TriPol Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 January has been cold and mostly dry. What does February have in store for us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Looks like we open the month with snow to sleet to rain or some variation of that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 23 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Looks like we open the month with snow to sleet to rain or some variation of that Good to see that HP in southeast Canada on CMC - GFS also shows a storm to open the month 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Euro agrees with CMC and GFS early Feb storm threat 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 The AO is dropping toward neutral, however not negative, during this time frame. We would be relying on the vortex south of Greenland to hinder too much of a Northward trajectory. Perhaps a met can a opine on the feasibility of this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Rain on the gfs Cmc colder again. Snow or mix looks likely 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 6 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Rain on the gfs thats a good signal because GFS is usually wrong 10 days out........CMC is colder 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 11 hours ago, NEG NAO said: Euro agrees with CMC and GFS early Feb storm threat maybe Groundhog Day storm redux Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 8 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: maybe Groundhog Day storm redux still too far out to determine exactly how this is going to set up - no consistency in the Euro yet - different solution then last nights - complex to say the least..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Euro weeklies are trending colder for February pushing back the warmth again . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 lmao 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vegan_edible Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 praying for a cold feb with snow chances then full blow torch march. who can make that happen? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 38 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: lmao I feel as if the EPS/GEFS have been switching off on attempting this for weeks, now the 12Z GEFS today is trying it after it was the coldest in the east at D13-16 just a few days ago 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 February on track for a canonical Niña response. Very well coupled ocean-atmosphere system going into next month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 17 minutes ago, snowman19 said: February on track for a canonical Niña response. Very well coupled ocean-atmosphere system going into next month All depends on the MJO. Are you finally going to be right with the warmth? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 8 minutes ago, MJO812 said: All depends on the MJO. Are you finally going to be right with the warmth? I could say the same about snow but I won’t. And not once did I say the word “warmth” you keep saying that lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 52 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wishcast_hater Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 54 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Seems to be alot of uncertainty for February. We have been mostly cold in December and January has been even colder. I think Mother Nature is throwing a few curve balls this year and we will remain colder than predicted this winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Canadian first weekend Feb - Snow Ice Storm - GFS disagrees of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 12Z Euro disagrees with Canadian and GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 4 hours ago, wishcast_hater said: Seems to be alot of uncertainty for February. We have been mostly cold in December and January has been even colder. I think Mother Nature is throwing a few curve balls this year and we will remain colder than predicted this winter. Perhaps but of note is that most of the time when December and January are cold, February is milder. Maybe just normal weather though, which is just fine as long as it snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 22 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Perhaps but of note is that most of the time when December and January are cold, February is milder. Maybe just normal weather though, which is just fine as long as it snows. IMO February is setting up to be a real battle between the constant cold air intrusions and a strengthening southern stream - plenty of storm chances....2009 -2010 featured below normal temp December and January with only a couple inches snow in January then the battle began and we ended up with 36 inches of snow in February with continued below normal temps - cold and snowiest Feb ever........ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 hour ago, NEG NAO said: IMO February is setting up to be a real battle between the constant cold air intrusions and a strengthening southern stream - plenty of storm chances....2009 -2010 featured below normal temp December and January with only a couple inches snow in January then the battle began and we ended up with 36 inches of snow in February with continued below normal temps - cold and snowiest Feb ever........ That must've been the last time all three winter months were colder than normal, I can't remember any others since our great wall to wall winters (1995-96 and 2002-03). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 43 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Yep https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1882866366770012404?t=GSyvRjDxqK2rol_M6bZLcg&s=19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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