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1/19 - The Roulette Wheel 29 Black Storm - OBS


DDweatherman
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8 minutes ago, jayyy said:


Wasn’t that progged by models though? NW gets their fun initially and then a 95 shellacking mid to late afternoon as dynamics shift to the coast?

I think that was fair to say with the early morning snow. By now though? No, no reasonable guidance had this yesterday.

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2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Yeah, that's what I'm waiting for before I call it or meltdown.   We'll see

I said 3-5” for MBY and 2-4” for DC. I think the bottom of those ranges may still be just reachable. But we need ~4 hours of ripping fatties probably to make that. 

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1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

My bigger concern for 95 isn’t the temps it’s the angle of the precip and where the banding sets up. 

Thats my concern too. The best banding for now is setting to the NW, getting you, TSSN, clskinfan, and anyone in Frederick

I mean, I’ve had only 0.06” of precip so far

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1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

My bigger concern for 95 isn’t the temps it’s the angle of the precip and where the banding sets up. 

I think you can see the back edge creeping east and as it does it’ll put the better banding over us for a period, but this whole thing is in a hurry.  My 2-4 idea for dc is in trouble but maybe we can still get some good coverage. 

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Just now, Terpeast said:

Thats my concern too. The best banding for now is setting to the NW, getting you, TSSN, clskinfan, and anyone in Frederick

The band up here doesn’t shock me.  It’s where everyone had the max snow. But as of yet I don’t see much where the h85 fgen banding was supposed to be along 95 or east of there depending on the run. That’s just MIA so far. 

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