Winter 2024/2025 February Thread

[Holston_River_Rambler]

2 hours ago, John1122 said:

The Canadian is similar to the GFS, second wave with a nice snow event. Not quite as heavy as the GFS. Lots of possibilities still on the table, rain is probably the most likely solution but hopefully the snowy solutions work out for us.

12z AIFS looks like it is coming back south to be like the GFS/ CMC. 

[John1122]

3 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

12z AIFS looks like it is coming back south to be like the GFS/ CMC. 

The 06 wasn't terrible for 40 and north, but I saw that the AI is colder/flatter than it had been. It's getting into the range where it's basically taken all the other operational models to school, all winter. It's the top verification model at 500mb and for 850 temps the last year plus now.

[John1122]

As is fairly typical at this range, the Euro is hanging back in the SW and pumping up the SE ridge. Which is why it's probably the furthest N of models currently. 

[jaxjagman]

Mean while in Japan

 

https://english.news.cn/20250204/8bdc664a92474df2829e2ee02cba7d7f/c.html#:~:text=TOKYO%2C Feb. 4 (Xinhua,snow depth of 1.2 meters.

[John1122]

Not as far south as yesterday at 12z but a definite shift south from 06z. Classic 40 battle line. 

 

[Holston_River_Rambler]

janet 

 

 

janet 

 

 

 

 

[Carvers Gap]

1 hour ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

janet 

 

 

janet 

 

 

 

 

Everybody in E TN and NC are like....nope, nope, nope!  LOL.  We have had all the flooding that we want to see for like the next 50 years.

[Daniel Boone]

This could turn out to be a heartbreaker next week if the Blocking isn't strong enough. We could see heavy Snow just to our North and to the East. Today's guidance continues to waffle but seems to want to hone in on the area across Ky into Wv and across Central Va. Hopefully the further South Track is realized. 

   It's still a Week away so, plenty of time.