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32 minutes ago, uofmiami said:

38 at both my stations currently.  Point and click was 36 for the high. 

It’s funny how this area of Suffolk is always warmer than other areas in summer and winter sunny days. Even on Wunderground the local PWS are low 40s. We are in a valley here surrounded by 200-300 foothills and away from any ocean or sound influence, so I’m guessing that does it. Center island and flat

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3 hours ago, Sampson said:

I agree. It’s the coldest winter in a decade. 

Agree. Slightly below our warmest normals ever.  It's just been so mild most winters recently that we've forgotten what winter is supposed to feel like. 

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2 hours ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, strongest average gusts on record for JFK since January 1st made it feel much colder. My guess is that the record downslope component at JFK is why they were locally warmer than the other sites. Since dowslope flow off the moraine is always warmest closer to JFK. Plus the winds staying up at night prevented them from the radiational cooling they usually get relative to the other nearby city sites. 
 

IMG_3095.thumb.png.750ddb4ea1eb762aa469533ffaecb8be.png

Data for December 1, 2024 through February 22, 2025
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
NY MONTAUK AIRPORT WBAN 38.1
NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 35.8
NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 35.0
NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 34.2
NY PORT AUTH DOWNTN MANHATTAN WALL ST HEL ICAO 34.2
NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 34.1
NY RIVERHEAD RESEARCH FARM COOP 33.6
NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 33.5
CT NEW HAVEN TWEED AP WBAN 33.4
NY ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP WBAN 33.1
NY ORIENT POINT STATE PARK COOP 33.1
NY FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP WBAN 33.0
NY SHIRLEY BROOKHAVEN AIRPORT WBAN 33.0

Agree with the wind and not radiating like other areas.  

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2 hours ago, EastonSN+ said:

Doesn't matter it's still below average. JFK temperatures are suspect in my opinion they're way off the rest of the airports and Central Park.

I think JFK's numbers are accurate but they aren't representative of the rest of the area this winter. 

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51 minutes ago, psv88 said:

It’s funny how this area of Suffolk is always warmer than other areas in summer and winter sunny days. Even on Wunderground the local PWS are low 40s. We are in a valley here surrounded by 200-300 foothills and away from any ocean or sound influence, so I’m guessing that does it. Center island and flat

Did you move yet? I’m at about 210’ just east of Rt 110, I’m usually a little cooler in the summer as a result. 

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Yeah, the coldest winter of the 2020s so far feels much colder with the very strong winds and how warm the recent winters were. But so far it’s warmer than all the other previous coldest winters of past decades. New Brunswick is currently at -1.4° since December 1st. 

New Brunswick coldest winters in each decade..decadal winter average..decadal low 

2020s….32.2°…..36.1°…..6°

2010s…..29.5°…..34.1°….-2°

2000s….29.0°…..33.4°…-2°

1990s….28.3°…..33.7°….-5°

1980s….29.3°……31.6°….-13°

1970s…..26.4°……31.1°…..-7°
 

 

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5 minutes ago, uofmiami said:

My Syosset station is at 230’ & Muttontown station is at 154’ for comparison. 

In Long Beach today, there's maybe one or two little piddly ice chunks left, at least on the north shore we have big ginormous ice chunks in every parking lot, street corner and my backyard! Spring will be nice when we hit 60s and the south shore is stuck in dank 40s. Hopefully it's not a bad backdoor front season. 

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The thermometer topped out at 39° today in Central Park. It will turn even milder tomorrow with the temperature reaching or exceeding 40°. This milder weather will then continue all of next week.

The middle of next week could become quite mild with the mercury reaching 50° or above in New York City. Washington, DC could see highs reach 60° or above. Afterward, high temperatures will cool somewhat to the middle and upper 40s to end February.

No meaningful threats for a moderate or larger snowfall in the New York City area are likely through the remainder of February.

There remain indications that a major pattern re-alignment could take place starting in the first week of March bringing an end to a persistently cold regime that has predominated through most of the winter. The pattern change will likely follow a brief but fairly sharp cold shot.

A powerful PNA ridge is currently in place. Historical experience suggests that the presence of such a ridge at this time of year has been followed by the absence of major snowfalls in the New York City area.

The PNA reached +1.500 on February 19th and currently stands at +1.750. In all 12 years that saw the PNA reach +1.500 or above on February 15 or later since 1950, the remainder of winter saw no 10" or greater snowstorms. If historic experience holds true yet again, that would make the Winter 2024-2025 the fourth consecutive winter without a 10" or above snowstorm in New York City. The last time that happened was during Winter 2016-2017 through Winter 2019-2020. Most of the 12 winters cited above went on to see some additional measurable snowfall with a few seeing a 6"+ storm.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.3°C for the week centered around February 12. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.03°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.65°C. La Niña conditions have peaked and are beginning to fade. La Niña conditions will likely persist into the start of spring.

The SOI was +1.30 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.502 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 93% probability that New York City will have a colder than normal February (1991-2020 normal). February will likely finish with a mean temperature near 33.9° (2.0° below normal).

 

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3 hours ago, psv88 said:

It’s funny how this area of Suffolk is always warmer than other areas in summer and winter sunny days. Even on Wunderground the local PWS are low 40s. We are in a valley here surrounded by 200-300 foothills and away from any ocean or sound influence, so I’m guessing that does it. Center island and flat

you have a local downslope too!

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52 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

In Long Beach today, there's maybe one or two little piddly ice chunks left, at least on the north shore we have big ginormous ice chunks in every parking lot, street corner and my backyard! Spring will be nice when we hit 60s and the south shore is stuck in dank 40s. Hopefully it's not a bad backdoor front season. 

hell no, none of that dank 40s crap here, I'm hopeful of the westerly flow continuing....

 

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1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, the coldest winter of the 2020s so far feels much colder with the very strong winds and how warm the recent winters were. But so far it’s warmer than all the other previous coldest winters of past decades. New Brunswick is currently at -1.4° since December 1st. 

New Brunswick coldest winters in each decade..decadal winter average..decadal low 

2020s….32.2°…..36.1°…..6°

2010s…..29.5°…..34.1°….-2°

2000s….29.0°…..33.4°…-2°

1990s….28.3°…..33.7°….-5°

1980s….29.3°……31.6°….-13°

1970s…..26.4°……31.1°…..-7°
 

 

that -13 in the 1980s is absolutely wild..... January 1985?

 

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2 hours ago, Rjay said:

I think JFK's numbers are accurate but they aren't representative of the rest of the area this winter. 

it's hard for ASOS thermometers to be wrong, unless it's a siting issue.  Their temperatures (winter and summer) are very similar to mine, if anything it's a little warmer here in the summer especially.

 

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3 hours ago, jm1220 said:

Did you move yet? I’m at about 210’ just east of Rt 110, I’m usually a little cooler in the summer as a result. 

Didn’t move yet…end of May

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