1/19 - The Roulette Wheel 29 Black Storm - OBS

[Eskimo Joe]

Just now, psuhoffman said:

We seem to have the dumb angle covered 

The wailing and gnashing of teeth from the same posters is getting tiresome. 

[psuhoffman]

9 minutes ago, Interstate said:

My son’s baseball practice in Glen Rock PA should be fun. 11-3

I wouldn’t mess with those roads around there in snow. 

[clskinsfan]

4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

We seem to have the dumb angle covered 

[Interstate]

8 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

I hope it's cancelled. I hope cars are strewn about the roads, spinning in drifts of up to 1 foot.

We would still have practice. We are like the post office

[Terpeast]

Final call (I know, ugly map, but it gets my idea across)

[clskinsfan]

1 minute ago, Terpeast said:

Final call (I know, ugly map, but it gets my idea across)

Bullish. I love it. 

[benjammin]

42/33 at IAD and I'm noticing it getting REALLY dark outside. 

But what's the angle of the dark?

Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk

[psuhoffman]

3 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Final call (I know, ugly map, but it gets my idea across)

I’ve been running around all day so I haven’t been able to make a map but it’s in my head and it looks a lot like this. Maybe a little less liberal with the 4-8 but I’m gun shy after busting high last time. 

[adelphi_sky]

17 minutes ago, nj2va said:

 

I am going to be conservative and say College Park gets 5 inches.

[high risk]

17 minutes ago, astarck said:

Well modeled too. Every model showing darkness until about 7am. Except the RGEM which is off on its own showing sunrise around midnight.

          The Kuchera daylight ratios show us getting 37 straight hours of darkness.

[BlizzardNole]

I am rooting for Terpeast's map to verify!  Would be beautiful for central MD

37/33 under mostly clear skies (hope we stay clear most of the night)

[H2O]

7 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Final call (I know, ugly map, but it gets my idea across)

Nice map but I fucking hate it.  will be a good call just shitty to see the cyan of sadness 1-3" IMBY

[bncho]

The European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts has started. This is the biggest run since 1/5!

[bncho]

3-5" inches it is. Every fucking where you look it's 3-5".

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

35 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

We seem to have the dumb angle covered 

That's one of the things we can excel at!!!  We're a very...uhhh..."obtuse" bunch at times!  And "acutely" sensitive to every single model change!

[TSSN+]

Less. Idk seemed like it was missing a chunk of qpf the one frame but whatever. Snow 

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

3 minutes ago, H2O said:

Nice map but I fucking hate it.  will be a good call just shitty to see the cyan of sadness 1-3" IMBY

Is cyan the new @Ellinwood gray???

[Terpeast]

6 minutes ago, H2O said:

Nice map but I fucking hate it.  will be a good call just shitty to see the cyan of sadness 1-3" IMBY

I’m actually thinking 2-4” for you and DC metro because of the potential heavy band once the coastal gets going. But further SW like CHO, I don’t see them getting in said heavy band. Sorry its a bit misleading, my bad

ps. Next time I won’t use cyan haha

[adelphi_sky]

1 minute ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

That's one of the things we can excel at!!!  We're a very...uhhh..."obtuse" bunch at times!  And "acutely" sensitive to every single model change!

I see what you did right there. What are you? A math teacher or somthin? 

[psuhoffman]

Euro did a split and now sticks a huge part of our area in between the two good qpf bands.  Could happen but guidance would struggle to nail those details even at this range. Hopefully lol. 

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

1 minute ago, adelphi_sky said:

I see what you did right there. What are you? A math teacher or somthin? 

Nope...just "angling" for bad humor is all!  (But seriously, I do have a math background).

[mattie g]

30 minutes ago, Interstate said:

My son’s baseball practice in Glen Rock PA should be fun. 11-3

Baseball sucks (I played in college).

[H2O]

1 minute ago, Terpeast said:

I’m actually thinking 2-4” for you and DC metro because of the potential heavy band once the coastal gets going. But further SW like CHO, I don’t see them getting in said heavy band. Sorry its a bit misleading, my bad

ps. Next time I won’t use cyan haha

I'm going 2" top end just because there is too much gradient along 95 on most models.  I've lived here too long to get high off hopium models that show more.  I'll be happy to see flakes regardless.  Its just fun to make fun of my area that is worse than DCA at times.  

cyan of sadness, mauve of melancholy, flesh tone of futility.  All good color choices.

[stormtracker]

24 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Final call (I know, ugly map, but it gets my idea across)

That 1-3/6-10 line is vicious 

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

16 minutes ago, high risk said:

          The Kuchera daylight ratios show us getting 37 straight hours of darkness.

You should use the daylight depth product, probably more accurate in this scenario.

[nj2va]

33/32.  Just flipped to snow.  

[Terpeast]

Still dropping. 35.6/31.8

[winter_warlock]

Temp is down to 38 here ! 

[aldie 22]

34.5

[PrinceFrederickWx]

GL to you all up north. I just want to get on the board here again to keep the snowpack going (I’ve had snowcover since Jan 3, which is nuts for this place). Another 0.1”-0.5” is good enough for me.