Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,701
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    fastechinfo
    Newest Member
    fastechinfo
    Joined

1/19 - The Roulette Wheel 29 Black Storm - OBS


DDweatherman
 Share

Recommended Posts

2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Yeah, that's what I'm waiting for before I call it or meltdown.   We'll see

I said 3-5” for MBY and 2-4” for DC. I think the bottom of those ranges may still be just reachable. But we need ~4 hours of ripping fatties probably to make that. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

My bigger concern for 95 isn’t the temps it’s the angle of the precip and where the banding sets up. 

Thats my concern too. The best banding for now is setting to the NW, getting you, TSSN, clskinfan, and anyone in Frederick

I mean, I’ve had only 0.06” of precip so far

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

My bigger concern for 95 isn’t the temps it’s the angle of the precip and where the banding sets up. 

I think you can see the back edge creeping east and as it does it’ll put the better banding over us for a period, but this whole thing is in a hurry.  My 2-4 idea for dc is in trouble but maybe we can still get some good coverage. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Terpeast said:

Thats my concern too. The best banding for now is setting to the NW, getting you, TSSN, clskinfan, and anyone in Frederick

The band up here doesn’t shock me.  It’s where everyone had the max snow. But as of yet I don’t see much where the h85 fgen banding was supposed to be along 95 or east of there depending on the run. That’s just MIA so far. 

  • 100% 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

The band up here doesn’t shock me.  It’s where everyone had the max snow. But as of yet I don’t see much where the h85 fgen banding was supposed to be along 95 or east of there depending on the run. That’s just MIA so far. 

Dang yo...I haven't been able to win with either event so far! Fringed south on 1/6 (though still a decent hit), now possible fringed n & w! Is this just luck or has something changed?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

didn't see this posted so what the heck...

 

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
112 PM EST Sun Jan 19 2025

DCZ001-MDZ008-011-013-014-504-506-508-VAZ025-026-029-038>040-051-
053-054-501-502-504-506-508-526-527-192300-
District of Columbia-Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-
Anne Arundel-Central and Southeast Montgomery-
Central and Southeast Howard-Southeast Harford-Augusta-Rockingham-
Page-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Culpeper-Fairfax-
Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Northern Fauquier-
Southern Fauquier-Eastern Highland-Eastern Loudoun-
Central Virginia Blue Ridge-Northwest Prince William-
Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-
Including the cities of Washington, Elkton, Baltimore, Bowie,
Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel,
Camp Springs, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate,
Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg,
Silver Spring, Columbia, Ellicott City, Aberdeen, Staunton,
Waynesboro, Stuarts Draft, Harrisonburg, Luray, Shenandoah,
Stanley, Stanardsville, Madison, Culpeper, Reston, Herndon,
Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington,
Alexandria, Falls Church, Warrenton, Turnbull, Monterey,
Leesburg, Ashburn, Sterling, Wintergreen, Haymarket, Dale City,
Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, and Montclair
112 PM EST Sun Jan 19 2025

...PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW THIS AFTERNOON...

A mix of light rain, sleet, and snow will transition to a period
of moderate to heavy snow this afternoon from west to east through
3 PM. Snowfall rates of around or a little over one inch per hour
are possible during the mid afternoon hours, along with reductions
in visibility to one-half mile or less and temperatures falling
below freezing. Snow will wind down from west to east between 5
and 8 PM, but temperatures will continue to fall through the 20s.

A quick accumulation of snow is expected this afternoon, which
will impact travel. After the snow, any lingering moisture will
freeze given the falling temperatures.
  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

I said 3-5” for MBY and 2-4” for DC. I think the bottom of those ranges may still be just reachable. But we need ~4 hours of ripping fatties probably to make that. 

I think we can still manage 2-3 inches or so if it comes through and pummels for a bit. But between temps and just duration, we have some things really working against us now.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Dang yo...I haven't been able to win with either event so far! Fringed south (though still a decent hit), now possible fringed n & w! Is this just luck or has something changed?

What do you mean has something changed? Every storm has winners and losers for the most part. Sometimes we just get "missed" relative to other areas. Just how the chips fall. 

  • Like 1
  • 100% 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Dang yo...I haven't been able to win with either event so far! Fringed south (though still a decent hit), now possible fringed n & w! Is this just luck or has something changed?

You’ve been stuck between the southern sliders and the storms where the NW area gets hit. I think it’s just been an incredible run of bad luck. There isn’t any reason I can see. Geography hadn’t changed. Over the long run it should even out. Eventually you’ll get some storms where you jack and dc only gets 3” and it evens out. 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...