February 2025

[EastonSN+]

1 minute ago, LibertyBell said:

I remember there was some discussion about this but it was awhile back, maybe even a year or two ago.  I would suggest looking for keywords IO and IOD and Maritime Continent.  The funny thing is that there are people reading this thread who participated in that discussion but they haven't responded.

 

This is exactly why I don't understand it's like the topic is avoided for whatever reason. 

[nycsnow]

Just now, LibertyBell said:

Our great ones always start out this way, crawling up the coast.  Reminds me of Feb 83, Jan 96, PD2, Jan 2016.

It’s not great for anyone north of ac 

[LibertyBell]

1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said:

Amazing hit on the GFS for the Delmarva. What a winter for them. Let's see if it holds.

There are winters where a storm like this would inevitably come north.....

 

[nycsnow]

Gfs snow map looks identical to Tuesday nights event just double the amounts. Southern jersey crushed 

[Brian5671]

1 minute ago, nycsnow said:

It’s not great for anyone north of ac 

Given the GFS south and east bias that's good.

[TJW014]

Show me these same map outputs on Monday and maybe I'll bite. 

[winterwx21]

1 minute ago, nycsnow said:

Gfs snow map looks identical to Tuesday nights event just double the amounts. Southern jersey crushed 

GFS would be the story of our winter, lol. Another light snowfall while areas to the south get hit hard. We're talking almost a week away though, so no one has a good idea what's gonna happen with this one. At least there's good potential and we have something interesting to track. 

[cleetussnow]

5 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Given the GFS south and east bias that's good.

This is a case where there isn't enough ridging out west/wave space issues too, as Fork mention.  Is that a GFS bias?  Not that I know of.  

[EastonSN+]

Canadian took a step back.

[EastonSN+]

7 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

There are winters where a storm like this would inevitably come north.....

 

Difference is this is not a slow monster pushing against confluence. In this case there is a kicker storm pushing the flow therefore it doesn't have a chance to push North. So a little bit different than situations like 2003 and 96.

[LibertyBell]

3 hours ago, wdrag said:

As usual click for clarity...  so for Feb about 30" so far in the Adirondacks and attached for I84 and NYC metro.

Not bad... our Long Islanders northward hopefully continue relatively happy with Feb snow.   Am pretty sure our ne PA/NNJ folks will catch up. 

Have a day...back at 530P. 

I'm kind of shocked Mt Pocono only has 3.9 inches of snow this month, Walt!

[Stormlover74]

Cmc trying. If it does make it up here it'll be Thursday afternoon

Another delmarva special 

[nycsnow]

CMC slides east and continues the theme of winter light event verbatim 

[WestBabylonWeather]

Of course cmc changed. Same movie. Week out 

 

 

[nycsnow]

1 minute ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

Of course cmc changed. Same movie. Week out 

 

 

This by far is our best shot for a big one. Plenty of time hopefully trends going our favor for once 

[EastonSN+]

The Delmarva has been a magnet all season long except for the one storm that targeted Florida with the heaviest snow (never thought I'd ever say that).

[LibertyBell]

10 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Difference is this is not a slow monster pushing against confluence. In this case there is a kicker storm pushing the flow therefore it doesn't have a chance to push North. So a little bit different than situations like 2003 and 96.

I'm trying to think of winters where we had many close calls and then finally got hit by a big one at the end of the season.  I can't think of any right now.

 

 

[LibertyBell]

1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said:

The Delmarva has been a magnet all season long except for the one storm that targeted Florida with the heaviest snow (never thought I'd ever say that).

Don't forget New Orleans too lol

 

[WestBabylonWeather]

2 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

This by far is our best shot for a big one. Plenty of time hopefully trends going our favor for once 

Not saying it won’t happen. Models gonna be flip flopping though 

[SnowGoose69]

1 minute ago, LibertyBell said:

I'm trying to think of winters where we had many close calls and then finally got hit by a big one at the end of the season.  I can't think of any right now.

 

 

12-13 somewhat

[LibertyBell]

Just now, SnowGoose69 said:

12-13 somewhat

oh yes, but even that was a bit of a disappointment west of Suffolk County.  I remember seeing forecast maps and predictions of 20-30 and the first half of the storm was rain, we still ended up with a decent 10-12 inches but areas to our north and east got 30+.

[psv88]

Snow eating fog

[SACRUS]

 

43 / 41 light drizzle.  Clouds and mainly rain the next 72 hours some minor snows Satruday.  Much colder 17th - 22nd with the storm of interest between the 19-20.

 

 

[bluewave]

18 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

I'm trying to think of winters where we had many close calls and then finally got hit by a big one at the end of the season.  I can't think of any right now.

