EastonSN+ Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 6 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: I have a feeling tonight's snowfall will be our last decent snowfall for awhile. I do think the deep South or the southeast are going to cash in on another snow storm. Epic year for the Delmarva and the south. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 4 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: I do think the deep South or the southeast are going to cash in on another snow storm. Epic year for the Delmarva and the south. Maybe we will get it as the block is about to break down? When is that supposed to happen? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krs4Lfe Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 13 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: I have a feeling tonight's snowfall will be our last decent snowfall for awhile. I think It might be our last snowfall for the winter…period. This winter has shown its cards. If we were meant to get a decent snowfall we would have gotten it by now or we would be actively tracking it by now. Last year and this year have been quite inactive across CONUS except for a few exceptions. Even 2023 (which was historically mild here) had record snow from west coast to Upper Midwest. Bismarck and Minneapolis had like 100” inches I think, an all time record. Great Lakes and Deep South have been winning, but past 2 years CONUS wide hasn’t been much. The flow is just too fast, until the northern stream slows down we’ll be left with shredders. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 14 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Maybe we will get it as the block is about to break down? When is that supposed to happen? The trough will remain in the east through the first week of March, however like last time in January the trough is too far East. Hopefully things look different tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 9 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said: I think It might be our last snowfall for the winter…period. This winter has shown its cards. If we were meant to get a decent snowfall we would have gotten it by now or we would be actively tracking it by now. Last year and this year have been quite inactive across CONUS except for a few exceptions. Even 2023 (which was historically mild here) had record snow from west coast to Upper Midwest. Bismarck and Minneapolis had like 100” inches I think, an all time record. Great Lakes and Deep South have been winning, but past 2 years CONUS wide hasn’t been much. The flow is just too fast, until the northern stream slows down we’ll be left with shredders. Go figure we finally get a winter where all 4 months may be below normal temps (at least three and maybe March) and the deep South and mid Atlantic reap the benefits. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: The trough will remain in the east through the first week of March, however like last time in January the trough is too far East. Hopefully things look different tomorrow. If it goes like last time, I think we could still see one more minor storm like we did last time, but it would be under 4 inches just like all the others. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, LibertyBell said: If it goes like last time, I think we could still see one more minor storm like we did last time, but it would be under 4 inches just like all the others. I mean it's not a BAD winter cause of multiple events to track and snow cover. Plus 1/3 of seasonal average so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, EastonSN+ said: I mean it's not a BAD winter cause of multiple events to track and snow cover. Plus 1/3 of seasonal average so far. Yes but it's a little sad watching white out conditions near the white house and knowing we won't get that here. Back in the day storms that hit DC hard also hit us hard lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krs4Lfe Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 What strikes me as more interesting is the lack of snowfall over most of CONUS last season and this season. A fast northern stream provides the goods only for the far north of CONUS/Great Lakes and then when the cold air finally comes, it's the south that reaps the benefits. Is it better than 2024 winter and 2023 winter? Heck yes, because those winters barely even felt like winter because all the snow came in 1 week and there was barely any cold around except for maybe 2 arctic blasts each season. That being said, 10' for the season thus far is abysmal in NYC. Not as bad as 2024,2023,2020, and 2012. Those were torch years with like 1 moderate snow event each year. But with the warming climate, it's so hard to get a colder than average winter and the 1 year that we finally managed to do it, it barely accompanies any snow. It's incredible, but hopefully next winter is better. I know it sounds funny that it seems like I'm writing off the rest of this winter, but it's almost mid-Feb, and the pattern doesn't look too great for the rest of Feb (as in, it looks like more of the same that we've had all winter), except it will naturally become warmer as we head into March. The crux of winter is already behind us, with so little to show for it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Wish I knew how to compress images. Dad sent a pic, he lives northwest of Lexington, VA and had 10” at 5:00; he’s over a foot now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 6 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said: Wish I knew how to compress images. Dad sent a pic, he lives northwest of Lexington, VA and had 10” at 5:00; he’s over a foot now. He has bested my largest storm total this season by 100%! