1/22-1/22 Winter Storm Threat

[wxdawg10]

3 minutes ago, snowinnc said:

This board is crazy, but I love it! Did us RDU folks give up too early or should we go back to getting ready for the spring? I’m lost and don’t know what to do. 

Always go for the latter. a pleasant surprise is better than constant disappointment.

[WinstonSalemArlington]

https://x.com/scweather_wx/status/1881481113203581398?s=46&t=5ny5bPgiX5Vy3bQMvYTY5g
 

Euro 

[Brick Tamland]

Could this be one of the rare times we make an epic comeback?

[Regan]

Shhhh!!!  It’ll hear you. 

[NorthHillsWx]

I love this place.

[wncsnow]

3 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said:

Could this be one of the rare times we make an epic comeback?

If epic comeback means a dusting of snow then maybe yes. 

[DeltaPilot]

I really find it hard to believe ATL proper is going to get anything more than a dusting. Gonna take a while for the precip to saturate the column. I dont think we will get heavy enough for long enough to really get

anything over a light coat by the time this goes by. Looking at the tilt though and where the snow is firing up farther north in TX right now sure seems promising. We just need a bit stronger storm than whats progged and some of us might be pretty happy tomorrow night.

[Brick Tamland]

[snowinnc]

12 minutes ago, wxdawg10 said:

Always go for the latter. a pleasant surprise is better than constant disappointment.

Good call. I’ll go back to looking at different fertilizers.

[Brick Tamland]

1 minute ago, wncsnow said:

If epic comeback means a dusting of snow then maybe yes. 

Still have time for it to be an inch or so. Better than nothing at all.

[NorthHillsWx]

1 minute ago, Brick Tamland said:

Still have time for it to be an inch or so. Better than nothing at all.

An inch would be epic to me at this point

[NYweatherguy]

3 minutes ago, DeltaPilot said:

I really find it hard to believe ATL proper is going to get anything more than a dusting. Gonna take a while for the precip to saturate the column. I dont think we will get heavy enough for long enough to really get

anything over a light coat by the time this goes by. Looking at the tilt though and where the snow is firing up farther north in TX right now sure seems promising. We just need a bit stronger storm than whats progged and some of us might be pretty happy tomorrow night.

So which is it? You find it hard to believe....yet, the N Texas snow looks promising...

[cbmclean]

3 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

An inch would be epic to me at this point

Agreed.  It would be about 0.9" more than I have seen in the last three tears combined..

[BooneWX]

Webber is bullish on this possibly trending west until go time

[Regan]

I’d gladly join the .5in club.  heh. 

[btownheel]

Webber is bullish on this possibly trending west until go time

Climo suggests it. We’ll know soon enough by how far it digs. The deeper it goes, the better. For ONCE, cold air and sourcing won’t be an issue.


.

[BooneWX]

The hurricane hunters decided to give modeling a boost for 0Z


.

[StantonParkHoya]

This is probably 12-15:1 ratios for CNC. It doesn’t take a lot of moisture to get people in the game more than an inch

[suzook]

Some people are definitely going to get some decent snow on the GA/FL border, and the GA, SC, NC coast. I wouldn't get too caught up with the NW trend.

[AJF0602]

Jacksonville, nc here happy to see the trends; looks like we might be in for a nice surprise tomorrow.

[snowinnc]

9 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

Webber is bullish on this possibly trending west until go time

I like hearing that!

[Brick Tamland]

21 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

Webber is bullish on this possibly trending west until go time

He did a great job with the past storm here.

[NCBlizzard]

The fact that our (RDU area) 'true' snow drought hasn’t ended (in my opinion) makes even the thought of 0.5” of pure fluff feel phenomenal. No sleet, no ZR—just snow.

Fingers crossed here in Durham! I’m oddly optimistic—given the fact that the trend we need is usually the one we hate yet always get. Fully prepared for disappointment, but honestly, this—checking the threads, intermittently checking the models, getting a brief rush of possibilities, and just thinking about snow—is so much better than the bleak 2021-2024 stretch when winter felt like nothing more than cold rain and bare skies, waiting for the blooms to pop open.

 

[NorthHillsWx]

So tonight, after having just the FV3 giving my area snow this morning, the GFS, EURO, ICON, NAM, and FV3 all have snow here. That’s a pretty significant cross model shift at least here. Keep in mind we’re not talking big amounts. At this point 1/2” seems like a win. I’m not expecting a big storm by any means. By 1” is certainly back on the table 

[suzook]

33 minutes ago, DeltaPilot said:

I really find it hard to believe ATL proper is going to get anything more than a dusting. Gonna take a while for the precip to saturate the column. I dont think we will get heavy enough for long enough to really get

anything over a light coat by the time this goes by. Looking at the tilt though and where the snow is firing up farther north in TX right now sure seems promising. We just need a bit stronger storm than whats progged and some of us might be pretty happy tomorrow night.

Completely agree. This isn't our storm. Ours was last week.

[MHCWEATHER]

31 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

An inch would be epic to me at this point

That’s what she said… 

[CaryWx]

WRAL playing this down on the evening report

[Met1985]

NW trend is inevitable. 

[NorthHillsWx]

1 minute ago, CaryWx said:

WRAL playing this down on the evening report

And the sky is still blue

[StantonParkHoya]

2 minutes ago, CaryWx said:

WRAL playing this down on the evening report

I think they’d all cry like they’re at a funeral if we ever got a big dog