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1/19 - The Roulette Wheel 29 Black Storm - OBS


DDweatherman
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4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

We were never gonna get that. The wave is getting going way too late. Those of us west of the bay would actually be better if that coastal deform waited a few more hours to develop to max out the precip from the initial boundary wave initiated by the SW along the arctic boundary.  

Seems like a 3-5" storm for the winners. 

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12 minutes ago, Scraff said:

I don’t know where da fuck I’m at. Somewhere in the Atlantic enjoying football in a bar, 6 deep in drinks, watching football, and praying for snow for everyone…except rain for @stormtracker:lol:

 

Seriously, hope everyone cashes in tomorrow. Living vicariously thru you all. That said, 82 and sun at sea tomorrow feels ok too. 

I hope the rest of the 0z suite comes it with the driest model showing 1.2” QPF and no thermal issues 

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1 minute ago, CAPE said:

Yeah 31 here currently.

Watch the cold air push tomorrow. It's legit. Some guidance is likely underdoing it.

3k NAM is trying to draw me back in to tracking this storm, painting our backyards with 4"+.

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1 hour ago, TSG said:

CHO is down 7 degrees in the last 45! Slight southwest breeze here until about 7:45pm

37/32

Just left Charlottesville a hour ago on the way home from work - Jeep outside temp went from upper 30s over there to 43 on Afton back down in the mid 30s over here in Waynesboro...

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@MillvilleWx alluded to the potential for a band to develop closer to the coast as well as in the higher elevations N&W.  I think that's what we're seeing in the models with the dual banding sig.  I agree with PSU...there's absolutely no way to know exactly where those bands will set up.

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