow to mix to ice to rain type deal for areas west of I-95. Would happily take it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Tuesday at 03:06 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:06 PM Just now, SnowenOutThere said: Looks like some snow to mix to ice to rain type deal for areas west of I-95. Would happily take it Something like that. Verbatim probably mostly/all snow for N MD. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Tuesday at 03:12 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:12 PM Meanwhile the Euro/EPS have a mild juicy rainstorm cranking in the middle of the country on the 7th with a low tracking towards the GLs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted Tuesday at 04:46 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:46 PM 1 hour ago, mitchnick said: 850s start and stay nice thru most of storm. Lot of precip. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/aifs_medium-z500-t850?base_time=202501280600&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202502060600 GFS 12z with a similar system. Slightly warmer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted Tuesday at 05:21 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:21 PM 3 hours ago, mitchnick said: Ai threatening for 2/6 bigtime. Dropped my phone and need a new one so can't post more. 0z was snow to mix but 6z looks like a lot of snow. More north. That sucks...the phone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Tuesday at 05:36 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:36 PM 12 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: That sucks...the phone. Just got back from getting the new phone. Another Samsung because I've always had one and refuse to try to learn an IPhone. That said, I abhore the learning curve for a new phone and getting rid of all the garbage on them. UGHHHHHHHH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Tuesday at 05:38 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:38 PM 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: Just got back from getting the new phone. Another Samsung because I've always had one and refuse to try to learn an IPhone. That said, I abhore the learning curve for a new phone and getting rid of all the garbage on them. UGHHHHHHHH Oh yeah, none of my bookmarks or saved passwords transferred. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted Tuesday at 05:41 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:41 PM 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Oh yeah, none of my bookmarks or saved passwords transferred. Don't you have a grandson who can help you lol 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Tuesday at 05:44 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:44 PM 1 minute ago, aldie 22 said: Don't you have a grandson who can help you lol No, he's only 2. But you could get along with him fine I bet. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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