1/19 - The Roulette Wheel 29 Black Storm - OBS

[T. August]

RAP looks great. 32.2

[TSG]

17 minutes ago, WesternFringe said:

36°, down 2° in the last 30 minutes.

nw os Staunton in Augusta County

CHO is down 7 degrees in the last 45! Slight southwest breeze here until about 7:45pm

37/32

[aldie 22]

10 minutes ago, pazzo83 said:

how far do most folks have their stations off the ground?  Some of the others in my immediate area are 33-34, but I'm at 38.  However, my station is about 10' off the ground.

About 8'

[hstorm]

4 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

0Z RAP

Image

Not that we should give any credence to the RAP, but it’s still snowing at that point (end of run). 

[wawarriors4]

11 minutes ago, pazzo83 said:

how far do most folks have their stations off the ground?  Some of the others in my immediate area are 33-34, but I'm at 38.  However, my station is about 10' off the ground.

Right around 8-9 feet

[Terpeast]

Just now, wawarriors4 said:

Right around 8-9 feet

Mine is 10’ agl but at the bottom of a hill that my house sits on, so my deck is actually higher than the station

[BlizzardNole]

Careful on sidewalks!  Despite therm showing 33 our sidewalks are iced over and I almost bought it walking doggie just now

[wawarriors4]

2 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Mine is 10’ agl but at the bottom of a hill that my house sits on, so my deck is actually higher than the station

Mine sits 30 feet from any tree, deck, shed or anything else in a grass field in the back of the house. It’s usually pretty accurate and I have an analog quality control in front of garage.

[gopper]

Nam looking good for Baltimore County.

https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2025011900&fh=24&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=

[psuhoffman]

36 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

The jip zone is going to ruin this storm for someone....

I’d like it if that damn gap between the stuff west of the blue ridge and the stuff 95 east would go away. It started snowing up lately and it’s now on more and more guidance. 

[LordBaltimore]

21 minutes ago, pazzo83 said:

how far do most folks have their stations off the ground?  Some of the others in my immediate area are 33-34, but I'm at 38.  However, my station is about 10' off the ground.

you guys are lucky. I've spent the last two days trying to figure out where to put a temperature sensor out in my apartment complex so that it's both valid and not liable to have someone think it's a spycam. 

[psuhoffman]

Just now, psuhoffman said:

I’d like it if that damn gap between the stuff west of the blue ridge and the stuff 95 east would go away. It started snowing up lately and it’s now on more and more guidance. 

I think it’s a transfer jump kind of issue. Seems as the costal starts to amp its killing the initial banding associated with the SW too fast and jumping us. 

[WesternFringe]

12 minutes ago, TSG said:

CHO is down 7 degrees in the last 45! Slight southwest breeze here until about 7:45pm

37/32

Honestly, I thought it dropped 2 degrees in 15 minutes but decided I might be tripping!

[Eskimo Joe]

24 minutes ago, pazzo83 said:

how far do most folks have their stations off the ground?  Some of the others in my immediate area are 33-34, but I'm at 38.  However, my station is about 10' off the ground.

2m off the ground per WMO standard

[Weather Will]

WB 3K NAM

[winter_warlock]

  Temp down to 35 here in sparrows point MD 

 

[WesternFringe]

5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I’d like it if that damn gap between the stuff west of the blue ridge and the stuff 95 east would go away. It started snowing up lately and it’s now on more and more guidance. 

Agreed. I am just west of the gap here in Augusta County.  A typical modeling error away from not a lot of qpf.  Hope it’s wrong or if not it isn’t in my or your backyard.

[KAOS]

It's happening...

[Ji]

This game is wild

[MN Transplant]

10 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

2m off the ground per WMO standard

My main station is 4’ off the ground, so maybe a touch low.  Anemometer is mounted on the roof line at about 10’, while acknowledging the impact of the house.  37/33.

[psuhoffman]

6 minutes ago, WesternFringe said:

Agreed. I am just west of the gap here in Augusta County.  A typical modeling error away from not a lot of qpf.  Hope it’s wrong or if not it isn’t in my or your backyard.

I blame Ji for his negative energy. We are just collateral damage 

[CAPE]

3k NAM. Still

[psuhoffman]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

This game is wild

Can you stop letting them run. If you lose at least make them pass the ball. Your best chance is to hope Goff craps the bed. You have less of a chance if you let them just run the ball all over ya. 

[snowfan]

32 off a high of 42. 

[winter_warlock]

1 minute ago, snowfan said:

32 off a high of 42. 

Nice drop!

[CAPE]

Currently 33 after a late high of 42 when the sun broke out.

@SnowtoRain

[psuhoffman]

1 minute ago, CAPE said:

3k NAM. Still

Still has the screw zone. This run over 95. Seems we are resigned that’s gonna affect someone in our sub. Looking at it closer I think my gut was right it’s a transfer kind of thing. The initial inland low initiated by the SW is trending weaker and as the coastal gets going the deform that develops cuts off the heavier precip quick to its west. Creates a gap zone. 

[WxUSAF]

51 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

34/29

 

47 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Wet bulb is probably 32 for you. Nice. Nothing worse than sitting at 45/38 at 2am waiting for cold air to catch up.

Temp down to freezing now. When does it go above next? Thursday or Friday?

[psuhoffman]

Hail to the whatever they’re called now. 

[psuhoffman]

5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Can you stop letting them run. If you lose at least make them pass the ball. Your best chance is to hope Goff craps the bed. You have less of a chance if you let them just run the ball all over ya. 

See Goff is not reliable. Make him beat you and take your chances.