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1/19 - The Roulette Wheel 29 Black Storm - OBS


DDweatherman
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2 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

All those worried about rising temps should know this happens all the time here.

"A "temperature spike" just before a cold front occurs because the warm air mass ahead of the front is pushed upwards and compressed slightly as the colder air mass approaches, causing a temporary rise in temperature, often referred to as a "thermal ridge" by meteorologists; essentially, the air warms slightly due to compression as the cold front moves in."

 

These are a lot of big fancy words when all you needed to say was "shit be warm, it ain't snowing, RGEM was right"

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1 minute ago, dailylurker said:

Thankfully heavy rates have moved in. Heavier rain and up another degree to 40 lol. We do need the rain. It's looking super dry after this storm.

Don't worry, it's all going to plan.  All along, it was modeled that we'd waste half of the .3" qpf we get out of this storm on rain and white rain.

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The NWS forecast has called for rain / snow mix prior to going all snow in the afternoon for days now in the lowlands because that’s exactly what most models showed going in. Nothing has really changed at this juncture except maybe for 50/66 south. The fact that it’s 10am and many places to the west are changing over or all snow is a good sign. Radar looks exactly like we’d expect - maybe a tad ahead of schedule with precip blossoming. Not sure why there’s so much freaking out going on.

Anyway…

33F mod snow, fatty flakes as the transition occurs

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22 minutes ago, mikeg0305 said:


I’m just up the road in Parkton, near the dam, and it’s been snowing here since it started an hour or so ago. Not sticking yet but nice fatties coming down. Elevation is 770ft, fwiw.

Snowing pretty good now at my house near 7DE

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1 minute ago, jayyy said:

The NWS forecast has called for rain / snow mix prior to going all snow in the afternoon for days now in the lowlands because that’s exactly what most models showed going in. Nothing has really changed at this juncture except maybe for 50/66 south. The fact that it’s 10am and many places to the west are changing over or all snow is a good sign. Radar looks exactly like we’d expect - maybe a tad ahead of schedule with precip blossoming. Not sure why there’s so much freaking out going on.

Anyway…

33F mod snow, fatty flakes as the transition occurs

Easy to say when it's 33 and snowing. I wasn't expecting 40 with heavy rain.

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11 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

All those worried about rising temps should know this happens all the time here.

"A "temperature spike" just before a cold front occurs because the warm air mass ahead of the front is pushed upwards and compressed slightly as the colder air mass approaches, causing a temporary rise in temperature, often referred to as a "thermal ridge" by meteorologists; essentially, the air warms slightly due to compression as the cold front moves in."

 

Thank you--I didn't know about that! I guess something like this only comes to the forefront this time since we just so happened to be getting snow right in front of a cold front! When was the last time those two things happened together? I don't recall having that (I guess because typically we don't do cold chasing precip very often). Interesting

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