psuhoffman Posted Friday at 07:03 PM Share Posted Friday at 07:03 PM Regarding the euro weekly products...been thinking about how they typically try to establish a canonical enso look by week 4 almost all the time even when its erroneous. I've also observed they tend to underestimate the MJO past day 15 also. They generally kill the MJO into the COD most of the time or have a very low amplitude wave when in reality it ends up stronger. I wonder if its tendency to do this causes it to rely on "other" factors like enso too much and constantly flip to a boiler plate enso analog look with very little variability. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted Friday at 07:07 PM Share Posted Friday at 07:07 PM 16 minutes ago, peribonca said: Had 5 inches of freezing rain in Montreal in 1998. It was crippling and destructive https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/January_1998_North_American_ice_storm I was in PA at the time, and we had school cancelled because the ice was predicted to hit PA too. It didn't. My brother and I stayed inside and played Goldeneye N64 with our friends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted Friday at 07:07 PM Share Posted Friday at 07:07 PM 10 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: That's more than fine...into phase 7 by Feb 7th heading towards 8. That would time the flip colder to be by Feb 20th or so. So does that mean we basically gotta punt the first half of Feb? That would be more typical of a nina... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted Friday at 07:10 PM Share Posted Friday at 07:10 PM 2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: So does that mean we basically gotta punt the first half of Feb? Yes. Log off and come back then. 5 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Friday at 07:15 PM Share Posted Friday at 07:15 PM AI has nothing except the SER is gone at the end of the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Friday at 07:19 PM Share Posted Friday at 07:19 PM 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: AI has nothing except the SER is gone at the end of the run. Maybe some ice at the start of 2/1 event we've been wasting time on for the last 5 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Friday at 07:30 PM Share Posted Friday at 07:30 PM End of Eps looks nice. Like the AI, SER basically history with BN temps. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted Friday at 07:30 PM Share Posted Friday at 07:30 PM 22 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: So does that mean we basically gotta punt the first half of Feb? That would be more typical of a nina... I didn't say that, we could possible score something during the less favorable period...I was just timing up the flip back to what I think is likely to be one more truly cold and possibly snowy period 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted Friday at 07:34 PM Share Posted Friday at 07:34 PM 15 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Maybe some ice at the start of 2/1 event we've been wasting time on for the last 5 days. EPS isn’t nearly as dry as the OP, though it’s a little drier than previous runs. Think we’ve got an outside shot at #icemaggedeon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted Friday at 07:39 PM Share Posted Friday at 07:39 PM 8 minutes ago, mitchnick said: End of Eps looks nice. Like the AI, SER basically history with BN temps. EPS says "enjoy the 5 day warmup then you go right back into the freezer" 4 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted Friday at 07:40 PM Share Posted Friday at 07:40 PM According to the EPS it will be nice and cold and we will be tracking a possible snowfall threat as I watch the Eagles win the Super Bowl. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted Friday at 07:56 PM Share Posted Friday at 07:56 PM 16 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: According to the EPS it will be nice and cold and we will be tracking a possible snowfall threat as I watch the Eagles win the Super Bowl. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted Friday at 07:58 PM Share Posted Friday at 07:58 PM 29 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I didn't say that, we could possible score something during the less favorable period...I was just timing up the flip back to what I think is likely to be one more truly cold and possibly snowy period I thank you for actually answering the question Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted Friday at 08:04 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:04 PM 49 minutes ago, mattie g said: Yes. Log off and come back then. Well what would the be the fun in that? Love ya bro--have a blessed weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Friday at 08:10 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:10 PM Today’s weeklies. They are run off the 0z EPS from the night before. Sort of a major change between last night's 0z EPS and today's 12z. If 0z tonight follows today's 12z, I'm bettin' tomorrow's weeklies will be better. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-2t?base_time=202501240000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202502030000 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted Friday at 08:10 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:10 PM When was the last Superbowl snowstorm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted Friday at 08:11 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:11 PM When was the last Superbowl snowstorm?I remember here in Philly we had some accumulating snow during Ravens - 49ers Super Bowl. Not sure if it snowed down near you guys though . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Friday at 08:12 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:12 PM Just now, Lowershoresadness said: When was the last Superbowl snowstorm? They play it indoors a lot to avoid it, but that's a good question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted Friday at 08:20 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:20 PM 5 minutes ago, Lowershoresadness said: For our area while watching it on tv? lol In between the two February blizzards in 2010 - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Friday at 09:12 PM Share Posted Friday at 09:12 PM Geps is colder than Eps at the end of its 12z run. It was not too many days sgo it was ending AN and the warmest of the 3 ensembles. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted Friday at 09:13 PM Share Posted Friday at 09:13 PM Agree. Unnecessary comment but all qbs who go out the pocket are susceptible to big hits. He didn’t offer anything newI’m worried Jalen is hurt. Eagles need him to be able to run since he hasn’t been great as a passer this year. I’m a die hard birds fan but this game feels fishy. It’s gonna be tight I wouldn’t touch betting it . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted Friday at 10:02 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:02 PM LOL is this banter or long range? Entire page about the eagles - commies game 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainGeek Posted Friday at 10:04 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:04 PM 9 years ago today! (standing in the middle of the road with a mailbox in the background). 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted Friday at 10:33 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:33 PM The Eagles are definitely the better team, but the Commanders have the better player at the most important position on the field, and a lot of good vibes going right now. I think the Eagles are arguably the most balanced team in the league. As a Ravens fan, the teams that scared me were those with good lines on both sides. The Eagles were able to run on us and they gave our offensive line fits, which made life really hard on Lamar. I would just worry that Hurts doesn’t do enough with his arm and Daniels continues his hot play for a team that is riding high with a lot of confidence. I will certainly be rooting for the E-A-G-L-E-S, Eagles! 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Friday at 10:39 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:39 PM 33 minutes ago, Paleocene said: LOL is this banter or long range? Entire page about the eagles - commies game Well, probably looking at 10 days of nothing interesting ahead, at least. Thread would be dead otherwise lol. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted Friday at 10:48 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:48 PM 2 hours ago, Ji said: We have yet to see a fully healthy Jayden vs hurts but kelce said it best…the Eagles are better at every position but qb On paper it’s an easy win for you. Congrats Lol QB can equalize a lot. Also right now with Dean injured your linebackers are also better. You could also argue TE given our best one is playing injured and hasn’t been good since the injury. But yes the eagles have a talent advantage but the best team doesn’t always win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted Friday at 10:53 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:53 PM 1 hour ago, mappy said: I’m rooting for the same team you are, friend. Stop being aggressive towards me I don’t engage much on social media but my friend told me some skins fans are driving him crazy because they are new to this and have no idea how to talk smack the right way. They’re jumping the shark so to speak. And yes eagles fans are the most aggressive obnoxious of them all just found that funny and maybe pertinent here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted Friday at 10:55 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:55 PM 7 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Lol QB can equalize a lot. Also right now with Dean injured your linebackers are also better. You could also argue TE given our best one is playing injured and hasn’t been good since the injury. But yes the eagles have a talent advantage but the best team doesn’t always win. Eagles are the better team, favored by 6 1/2. I’d take commanders to cover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted Friday at 10:56 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:56 PM 53 minutes ago, Paleocene said: LOL is this banter or long range? Entire page about the eagles - commies game You want analysis of the pattern flip 3 weeks away? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted Friday at 10:56 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:56 PM 5 hours ago, osfan24 said: Yeah, I've never understood the fascination. I'll take it for the telework day, but that's it. If you have power. Hope your work doesn't include internet or electricity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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