WXNewton Posted Saturday at 05:00 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:00 PM 11 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: GFS looks like it tries to phase more with a wave near CA and stays flatter... Euro misses the phase and does more a Miller A Yes this is what I noticed last night on the trend it's becoming more and more phased and flatter each run of the GFS. I just trended the Canadian and it's is doing the same thing as the GFS, just a few runs behind it and playing catch-up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Saturday at 05:01 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:01 PM After digesting some of the 12z data, I think someone in this circle sees snow. 7 17 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Saturday at 05:02 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 05:02 PM It would be par for course if everything starts going south literally after the Euro finally jumped NW last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted Saturday at 05:05 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:05 PM the reason the NBM increased is because it takes into account ALL the ensembles. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted Saturday at 05:12 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:12 PM Brad P just released a great video for those wanting more info about why it may or may not move northwest. Has to do with the strength of the system. If it doesn't get stronger, it will stay more south. and he even mentioned CONSISTENCY with overall track of the system being a coastal runner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Saturday at 05:12 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:12 PM Need the 12z euro to be good or cliff diving will commence 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted Saturday at 05:14 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:14 PM It would make sense that the one time the Euro is wrong is when Dr. No was actually Dr. Yes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Saturday at 05:17 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:17 PM UK is also suppressed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted Saturday at 05:18 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:18 PM 3 minutes ago, Dunkman said: It would make sense that the one time the Euro is wrong is when Dr. No was actually Dr. Yes. The euro is wrong a lot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted Saturday at 05:20 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:20 PM 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: UK is also suppressed. It improved a lot from previous run. Much more moisture and more NW slightly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Saturday at 05:23 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:23 PM 2 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: It improved a lot from previous run. Much more moisture and more NW slightly The UK I just looked at has nothing. Absolutely nothing lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted Saturday at 05:24 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:24 PM 6 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: The UK I just looked at has nothing. Absolutely nothing lol That's very strange. which site did you use to view the model? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Saturday at 05:30 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:30 PM 5 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: That's very strange. 12z UK lol 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Saturday at 05:33 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:33 PM 12Z Euro similar to 6Z: Sleet ZR 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeNormanStormin Posted Saturday at 05:33 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:33 PM Brick, you broke the models.... Fix this! 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted Saturday at 05:34 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:34 PM 12Z Euro looks great. Can I ask how you get it so fast? I use weathermodels.com and the 12Z euro isn't loaded yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Saturday at 05:36 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:36 PM Just now, PackGrad05 said: 12Z Euro looks great. Can I ask how you get it so fast? I use weathermodels.com and the 12Z euro isn't loaded yet. Pivotalweather.com and Weatherbell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted Saturday at 05:36 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:36 PM 50-75miles northwest of memorable heavy action at 102hrs? I'll take that spot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Saturday at 05:37 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:37 PM 2 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: 12Z Euro looks great. Can I ask how you get it so fast? I use weathermodels.com and the 12Z euro isn't loaded yet. Looks great? Lol. Yes it does for eastern NC and SE VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted Saturday at 05:38 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:38 PM Just now, BornAgain13 said: Looks great? Lol. Yes it does for eastern NC and SE VA I'm 2 miles from JOCO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gwlee7 Posted Saturday at 05:39 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:39 PM 37 minutes ago, BooneWX said: After digesting some of the 12z data, I think someone in this circle sees snow . Lol. And here I was rooting for you guys from afar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted Saturday at 05:41 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:41 PM At this point whatever happens happens… it could be game on for the whole board if things add up just right. If things go wrong the sharks get a snow party. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Saturday at 05:55 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 05:55 PM 20 minutes ago, LakeNormanStormin said: Brick, you broke the models.... Fix this! I'll try yelling at them again. And of course the Euro went back south a little after finally taking the big jump NW last night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Saturday at 05:59 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:59 PM 20 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Looks great? Lol. Yes it does for eastern NC and SE VA And most of GA/SC among others 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Saturday at 06:02 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:02 PM 12Z EPS 10:1 looks amazingly good for many and even historic for deep SE! Ens maps like this in deep SE/Gulf coast almost unheard of: Qpf: 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Saturday at 06:18 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:18 PM 12Z EPS members snow (excludes sleet/ZR): it is 10:1 rather than Kuchera. So, I’d take ~1/4 off for deep SE but still this is about the best ever for deep SE/Gulf coast. May not be next opportunity like this for many years to come! It may be finally our time to shine. Not a flake or pellet in 7 years. And maybe history about to be made?! We’ll see as this is still ~3.5 days out so not getting hopes up too high. Also, there’s the very real danger of a bad icestorm even into N FL! @metallica470 @Awesomesauce81 @gtg947h 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Saturday at 06:20 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:20 PM I shouldn't of let that awesome EPS run from last night get me excited lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx367 Posted Saturday at 06:25 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:25 PM 1 minute ago, GaWx said: 12Z EPS members snow (excludes sleet/ZR): it is 10:1 rather than Kuchera. So, I’d take ~1/4 off for deep SE but still this is about the best ever for deep SE/Gulf coast. May not be next opportunity like this for many years to come! It may be finally our time to shine. Not a flake or pellet in 7 years. And maybe history about to be made?! We’ll see as this is still ~3.5 days out so not getting hopes up too high. Also, there’s the very real danger of a bad icestorm Don't let us down Euro. GFS was all rain and temps in mid 30s for most of southern GA. UKMET same but warmer and less precip. Most recent AIFS and Graphcast were big ZR events based on 850s and SFC temps around 30F. ICON was a step in the right direction, but not much precip. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted Saturday at 06:26 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:26 PM 6 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: I shouldn't have let that awesome EPS run from last night get me excited lol. This is definitely an i95 deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted Saturday at 06:27 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:27 PM 54 minutes ago, LakeNormanStormin said: Brick, you broke the models.... Fix this! Can’t believe he was the one to start this thread. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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