brooklynwx99 Posted Thursday at 11:43 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:43 PM for anybody worried about suppression like what happened in Jan after the 15th or so, this is a much more classic block caused by a retrograding Scandi ridge... it's where it should be over the northern Davis Strait rather than south of Greenland. this is why those retrograding Scandi highs are so favorable - the orientation of the block is better with the TPV elongated over SE Canada rather than the N ATL 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted Thursday at 11:44 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 11:44 PM Great googly moogly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted Thursday at 11:45 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:45 PM I swear to god if we can't score multiple times with this active pattern we are cursed and I'm making that Anthonymm guy a mod. 2 9 1 1 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted Thursday at 11:45 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:45 PM 2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: for anybody worried about suppression like what happened in Jan after the 15th or so, this is a much more classic block caused by a retrograding Scandi ridge... it's where it should be over the northern Davis Strait rather than south of Greenland. this is why those retrograding Scandi highs are so favorable - the orientation of the block is better with the TPV elongated over SE Canada rather than the N ATL Yup looks amazing rn 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted Thursday at 11:48 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:48 PM 2 minutes ago, Rjay said: Yup looks amazing rn can't believe that we have three legit chances for snowfall before the most favorable part of the pattern even sets in. pretty nuts and I'm excited 6 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted Thursday at 11:49 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:49 PM Just now, brooklynwx99 said: can't believe that we have three legit chances for snowfall before the most favorable part of the pattern even sets in. pretty nuts and I'm excited We should tell @Stormlover74and @Allsnowto buckle the f up 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Thursday at 11:49 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:49 PM 26 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said: omg pants tent! gfs is wild! 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Thursday at 11:50 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:50 PM 5 minutes ago, TriPol said: Great googly moogly Not enough. Need the 40 inches further south. Not happy about this. 1 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Thursday at 11:50 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:50 PM Heights are lower than 12z for that wave coming up. Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted Friday at 12:09 AM Share Posted Friday at 12:09 AM 23 minutes ago, TriPol said: Great googly moogly Divide by 3 or 4 in reality, most likely. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted Friday at 12:25 AM Share Posted Friday at 12:25 AM 16 minutes ago, sussexcountyobs said: Divide by 3 or 4 in reality, most likely. dont shit on the parade route please. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted Friday at 12:27 AM Share Posted Friday at 12:27 AM Thread is started for the 11th-15th. Migrate over when you can. OBS thread for the events next week will post a few hours before each event (as needed). I think NYC should do okay (4+" that entire 5 day period but NOT a guarantee). Am offline overnight. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Friday at 12:38 AM Share Posted Friday at 12:38 AM It’s been a while since we have seen such a snowy look on the guidance. It’s very reminiscent of our special years in the early 2000’s. We still need to see it produce so hopefully that starts with a positive outcome Saturday night. Its very clear this pattern is going to last more then just a few days. We should cash big time at some point in the near future 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted Friday at 12:46 AM Share Posted Friday at 12:46 AM 6 minutes ago, Allsnow said: It’s been a while since we have seen such a snowy look on the guidance. It’s very reminiscent of our special years in the early 2000’s. We still need to see it produce so hopefully that starts with a positive outcome Saturday night. Its very clear this pattern is going to last more then just a few days. We should cash big time at some point in the near future There are multiple opportunities so we’re not holding all our hopes on one shot. The ensembles have been honking for days so it would be a huge face plant if it all fails. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted Friday at 12:51 AM Share Posted Friday at 12:51 AM 1 hour ago, EastonSN+ said: What's crazy is the pattern will likely last till the end of the month. If the GFS is right I wouldn’t mind if spring comes in early March. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Friday at 12:57 AM Share Posted Friday at 12:57 AM Weeklies 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted Friday at 01:09 AM Share Posted Friday at 01:09 AM 12 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Weeklies Now if we could only get some results 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted Friday at 01:13 AM Share Posted Friday at 01:13 AM 14 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Weeklies It's like the dam finally breaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted Friday at 02:04 AM Share Posted Friday at 02:04 AM 2 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: can't believe that we have three legit chances for snowfall before the most favorable part of the pattern even sets in. pretty nuts and I'm excited Ok, rank your excitement on a scale of 1 to Cantore-Thundersnow for next week vs. the mid-Jan pattern that was quite cold and produced some snow for our area, but had two major storm miss us to the south. :>) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted Friday at 02:07 AM Share Posted Friday at 02:07 AM Posted this 2 hours ago in the wrong thread, lol - hard to keep track. Nice to see the Euro beefing up precip/snowfall for 18Z vs. 12Z for the 2/11-12 event. Now the GFS, Euro, CMC and UK are all showing at least 4-8" for our region with the GFS showing 8-12"+ at 18Z. Extremely strong signal for a storm 5 days out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted Friday at 05:03 AM Share Posted Friday at 05:03 AM 3 hours ago, RU848789 said: Ok, rank your excitement on a scale of 1 to Cantore-Thundersnow for next week vs. the mid-Jan pattern that was quite cold and produced some snow for our area, but had two major storm miss us to the south. :>) Pretty close to Cantore-Thundersnow though it's possible we just stay active with lesser amounts of snow for now and get a bigger storm towards President's Day. This is the best looking pattern we've seen in a while but I'd still prefer it if it were not so fast. WX/PT 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted Friday at 06:56 AM Share Posted Friday at 06:56 AM Would this be a good time to remind people of my 32" forecast? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted Friday at 11:19 AM Share Posted Friday at 11:19 AM 11 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: can't believe that we have three legit chances for snowfall before the most favorable part of the pattern even sets in. pretty nuts and I'm excited Best chance is Saturday night then who knows, could easily see next storm miss to south and then bunch of cutters 3 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted Friday at 11:44 AM Share Posted Friday at 11:44 AM Best chance is Saturday night then who knows, could easily see next storm miss to south and then bunch of cutters. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted Friday at 11:57 AM Share Posted Friday at 11:57 AM 17 hours ago, NorthShoreWx said: Shorts weather at the North Pole. Arctic sea ice thickness and extent at record low levels for this time of year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted Friday at 12:55 PM Share Posted Friday at 12:55 PM Still looks good to have a favorable pattern to the end of the month. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonymm Posted Friday at 01:04 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:04 PM 1 hour ago, qg_omega said: Best chance is Saturday night then who knows, could easily see next storm miss to south and then bunch of cutters That's what im seeing. Saturday night an inch or two of slop, next storm misses south, and then cutter city. Not really impressed at all. 1 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted Friday at 01:08 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:08 PM Just now, anthonymm said: That's what im seeing. Saturday night an inch or two of slop, next storm misses south, and then cutter city. Not really impressed at all. Explain why it misses south and explain why it will be cutter city - at least when snowman wants to rain on everyone's parade he adds his scientific reasoning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted Friday at 01:09 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:09 PM 3 minutes ago, anthonymm said: That's what im seeing. Saturday night an inch or two of slop, next storm misses south, and then cutter city. Not really impressed at all. Keep in mind the good pattern last to the end of the month so even in a worst case scenario like described it's not the end of the chances. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted Friday at 01:21 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:21 PM It would be the ultimate Charlie Brown and/or kick in the nuts if we can't cash in on this pattern. Not like it's pinning our hopes on one storm so there's multiple chances. I'm always skeptical until we can hone in on a consensus roughly 3 days out but it's hard not to get at least a little excited by the possibilities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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