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I have a feeling tonight's snowfall will be our last decent snowfall for awhile. Next season?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Go figure we finally get a winter where all 4 months may be below normal temps (at least three and maybe March) and the deep South and mid Atlantic reap the benefits.I think we forget that we’ve been in dry spell for six months, if not longer.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 This winter reminds me a lot of the 1970s and 1980s winters- cold but quite dry with a couple of exception years. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 It's too early to give up on next week. Plenty of hope on ensembles still. Even Saturday could end up snowy. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Can we have this happen please? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Havent followed the Feb thread closely recently, but regarding Sat... please see attached. I saw only the posts this page and their snowy interest for Saturday afternoon is also mine. The plan is to start a tracking thread at Noon for an I95 snowstorm/event Feb 19-20, (maybe better than what just occurred). ALL 00z/12 Global Ensembles that we normally use, continue recent days suggestions. The idea as to get us over the Central Park 10.1" normal February snowfall... I think we're on our way. Finally: I think we have at least a wind advisory event Sunday night-Monday for much of the eastern USA, a period of 45-55 MPH gusts. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I believe this weekend will be our first cutter under 980mb so close to nearly a -5 -AO. We were talking about blizzards with the -5 -AOs in February 2021, 2010, 1978, and 1969. So the Pacific Jet and Southeast Ridge continue do new things in the 2020s. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 11 hours ago, ForestHillWx said: Wish I knew how to compress images. Dad sent a pic, he lives northwest of Lexington, VA and had 10” at 5:00; he’s over a foot now. Email it to yourself, depending on what type of phone you have it might offer a file size selection 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 33 minutes ago, bluewave said: I believe this weekend will be our first cutter under 980mb so close to nearly a -5 -AO. We were talking about blizzards with the -5 -AOs in February 2021, 2010, 1978, and 1969. So the Pacific Jet and Southeast Ridge continue do new things in the 2020s. Strongest storm in months for the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 35 minutes ago, bluewave said: I believe this weekend will be our first cutter under 980mb so close to nearly a -5 -AO. We were talking about blizzards with the -5 -AOs in February 2021, 2010, 1978, and 1969. So the Pacific Jet and Southeast Ridge continue do new things in the 2020s. Cut to someone saying this would've still been a cutter 100+ years ago No CC has completely altered the norms. Probably why we're not experiencing the usual Nina pattern this winter either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 11 hours ago, North and West said: Next season? . Maybe you'll get more, by decent for those of us at the coast I mean the last one that doesn't change over to ice/rain. Looks like the next couple will change over and then it's suppression city again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 41 minutes ago, bluewave said: I believe this weekend will be our first cutter under 980mb so close to nearly a -5 -AO. We were talking about blizzards with the -5 -AOs in February 2021, 2010, 1978, and 1969. So the Pacific Jet and Southeast Ridge continue do new things in the 2020s. How is it possible to have a cutter with a -5 AO? Wouldn't that AO suppress everything to the south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 5 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Cut to someone saying this would've still been a cutter 100+ years ago No CC has completely altered the norms. Probably why we're not experiencing the usual Nina pattern this winter either. It still doesn't explain how you can have a cutter with a -5 AO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 6 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: How is it possible to have a cutter with a -5 AO? Wouldn't that AO suppress everything to the south? It’s linking up with the Southeast Ridge which didn’t used to happen with -AOs near -5. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 5 minutes ago, bluewave said: It’s linking up with the Southeast Ridge which didn’t used to happen with -AOs near -5. Looks like this only benefits the midwest as far as snow is concerned? It makes the trough very sharp. They've had a massive snowfall drought in the midwest back to the northern plains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Strongest storm in months for the areaWe need rain! . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Maybe you'll get more, by decent for those of us at the coast I mean the last one that doesn't change over to ice/rain. Looks like the next couple will change over and then it's suppression city again. C’est la vie say the old folks, even with what’s thought of as favorable setups, it goes to show you never can tell.. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 37 minutes ago, bluewave said: It’s linking up with the Southeast Ridge which didn’t used to happen with -AOs near -5. It may also have something to do with the fact a storm closely preceded it too. Hard to say if the system yesterday never existed if the SE doesn’t get as jacked and this next system doesn’t go as far as north 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I haven't seen snow piles this big in a long time! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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