LibertyBell Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 On 1/27/2025 at 3:58 PM, Allsnow said: 12z gfs further north. Record dry January in trouble Expand depends on the amount, anything less than 0.13 and it's still a new record Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 On 1/27/2025 at 4:10 PM, LibertyBell said: depends on the amount, anything less than 0.13 and it's still a new record Expand Gfs had over .5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 On 1/27/2025 at 4:10 PM, LibertyBell said: depends on the amount, anything less than 0.13 and it's still a new record Expand We should be able to break that . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 On 1/27/2025 at 4:11 PM, MJO812 said: We should be able to break that . Expand This is a great snow pattern for Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 On 1/27/2025 at 4:10 PM, Allsnow said: Gfs had over .5 Expand 0.5 inches of snow would be better ;-) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Cmc is suppressed and has nothing Friday at least not until at night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 On 1/27/2025 at 4:12 PM, Allsnow said: This is a great snow pattern for Maine Expand It’s a Nina year, it’s only a matter of time before things turn around to very snowy for NNE. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 On 1/27/2025 at 4:15 PM, jm1220 said: It’s a Nina year, it’s only a matter of time before things turn around to very snowy for NNE. Expand Plus Canada will remain cold for them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 On 1/27/2025 at 4:14 PM, Stormlover74 said: Cmc is suppressed and has nothing Friday at least not until at night Expand Models: GDPS — Pivotal Weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 On 1/27/2025 at 4:15 PM, jm1220 said: It’s a Nina year, it’s only a matter of time before things turn around to very snowy for NNE. Expand Our turn first and then them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 this is still a system to monitor because if the colder air sets up further south and the storm is blocked as suggested by the Canadian especially with a little more moisture there still is potential for a light to moderate event near the metro - also as Walt mentioned a clipper type system need to be monitored later in the weekend which could give us snow 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Then you have the ICON which has a stronger LP that cuts into Northern New England from the midwest Models: ICON — Pivotal Weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 12Z GEFS has snow starting later Saturday into Sunday 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 On 1/27/2025 at 5:55 PM, NEG NAO said: 12Z GEFS has snow starting later Saturday into Sunday Expand What? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 On 1/27/2025 at 6:14 PM, Allsnow said: What? Expand Walt mentioned Sunday as a possibilty. GFS gives us some light snow. Euro has it too, but it's warmer and a little too far to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 On 1/27/2025 at 6:43 PM, winterwx21 said: Walt mentioned Sunday as a possibilty. GFS gives us some light snow. Euro has it too, but it's warmer and a little too far to the north. Expand Euro AI also shifted south 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Icon way less amped 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Gfs mild and rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 On 1/27/2025 at 10:09 PM, MJO812 said: Gfs mild and rain Expand Did you see Sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 On 1/27/2025 at 10:22 PM, Stormlover74 said: Did you see Sunday? Expand Yes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted January 27 Author Share Posted January 27 Suggest no one settle on any one solution or even ensembles. There may be another two days of wobblings before we settle in. The Friday rain is about 12-18 sooner than I anticipated at thread starts yesterday. I still dont think the modeling has it right and so despite what I see, in any one model... I prefer to wait on writing anything off or in. At least its interesting... tremendous variability and mutidays of my wintry interest anyway. Glad to see a southward cycle... and hoping this continues a bit more. GEFS has two good short waves crossing PA Saturday and early Monday. LOTS of uncertainty. My comments on page two are in play. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 On 1/27/2025 at 10:23 PM, MJO812 said: Yes Expand 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Confusion abound lol 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 On 1/27/2025 at 10:42 PM, Stormlover74 said: Confusion abound lol Expand He always confused 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Icon and gfs have the Sunday wave 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Cmc is still way south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 On 1/28/2025 at 4:11 AM, Stormlover74 said: Icon and gfs have the Sunday wave Expand Hour 90 0z gfs vs hour 90 0z cmc 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Also difference in timing of second later weekend wave CMC Model – MSLP & Precip (Rain/Frozen) for CONUS | Tropical Tidbits GFS Model – MSLP & Precip (Rain/Frozen) for CONUS | Tropical Tidbits in fact GFS says snow here earlier later in weekend and CMC is later then GFS with liquid ICON has 3 events into early next week - first is liquid the next 2 frozen Like Walt mentioned earlier individual model solutions will continue to change next few days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 On 1/28/2025 at 4:36 AM, NEG NAO said: Also difference in timing of second later weekend wave CMC Model – MSLP & Precip (Rain/Frozen) for CONUS | Tropical Tidbits GFS Model – MSLP & Precip (Rain/Frozen) for CONUS | Tropical Tidbits in fact GFS says snow here earlier later in weekend and CMC is later then GFS with liquid ICON has 3 events into early next week - first is liquid the next 2 frozen Like Walt mentioned earlier individual model solutions will continue to change next few days Expand I see UKMET is starting to pick up on Sunday's threat as well. The good thing is we have fresh cold air coming in Saturday, so it could be cold enough for a little accumulating snow on Sunday. What GFS shows certainly would be nice, but obviously we have a long way to go. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 The OZ Euro starts the precip during the day Friday (31st) and ends it just after midnight the (1st) -all liquid here - storm is not suppressed much obviously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now