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1/19 - The Roulette Wheel 29 Black Storm - OBS


DDweatherman
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Just now, mappy said:

Yep, the prolonged greens are staying just to our nw. Snowing outside them, but nothing like in them. 

This obs could be forever pinned for me, lol.

I am moving to Hunt Valley on or about March 1, maybe being 14 miles south of you as opposed to 7 will remove my apparent curse from upon your lands...

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13 minutes ago, colonelaureliano1 said:


I’m not a met so I’ll leave the real discussion to them but to me this event was always on a razor thin edge someone in central MD was going to be on the wrong side. This time it was basically the western border of Anne Arundel county, that being said a couple decent bands and it all evens out you never know until it’s over. I think models honestly did a good job portraying the difficult set up on this one but we get caught up looking at qpf and snow maps and sometimes miss what’s clearly being modeled right in front of us because well, it’s fun to look at snow maps.

Models by no means did a "good job portraying the difficult setup in this one." Every storm has a cutoff and every storm has a certain degree of uncertainty or complexity. But I've been on these boards for a very long time and this is one of the worst misses for a wide swath of the region I can remember. 

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Just now, TowsonWeather said:

Models by no means did a "good job portraying the difficult setup in this one." Every storm has a cutoff and every storm has certain degree of uncertainty or complexity. But I've been on these boards for a very long time and this is one of the worst misses for a wide swath of the region I can remember. 

All the talk about the beltway flipping sounds like the "here's how Bernie can still win" reddit posts in 2016.

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