February 2025

[weatherpruf]

Any thoughts on the crisis at NOAA and how this will affect forecasts?

[Monmouth_County_Jacpot]

Is the euro stuck for anyone else?

[MJO812]

3 minutes ago, Monmouth_County_Jacpot said:

Is the euro stuck for anyone else?

Yes

[Nibor]

5 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

Any thoughts on the crisis at NOAA and how this will affect forecasts?

There’s discussion in the banter thread. 

[brooklynwx99]

absolutely locked in on the GEPS and GEFS. rotting block in place over the Davis Strait and elongated TPV in SE Canada

[snowman19]

absolutely locked in on the GEPS and GEFS. rotting block in place over the Davis Strait and elongated TPV in SE Canada

[MJO812]

Euro has multiple waves next week. They looked good on 500mb. Surface didn't load yet.

[MJO812]

1st wave

[Allsnow]

Too early now for next week. Trend today was for multiple waves instead of one storm…

[Franklin0529]

Euro looks like 8-12" for Tuesday. It's not the 20" storm it showed last night, but it's certainly nothing to sneeze at and would take in a heartbeat 

[MJO812]

10 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said:

Euro looks like 8-12" for Tuesday. It's not the 20" storm it showed last night, but it's certainly nothing to sneeze at and would take in a heartbeat 

And then more waves after that 

[weatherpruf]

52 minutes ago, Nibor said:

There’s discussion in the banter thread. 

Thanks. 

[Allsnow]

30 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Too early now for next week. Trend today was for multiple waves instead of one storm…

EPS still likes the Tuesday-Wednesday wave with a 5-6 mean 

[eduggs]

I thought all 3 globals were a little less ideal aloft at 12z for next week. There's still big thread and a lot that can go wrong. But at the same time guidance has been trending snowier for the two nearer term threats! Probably best to enjoy what we can this week and try to consider future threats a bonus.

[Allsnow]

The mean for nyc total by day 8 is 13 inches 

[Monmouth_County_Jacpot]

1 minute ago, Allsnow said:

The mean for nyc total by day 8 is 13 inches 

That’s insane for a mean

[Allsnow]

Just now, Monmouth_County_Jacpot said:

That’s insane for a mean

Yeah. The Saturday night event really has some big hitters in the idv 

[Allsnow]

 

[brooklynwx99]

6 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

The mean for nyc total by day 8 is 13 inches 

and this is before this pattern sets up. absurd

[BoulderWX]

2 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

 

70-80% chance of a foot or more on both for my area. Can’t ask for more. 

[LibertyBell]

26 minutes ago, BoulderWX said:

70-80% chance of a foot or more on both for my area. Can’t ask for more. 

That was wild to see, 70% on the first one and 60% for the second here on the south shore.

What's the difference between the two maps anyway, is the first one the Euro and the second one the GFS?

 

[brooklynwx99]

the 10th percentile for NYC on the EPS is like 10”. anything but skewed high 

[Franklin0529]

1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said:

the 10th percentile for NYC on the EPS is like 10”. anything but skewed high 

 

It keeps ticking north though. By Friday will be in NNE 

[LibertyBell]

1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said:

the 10th percentile for NYC on the EPS is like 10”. anything but skewed high 

wow still 16-21 for our area.

and this is the ensembles mean, not even an individual run.

[LibertyBell]

1 minute ago, Franklin0529 said:

It keeps ticking north though. By Friday will be in NNE 

this is more than one storm though, some will trend north, others will trend south.