 

 

May 2020 which tied the all-time heaviest late season snowfall following a string of long range model forecast snowstorms that didn’t work out. That was our latest record snowfall following a disappointing winter when models kept advertising the big one in the long range. Spots had more snow in May than in February that year. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[SACRUS]

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 65 (1957)
NYC: 64 (1951)
LGA: 65 (1951)
JFK: 56 (2023)

 

Lows:

EWR: 4 (1979)
NYC: -1 (1914)
LGA: 8 (2016)
JFK: 0 (1967)

 

Historical:

 

1784 - Ice floes blocked the Mississippi River at New Orleans, then passed into the Gulf of Mexico. The only other time this occurred was during the "Great Arctic Outbreak" of 1899. (David Ludlum)

1885 - The "Friday the 13th" avalanche at Alva, UT, killed sixteen persons, and left thirteen others buried for twelve hours before being rescued. (David Ludlum)

1889 - It was the coldest morning of record along the Gulf Coast. The temperature dipped to 7 above zero at New Orleans LA and Pensacola FL, and plunged to -1 degree at Mobile AL. The mercury dipped to -2 degrees at Tallahassee, the coldest reading of record for the state of Florida. (David Ludlum)

1905 - Morning lows of -29 degrees at Pond AR, -40 degrees at Lebanon KS, and -40 degrees at Warsaw MO established all-time records for those three states. (The Weather Channel)

 

1905: Freezing temperatures were recorded over the states of Oklahoma, Arkansas, Kansas, and Missouri. Morning lows of 29 degrees below zero at Gravette, Arkansas, 40 below at Lebanon, Kansas, and 40 below at Warsaw, Missouri, established all-time records for those three states.  The low temperature at Vinita, Oklahoma, plummeted to 27 degrees below zero. The temperature would be tied at Watts in January 1930 and Blackwell and Medford in February 2011. The negative 27-degree reading is cold enough to be the 2nd lowest temperature on record in Oklahoma. The coldest is currently 31 degrees below zero, recorded at Nowata on February 10, 2011.

1987 - A storm in the western U.S. produced heavy rain over central California. Chews Ridge reported nearly eleven inches of rain in 24 hours, and extensive flooding occurred in San Benito County. The Mount Rose ski resort in Nevada experienced a "white-out" with 60 mph winds and 36 inches of snow. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Strong winds in the wake of a storm in the northeastern U.S., gusting to 60 mph at Oswego NY, produced six foot snow drifts in northeastern Ohio. High winds in the mountains of Utah, gusting to 106 mph at the Snowbird ski resort, contributed to a forty car pile-up on Interstate 15, near the town of Bluffdale. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Showers and thunderstorms produced locally heavy rain and flash flooding from central Texas to western Pennsylvania. Up to ten inches of rain deluged western Kentucky in two days, with five day totals ranging up to 13.16 inches at Gilbertsville Dam KY. Flooding caused tens of millions of dollars damage, including 18 million dollars damage at Frankfort KY. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1990 - A slow moving cold front brought heavy snow to Utah, Colorado and Wyoming. Big Horn WY reported 15 inches of snow, and up to 22 inches was reported in Utah. In Colorado, 8 to 12 inches of snow fell over the northwest suburbs of Denver, while 16 to 22 inches was reported in the high mountain elevations west of Fort Collins. Strong winds accompanied the heavy snow, and bitter cold weather followed in its wake. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

 

1995: A National Weather Service Survey Team concluded a weak (F1) tornado occurred at the General Motors Desert Proving Grounds facility in Mesa, Arizona. Moderate damage was observed. A roof was damaged, and about 20 vehicles were destroyed and moved around. One car was lifted, moved several feet, and set down inside a roped-off area containing solar exposure equipment. The tornado traveled northeast and lasted about five minutes. The image below is from the February 1995 Storm Data.

 

2000: Late in the day and into the early morning hours of the 14th, severe thunderstorms spawned six tornadoes over southwestern Georgia that killed 19, injured 202, and caused $35 million in damages. An F3 tornado hit southern Camilla, killing 11 people and wounding 175 others in the town.

 

 

[SACRUS]

 

NYC

 

Feb 13 -  14 : 12.55 inches of snowfall

 

EWR: 12.6 inches of snowfall

 

 

[BoulderWX]

27 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Snow eating fog

For sure. I have some really thick ice chunks on the driveway from being away so it’s really appreciated on my end. 

[LibertyBell]

9 minutes ago, bluewave said:

May 2020 which tied the all-time heaviest late season snowfall following a string of long range model forecast snowstorms that didn’t work out. That was our latest record snowfall following a disappointing winter when models kept advertising the big one in the long range. Spots had more snow in May than in February that year. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

wow, whats the closest location to the city or island that had measurable snowfall in May 2020?

[LibertyBell]

5 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 65 (1957)
NYC: 64 (1951)
LGA: 65 (1951)
JFK: 56 (2023)

 

Lows:

EWR: 4 (1979)
NYC: -1 (1914)
LGA: 8 (2016)
JFK: 0 (1967)

 

Historical:

 

1784 - Ice floes blocked the Mississippi River at New Orleans, then passed into the Gulf of Mexico. The only other time this occurred was during the "Great Arctic Outbreak" of 1899. (David Ludlum)

1885 - The "Friday the 13th" avalanche at Alva, UT, killed sixteen persons, and left thirteen others buried for twelve hours before being rescued. (David Ludlum)

1889 - It was the coldest morning of record along the Gulf Coast. The temperature dipped to 7 above zero at New Orleans LA and Pensacola FL, and plunged to -1 degree at Mobile AL. The mercury dipped to -2 degrees at Tallahassee, the coldest reading of record for the state of Florida. (David Ludlum)

1905 - Morning lows of -29 degrees at Pond AR, -40 degrees at Lebanon KS, and -40 degrees at Warsaw MO established all-time records for those three states. (The Weather Channel)

 

1905: Freezing temperatures were recorded over the states of Oklahoma, Arkansas, Kansas, and Missouri. Morning lows of 29 degrees below zero at Gravette, Arkansas, 40 below at Lebanon, Kansas, and 40 below at Warsaw, Missouri, established all-time records for those three states.  The low temperature at Vinita, Oklahoma, plummeted to 27 degrees below zero. The temperature would be tied at Watts in January 1930 and Blackwell and Medford in February 2011. The negative 27-degree reading is cold enough to be the 2nd lowest temperature on record in Oklahoma. The coldest is currently 31 degrees below zero, recorded at Nowata on February 10, 2011.

1987 - A storm in the western U.S. produced heavy rain over central California. Chews Ridge reported nearly eleven inches of rain in 24 hours, and extensive flooding occurred in San Benito County. The Mount Rose ski resort in Nevada experienced a "white-out" with 60 mph winds and 36 inches of snow. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Strong winds in the wake of a storm in the northeastern U.S., gusting to 60 mph at Oswego NY, produced six foot snow drifts in northeastern Ohio. High winds in the mountains of Utah, gusting to 106 mph at the Snowbird ski resort, contributed to a forty car pile-up on Interstate 15, near the town of Bluffdale. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Showers and thunderstorms produced locally heavy rain and flash flooding from central Texas to western Pennsylvania. Up to ten inches of rain deluged western Kentucky in two days, with five day totals ranging up to 13.16 inches at Gilbertsville Dam KY. Flooding caused tens of millions of dollars damage, including 18 million dollars damage at Frankfort KY. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1990 - A slow moving cold front brought heavy snow to Utah, Colorado and Wyoming. Big Horn WY reported 15 inches of snow, and up to 22 inches was reported in Utah. In Colorado, 8 to 12 inches of snow fell over the northwest suburbs of Denver, while 16 to 22 inches was reported in the high mountain elevations west of Fort Collins. Strong winds accompanied the heavy snow, and bitter cold weather followed in its wake. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

 

1995: A National Weather Service Survey Team concluded a weak (F1) tornado occurred at the General Motors Desert Proving Grounds facility in Mesa, Arizona. Moderate damage was observed. A roof was damaged, and about 20 vehicles were destroyed and moved around. One car was lifted, moved several feet, and set down inside a roped-off area containing solar exposure equipment. The tornado traveled northeast and lasted about five minutes. The image below is from the February 1995 Storm Data.

 

2000: Late in the day and into the early morning hours of the 14th, severe thunderstorms spawned six tornadoes over southwestern Georgia that killed 19, injured 202, and caused $35 million in damages. An F3 tornado hit southern Camilla, killing 11 people and wounding 175 others in the town.

 

 

Highs:

EWR: 65 (1957)
NYC: 64 (1951)
LGA: 65 (1951)
JFK: 56 (2023)

 

Lows:

EWR: 4 (1979)
NYC: -1 (1914)
LGA: 8 (2016)
JFK: 0 (1967)

 

Historical:

 

1784 - Ice floes blocked the Mississippi River at New Orleans, then passed into the Gulf of Mexico. The only other time this occurred was during the "Great Arctic Outbreak" of 1899. (David Ludlum)

1885 - The "Friday the 13th" avalanche at Alva, UT, killed sixteen persons, and left thirteen others buried for twelve hours before being rescued. (David Ludlum)

1889 - It was the coldest morning of record along the Gulf Coast. The temperature dipped to 7 above zero at New Orleans LA and Pensacola FL, and plunged to -1 degree at Mobile AL. The mercury dipped to -2 degrees at Tallahassee, the coldest reading of record for the state of Florida. (David Ludlum)

 

Tony, that last historical arctic outbreak was in 1899, not 1889 right?

 

Also, tomorrow, Valentines Day, is the 9 year anniversary of the last time NYC went below zero!

 

[nycsnow]

Ukie looks like it woulda been nice if it kept going 

Image